THE WEBLOG OF KEVIN C. MURPHY: CONJURING POLITICAL, CINEMATIC, AND CULTURAL ARCANA SINCE 1999

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Spinning Faster.

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"The change is negligible, but permanent: Each day should be 1.26 microseconds shorter, according to preliminary calculations. A microsecond is one-millionth of a second." So, on the bright side, I guess that means we'll all live to be a little older. The devastating 8.8 earthquake in Chile has apparently permanently shortened Earth's day.

"Such changes aren't unheard of. The magnitude 9.1 earthquake in 2004 that generated a killer tsunami in the Indian Ocean shortened the length of days by 6.8 microseconds. On the other hand, the length of a day also can increase. For example, if the Three Gorges reservoir in China were filled, it would hold 10 trillion gallons (40 cubic kilometers) of water. The shift of mass would lengthen days by 0.06 microsecond, scientists said."

A Long Way Down.

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"36,000 Feet: The Challenger Deep, lowest known point in the ocean. It is believed there are lower undiscovered points, as only 10% of the ocean has been mapped." There are old, foul things in the Deep Places of the World: By way of DYFL and Lots of Co, a rather off-putting graphic of the Mariana Trench to scale. Venturing out into the Great Beyond of space always sounds exhilarating to me. But, for some reason, being that far down below the murky depths...not so much.

Doubling Down in Kabul.

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"First, there are those who suggest that Afghanistan is another Vietnam. They argue that it cannot be stabilized and we are better off cutting our losses and rapidly withdrawing. Yet this argument depends upon a false reading of history. Unlike Vietnam, we are joined by a broad coalition of 43 nations that recognizes the legitimacy of our action. Unlike Vietnam, we are not facing a broad-based popular insurgency.

And most importantly, unlike Vietnam, the American people were viciously attacked from Afghanistan and remain a target for those same extremists who are plotting along its border. To abandon this area now -- and to rely only on efforts against al-Qaeda from a distance -- would significantly hamper our ability to keep the pressure on al-Qaeda and create an unacceptable risk of additional attacks on our homeland and our allies."

This is a bit late by now, but regardless: As you all know, President Obama made the case last week for sending 30,000 more troops in Afghanistan. At this point -- and like Fred Kaplan -- I'm conflicted about our continued involvement there...but I'm leaning toward withdrawal. Everything I've heard about the war lately has had that "Vietnam in '66" sense to it: A corrupt government as our ally; trouble winning "hearts and minds"; The US stepping half-blindly into a conflict that's been simmering for centuries (in Southeast Asia, it was the endless Vietnamese war against interlopers; here it's long-simmering ethnic rivalries between the Pashtuns and everyone else.) And now, our new progressive-minded president tells us: If we just commit X more troops (where, now X=30,000), we can win, close up shop, and go home. Uh, really? I think I've already seen this movie a few times.

Obama's shout-out above to basically token international support doesn't assuage my fears. And, as far as the threat posed by Vietnam: True, Tonkin never happened, but obviously policymakers of that era were less sanguine about a Communist victory in South Vietnam than we are today -- The threat of the Enemy can always gets unduly amplified in the heat of the moment. (Speaking of said Reds, it should sober us to acknowledge that all we've done so far in Afghanistan is basically manage to re-create the Soviet experience in the region. Iirc, that didn't end so well.)

Al Qaeda is in Afghanistan, yes, and if we could weed them out and destroy their capacity to attack again, all the better. (And always remember: If Dubya, Rummy et al had just finished the job properly in 2002 rather than salivating over Iraq, we would be in a lot better position right now.) But Al Qaeda is also in Somalia, Tajikstan, Yemen, the Philippines, Kosovo...all over the place. We don't have the resources to play whack-a-mole in all these nations anymore, particularly when every whack usually just works to create new moles. (You'd think we learn that the Hydra sprouts two more heads every time you cut off the wrong one.)

The biggest argument in favor of increasing our military position in Afghanistan would be the continued stability of neighboring Pakistan. (There's Vietnam again -- it's another variation of the Domino Theory.) But, there's a good amount of evidence to suggest that more troop increases by us will only inflame the situation and further destabilize Pakistan. In which case, I'm not sure what we're doing over there, and what we could possibly accomplish in 18 months that we haven't gotten done the last seven years.

In short, it seems to me like we had our shot in Afghanistan, and Dubya blew it. I could be wrong, of course. But, to my mind, now feels like a good time to recognize that fact and stop chasing good money after bad.

How the Irish Became Euro.

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"'Europe has been very good to Ireland,; says Daly, the wine-store owner, who says he'll vote yes for a second time this week...'People may be unhappy with the government, but to punish them in the Lisbon vote would be the wrong thing to do. Being a member of the euro [currency zone] is what's got us through the crisis so far. I can't see Ireland surviving alone.'"

This Friday, Ireland votes on EU's Lisbon Treaty for the second time. "Support for the treaty has been hovering around 50% for months. In the latest national poll, conducted by the Irish Times last week, 48% of respondents said they supported the agreement, compared to 33% who said they were against it. But a full fifth of the population hasn't made up their minds, giving the no camp the belief that it can sway enough voters in the final days to make the tally close."

28 Hours Later.

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By way of Kris, a recent survivor of the apparent zombie apocalypse that took place in Sydney, Tom Coates of Plasticbag has collected a gallery of some of the day's more amazing pictures. (FWIW, ten years ago, Coates' Barbelith was an inspiration for starting GitM.) I particularly like this one, the bridge, the funhouse, and the weird Matrix-y kitchen.

Tehran v. Twitter.

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"'The Iranian government must understand that the world is watching,' Obama said in a written statement. 'We call on the Iranian government to stop all violent and unjust actions against its own people.'"

As protests -- and violence -- escalate in Tehran after last week's dubious election returns, the world increasingly looks to social networking sites to ascertain what's really going on in the streets. The revolution may not be televised, but -- so far at least -- it seems to be managing quite well with Twitter: "This is a country where you have tens of thousands of bloggers, and these bloggers have been in a situation where the Internet has been filtered since 2004. Anyone worth their salt knows how to find an open proxy [to get around government firewalls and filters], knows how to work around censorship...The Iranian government, by filtering the Internet for so long, has actually trained a cadre of people who really know who to get around censorship."

Update: Over at Salon, Iranian-American journalist Hooman Majd (who's making the rounds -- I saw him on the Lehrer News Hour yesterday as well) argues that the role of social networking has been vastly overstated: "More people have access to the Internet in Iran than other Middle Eastern countries but often it's dial-up, it's slow, they don't do it like we do all day long...The depiction of the Internet revolution isn't quite accurate. We're putting our own image onto Iran. Of course there are people Twittering from the demonstrations; they're just not representative of the vast majority of Iranians. What was so heartwarming about this whole thing is that the Iranian people stood up in mass and said you can't take this away from us."

We are the World.

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We are its leaders. We are the ones who make a brighter day, so let's give a trillion. "Mr. Brown, who organized the meeting in a hangarlike conference center in London, said: 'This is the day the world came together to fight against the global recession. Our message today is clear and certain: we believe that global problems require global solutions.'"

In the meantime, Slate's Fred Kaplan applauds the return of real, honest-to-goodness American statecraft in London. "Vast multinational conferences, like the G20 summit...are useful mainly for the 'bilaterals' -- the one-on-one side-room conversations -- and, in these forums, President Barack Obama is living up to high expectations. Which is to say, the United States seems to be returning to diplomatic basics -- a development that in the wake of the last eight years is practically revolutionary."

At the very least, the president's diplomatic mojo seemed to work on Russian president Dmitry Medvedev. "'Yesterday I spoke about this with my new comrade President Barack Obama,' Medvedev told reporters travelling with him to the London summit...'I liked the talks. It is easy to talk to him. He can listen. The start of this relationship is good,' he said, adding: 'Today it's a totally different situation (compared to Bush).'"

"'We now know that not only are the mountains the size of the European Alps, but they also have similar peaks and valleys,' says Fausto Ferraccioli, a geophysicist with the British Antarctic Survey. 'This adds even more mystery about how the vast East Antarctic ice sheet formed.'" Arctic Dreams, Antarctic nightmares...Also by way of a GSSM friend (who noted the Lovecraft angle), researchers explore the origins of the Gamburtsev mountain range, beneath the Antarctic ice. Don't we have enough problems right now without intrepid scientists accidentally awakening the Old Ones at Kadath in the Cold Waste?

Mutiny in the Wehrmacht.

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Adolf Hitler, meet Keyser Soze. The true story of the failed July 20 Von Stauffenberg plot by German conservatives, nationalists, and military men to kill the Fuhrer before Germany lost the war, Bryan Singer's Valkyrie is a moody exercise in historical muckraking, and feels like pretty severe holiday counterprogramming to the likes of Four Christmases and Marley and Me. One part an attempt to help carve a German "usable past" from the Nazi era, two parts sleek suspense thriller, Valkyrie is a well-crafted, decently engaging caper film, as one might expect from Singer (who first made his name with The Usual Suspects, before spending a few years with the X-Men and Superman.) And, yet, for some reason I found it didn't really resonate much. However riveting the source material, it all ends up feeling a bit like a well-made HBO film or PBS teleplay, such as Conspiracy (which comes to mind for obvious reasons) or Path to War. Now, I'm usually all one for historical-minded edutainment, but for some reason Valkyrie left me cold, and not just because the pall of failure and tragedy hangs over the film like the Ghost of Christmas Past. (Megaspoiler: Hitler wasn't killed in 1944.) For whatever reason, Valkyrie is a bird one can admire, but it never really takes flight.

In mid-1944, the shadow of failed artist-turned-meglomaniacal psychopath Adolf Hitler still falls heavy across the continent, and, even as the Allies gather in North Africa, Italy, and the coast of Normandy, the Fuhrer maintains an iron grip over the oppressed peoples of Europe. As most everyone remembers from school days, Hitler was able to retain his power base in Germany, even amid the darkening gloom on both fronts, by ruthlessly organizing and consolidating the nation's elite cadre of disgruntled character actors. Some of these character actors (Kenneth Cranham, Tom Hollander) rejoice in their servitude, and serve their Nazi master with an obsequious relish. Some of them (Tom Wilkinson, Thomas Kretschmann, Eddie Izzard) just look to keep their head down (for fear of losing it) and basically play go-along-to-get-along. But some character actors resisted. And as the likes of Kenneth Branagh, Bill Nighy, and Terrence Stamp see their various attempts to unseat Hitler fail due to bad luck, poor timing, or compromised plotters, it becomes abundantly clear what they need to achieve their goal of regime change: a lead actor.

Enter Tom Cruise, otherwise known as Count Claus von Stauffenberg, a Catholic aristocrat who's been shipped off to the now-doomed North African front for his free-thinking transgressions. (The Fuhrer's resident character actor in charge there is Bernard Hill, a.k.a. Theoden king, and he still can't run a battle without timely lead actor advice.) Horribly wounded in an Allied bombing raid, Cruise/von Stauffenberg loses an eye, a hand, and several fingers, but -- for his service (and his very reputable name) -- gains access to the Fuhrer himself, after some machinations by the plotters. As such, leadership of the proposed coup eventually falls out of the hands of the character actor conspiracy and upon him. "I am involved in high treason with all means available to me," he tells one aide at his job interview, "Can I count you in?" In other words, enough monologuing already! What Germany need now is emoting and stunt work.

If it seems I'm being a bit glib about a story that indirectly involves millions of deaths, untold destruction, and (tho' it's only obliquely mentioned at the beginning) systematic genocide, well I apologize. Along with the Titanic-type sensation of continually "waiting for the iceberg" throughout Valkyrie, it's really hard to sit through the film without recollecting the ubiquitous and consistently funny Bruno Ganz in Downfall meme. (See also the Cowboys, Warcraft, Burning Man, eBay, Wikipedia, Ronaldo, Youtube, etc.) It could be worse, I suppose: For the many citizens out there who see Tom Cruise and now can't stop thinking "Scientology," I can safely report that he's fine in the role -- it helps that both he and his character both answer to a higher power (and have a touch of the zealot about them) -- and that the accent problem is handled smoothly (a la Hunt for Red October.)

I should say, before this "review" degenerates any further into pop culture musings, that the real historical facts of this story are fascinating. The plotters of this assassination attempt aren't really visionary idealists or radical bomb-throwers -- Hitler had already rounded up or murdered most of them -- but the conservative-leaning remnants of the military and aristocratic hierarchies displaced by the Nazi regime. (The 20 July plot is basically crafted by generals and led by Junkers.) And the engine of their coup attempt is ingenious: The plotters almost succeed in converting Operation Valkyrie, Hitler's last-ditch plan to stay in power should the roof cave in, into the machinery of his demise. Finally, these German patriots get sooo close to their goal that, had any one of several tiny contingencies played out even slightly differently, the history of the war (and its aftermath) would have been irrevocably transformed. As happens surprisingly often, it seems, the fate of the world is a game of inches.

All that being said, I found all of this information equally fascinating while watching the History Channel special after the film, so I'm not sure it really recommends the movie itself in the end. Singer's Valkyrie is a smart, well-meaning two hours of cinema, and I was reasonably edutained by it, but at best I'd say it's one for the Netflix queue.

Some to Grow On.

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"Lemmings do not engage in suicidal dives off cliffs when migrating. They will, however, occasionally, and unintentionally fall off cliffs when venturing into unknown territory...The misconception is due largely to the Disney film White Wilderness, which shot many of the migration scenes (also staged by using multiple shots of different groups of lemmings) on a large, snow-covered turntable in a studio. Photographers later pushed the lemmings off a cliff."

LMG points the way to an interesting list of common misconceptions over at Wikipedia. "The Inuit do not have a large number of words for snow. One Eskimo-Aleut language studied had four unrelated root words...By comparison, English has many unrelated root words for snow as well: snow, sleet, powder, flurry, drift, avalanche and blizzard."

Picture Pages.

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By way of DCoE, Boston.com's "The Big Picture" picks the top 120 photographs of 2008. (This is part one -- parts two and three will follow on subsequent days.)

The Dream Redeemed.

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"'We played with great character in one of the great games in international basketball history, I think,' U.S. coach Mike Krzyzewski said." Congrats to the US men's Olympic basketball team, who returned to golden form this morning by closing out Spain 118-107. (Now, Coach D'Antoni, get thee to the Knickerbockers. We have work to do!)

"How could Saakashvili have made such a catastrophic misjudgment? The answer is that he stepped into an elephant trap set for him by Russia. Moscow-backed Ossetian rebels had been provoking the Georgians for weeks with artillery attacks and raids. Saakashvili took the bait. He sent in his army for an all-out grab. But the Georgian offensive gave Russia just the excuse it needed to send troops and tanks into Ossetia. More importantly, the fact that Georgia launched the first attack has robbed Saakashvili of the moral high ground...Russia has once again proved itself a master of the brutal art of colonial politics."

As Russian President Medvedev announces he is halting military operations (although, apparently, not quite yet), the Daily Mail's Owen Matthews explains what's happened in Georgia...and what's at stake. "The only non-Russian controlled oil pipeline from Central Asia and the Caucasus runs from Azerbaijan through Georgian territory to the Turkish Mediterranean port of Ceyhan...It is too late for Russia to do anything to stop the existing pipelines -- but a destabilised Georgia would doubtless undermine Western confidence in non-Russian gas supplies...[In addition] It's impossible that NATO will accept Georgia as a member as long as its rebel regions are occupied by Russian troops - so in invading South Ossetia, Russia has effectively drawn a line beyond which NATO cannot expand."

Georgia On Our Minds.

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"'I expressed my grave concern about the disproportionate response of Russia,' Bush said. 'We strongly condemn bombing outside of South Ossetia.'" As Georgian forces pull back from South Ossetia in the face of a full-scale Russian assault, the US, UN, and European Commission increasingly condemn Russian attacks across all of Georgia.

Meanwhile, Medvedev argues that Russian operations are winding down, but that troops will stay in South Ossetia for awhile. "Anatoly Nogovitsyn, a colonel-general on Russia's General Staff, said at a Moscow news briefing that Russia was not intending 'to invade Georgia' and that a 'key principle' of the current operation was that troops remain inside South Ossetia -- ostensibly to protect a population it said was under assault by the Georgian military, as well as its own peacekeepers stationed there." Update: Russia pushes into Georgia.


History has led us to a new crossroad, with new promise and new peril. When you, the German people, tore down that wall -- a wall that divided East and West; freedom and tyranny; fear and hope -- walls came tumbling down around the world. From Kiev to Cape Town, prison camps were closed, and the doors of democracy were opened. Markets opened too, and the spread of information and technology reduced barriers to opportunity and prosperity. While the 20th century taught us that we share a common destiny, the 21st has revealed a world more intertwined than at any time in human history...

Now the world will watch and remember what we do here -- what we do with this moment. Will we extend our hand to the people in the forgotten corners of this world who yearn for lives marked by dignity and opportunity; by security and justice? Will we lift the child in Bangladesh from poverty, shelter the refugee in Chad, and banish the scourge of AIDS in our time?

Will we stand for the human rights of the dissident in Burma, the blogger in Iran, or the voter in Zimbabwe? Will we give meaning to the words "never again" in Darfur

Will we acknowledge that there is no more powerful example than the one each of our nations projects to the world? Will we reject torture and stand for the rule of law? Will we welcome immigrants from different lands, and shun discrimination against those who don't look like us or worship like we do, and keep the promise of equality and opportunity for all of our people?

People of Berlin -- people of the world -- this is our moment. This is our time."

After stops in Kuwait, Afghanistan, Iraq, Jordan, and Israel, Sen. Obama takes his message to the heart of Berlin, before a crowd of over 200,000 at the Brandenburg Gate. [Video | Transcript.] As Der Spiegel's chief foreign desk editor put it after the speech: "No. 44 has spoken."

Well, let's make sure we all do our part on Election Day first. Still, it's safe to say the Obama World Tour has been knocked out of the park so far. Between this and Iraq's backing of the Obama plan earlier in the week, McCain's chances are, at least to my mind, looking downright dismal these days. And whining about the press, a.k.a. the mythical maverick's former "base", isn't going to right the ship for the GOP. Yep, all in all, things are looking pretty good for November...and beyond.

(By the way, when Sen. Obama isn't making the case for world peace, he's also got a pretty sweet jumper.)

As I'm sure you've heard, Central China experienced a devastating earthquake today, killing thousands. This follows the nightmare cyclone in Burma (not Myanmar), a.k.a. Katrina writ large, which may now have claimed upwards of 100,000 lives. [Donations.] As with the 2004 tsunami, it seems almost criminally obtuse to keep nattering on about superdelegates and movie trailers while such large-scale catastrophes are unfolding. But, what is there to do?

Monday Fiesta.

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How do you say "St. Patrick's Day" in Spanish? A very happy Cinco de Mayo to you and yours.

"The meeting was an error in judgment that will not be repeated, and I am sorry for it." Clinton consigliere and inveterate torturer of reason Mark Penn gets into trouble for playing both sides of a Colombian trade deal, is forced to apologize, and subsequently gets sacked by the nation in question. If only Sen. Clinton had followed Colombia's example months ago, she might still have a shot at the presidency right now.

In related news, Al Giordano of Rural Votes explains why Colombian president Alvaro Uribe is rooting against Obama, and why that speaks strongly in the Illinois Senator's favor. "The Uribe regime, after all, continues a chummy friendship with Bill Clinton, granting him the government’s 'Colombia Is Passion' Award last June. That, during the same 2007 spring when former vice president Al Gore cancelled his appearance at a Miami environmental conference because he did not want to share a podium with Uribe, the hemisphere’s poster boy for state-sponsored terrorism, narco-trafficking, and assassinations of opposition political, labor and social movement leaders."

Trouble in Tibet.

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"The protests, sparked by the anniversary of the failed 1959 uprising that sent Tibet's Dalai Lama into exile, are the latest embarrassment to hit 2008 Olympic-host China." Some deadly (and potentially Olympics-threatening) violence breaks out in Lhasa, Tibet, claiming between 10 and 100 lives (depending on the source.) "Chinese authorities blamed the Dalai Lama for the unrest, but the Dalai Lama said the protesters were simply acting out of 'deep-rooted resentment' of the Chinese government. 'As I have always said, unity and stability under brute force is at best a temporary solution...I therefore appeal to the Chinese leadership to stop using force and address the long-simmering resentment of the Tibetan people through dialogue with the Tibetan people. I also urge my fellow Tibetans not to resort to violence.'"

Reporting from China, the Atlantic's James Fallows says the news isn't really getting past the Great Firewall...yet.

"Depending on how you look at it, the Chinese government’s attempt to rein in the Internet is crude and slapdash or ingenious and well crafted. When American technologists write about the control system, they tend to emphasize its limits. When Chinese citizens discuss it—at least with me—they tend to emphasize its strength. All of them are right, which makes the government’s approach to the Internet a nice proxy for its larger attempt to control people’s daily lives."

Forget Ohio and Texas, Sen. Clinton...Want to see a "real" firewall in use? The Atlantic's James Fallows explains the nature and workings of China's "Great Firewall." "What the government cares about is making the quest for information just enough of a nuisance that people generally won’t bother...When this much is available inside the Great Firewall, why go to the expense and bother, or incur the possible risk, of trying to look outside? All the technology employed by the Golden Shield, all the marvelous mirrors that help build the Great Firewall—these and other modern achievements matter mainly for an old-fashioned and pre-technological reason. By making the search for external information a nuisance, they drive Chinese people back to an environment in which familiar tools of social control come into play."

Ex-Pats United.

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It's not just here at home. Sen. Obama takes the Americans Abroad primary 2-1 (65%-32%), winning most of the countries around the world (Ex-pats in Israel and the Philippines opted for Clinton.) Thanks, Kris, and all the other Obama voters out there across the seas. Update: Clinton did well in the DR as well.

Cuba Libre.

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"To my close compatriots...I say that I will not aspire to nor accept -- I repeat, I will not aspire to nor accept -- the office of President of the Council of State or Commander in Chief." After nearly fifty years in power, Fidel Castro steps down in Cuba. Hopefully, this will encourage our leaders to begin advocating a more reasonable and sane policy towards our neighbor in the Caribbean.

1.4 Trillion, and Rising.

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"Today’s American system values upheaval; it’s been a while since we’ve seen too much of it. But Americans who lived through the Depression knew the pain real disruption can bring. Today’s Chinese, looking back on their country’s last century, know, too. With a lack of tragic imagination, Americans have drifted into an arrangement that is comfortable while it lasts, and could last for a while more. But not much longer." The Atlantic's James Fallows examines the unstable financial codependence between China and the United States, and how it could all too easily unravel. "Lawrence Summers calls today’s arrangement 'the balance of financial terror,' and says that it is flawed in the same way that the 'mutually assured destruction' of the Cold War era was...With allowances for hyperbole, something similar applies to the dollar standoff. China can’t afford to stop feeding dollars to Americans, because China’s own dollar holdings would be devastated if it did. As long as that logic holds, the system works. As soon as it doesn’t, we have a big problem." Update: Make that 1.53 trillion.

"The Berliner Morgenpost over the weekend ran with the headline, 'The New Kennedy.' The tabloid Bild went with, "This Black American Has Become the New Kennedy!'" Speaking of JFK, it seems Iowa and (hopefully) New Hampshire are not alone. Obama-mania is sweeping Germany. "An editorial in the Frankfurter Rundschau went one historic president better with a headline that read simply: 'Lincoln, Kennedy, Obama,' adding that 'hope and optimism' are 'the source of the nation's strength.'" (I was going to say something along the lines of "But is Obama a jelly donut?" As I just discovered, though, that oft-told "Berliner" gaffe may not be true.)

God Save the Qwiin.

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"When she saw William playing a game after lunch at Sandringham she thought the Nintendo looked tremendous fun and begged to join in. She played a simple ten-pin bowling game and by all accounts was a natural." Hey, Helen Mirren, how much ya bowl? By way of Web Goddess, it seems Queen Elizabeth has taken to the Wii. "Although she is 81 the Queen's hand-eye co-ordination was as good as somebody half her age...She showed all the signs of becoming a Nintendo addict."

Desktop Timesuck.

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Just in case you were lacking for things to do this New Years' Eve, two rather addictive online games: First up, Desktop Tower Defense, which my family spent a good deal of time on over the Christmas break. Second, Travelpod's Traveler IQ Challenge, a test your geography knowledge sorta thing. So long, Spider Solitaire.

A Death in Pakistan.

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Benazir Bhutto, 1953-2007. It seems all too many christmases of late has been marked by grim news on the global front, from the devastating tsunami to the botched Saddam execution. This year, obviously, it was the assassination of the former prime minister who, while no angel, nevertheless embodied for many hopes for a stable, democratic Pakistan. Her murder -- in the military stronghold of Rawalpindi, no less -- further destabilizes a nuclear-armed nation already teetering on the brink, and roils significantly the Dubya administration's fatally flawed approach to the country. Let's just hope Bhutto isn't remembered as the next Franz Ferdinand.

"The consequences of Bush and Rice's passivity were disastrous. Israel didn't lose the war, but it didn't win, either, and that's what it had to do to maintain its image of invincibility, which has long deterred hostile neighbors from contemplating aggression. Hezbollah didn't win, but all it had to do was not lose, and it clearly achieved that goal, enhancing its reputation as the power that had stood up to the Zionists and faced them down." In his discussion of the recent Mideast summit in Annapolis (which publicly aimed to kickstart peace talks between Israel and the Palestinians, and privately aimed to pry Syria further away from Iran), Slate's Fred Kaplan brings up a crucial -- and missed -- opportunity for diplomacy last year, during the Israel-Lebanon crisis. "(By the way, this may have been the genesis of a new Israeli verb, lecondel—in Hebrew, 'to Condel,' short for 'to Condoleezza' -- meaning, as the New York Times' Steven Erlanger has explained, to come and go for meetings that produce few results.)" And, speaking of political linguistics, it turns out that Annapolis, however picturesque, might not have been the best place to hold the summit -- In Arabic, "Annapolis" roughly translates to "I am the Police."

Howard's End.

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"Today the Australian people have decided that we as a nation will move forward." Dubya loses an important conservative ally on the international front as long-standing Australian PM John Howard is voted out of office, to be replaced by Kevin Rudd of the Labor Party. "Rudd, a Chinese-speaking former diplomat, has also promised to sign the Kyoto Protocol on global warming, leaving the U.S. as the only industrialized country not to have joined it...Rudd promised to pull Australia's 550 combat troops from Iraq in a phased withdrawal, and to quickly sign Kyoto. Howard had rejected withdrawal plans for Australia's troops in Iraq, and refused to ratify the pact on reducing greenhouse gas emissions." Ozzie ozzie ozzie! Welcome back to the reality-based community, y'all (and here's hoping we catch up with you next year.)

Pakistan on the Ropes.

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"'The train is derailed and off the tracks,' said Stephen P. Cohen, author of 'The Idea of Pakistan.' 'We have to give ourselves a share of the responsibility for this. We placed all of our chips on Musharraf.' At this point, Cohen added: 'I don't think there is anything we can do. We are not big players in this anymore.'" Dubya diplomacy takes another huge hit as a power-hungry President Musharraf declares martial law in Pakistan to ensure his continued reign, sparking nationwide protests and leaving the Bushies between a rock and a hard place. "One adviser traveling with Rice saw a silver lining in the rapid turn of events. 'Thank heavens for small favors,' the official said. Compared to Pakistan, 'Iraq looks pretty good.'" Oh, joy.

Update: Slate's Fred Kaplan weighs in. "The state of emergency in Pakistan signals yet another low point in President George W. Bush's foreign policy -- a stark demonstration of his paltry influence and his bankrupt principles. More than that, the crackdown locks us in a crisis -- a potentially dangerous dynamic -- from which there appears to be no escape route...The Bush foreign policy was neither shrewd enough to play self-interested power politics nor truly principled enough to enforce its ideals."

Trials by Fire.

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I've been derelict in posting here the past week, but obviously there've been some pretty dismal stories in the news of late, from the fiery swath of destruction visited upon California to the horrifying house fire that claimed seven South Carolinians. To those who've lost friends or family (or homes) in the recent conflagrations, my heart goes out to you. (And one bright spot amid the tales of woe, congrats to the 2007 BoSox for their second World Series sweep this decade. The Curse is now assuredly laid to rest.)

No Time for Fools.

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"If you're really worried about Iran, do you want to put your faith in the United States, the country that bungled Iraq? If you really care about Islamic fundamentalism, do you want to be led by the country that, distracted by Iraq, failed to predict the return of the Taliban in Pakistan and Afghanistan?" Why has the world soured on America of late? The real reason, argues Slate's Anne Applebaum and the data she surveys, is that, thanks to seven years of Dubya, we're starting to look incompetent. "And even if the surge works, even if the roadside bombs vanish, inept is a word that will always be used about the Iraqi invasion."

Basra to the Spoils.

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"'The British have basically been defeated in the south,' a senior U.S. intelligence official said recently in Baghdad. They are abandoning their former headquarters at Basra Palace, where a recent official visitor from London described them as 'surrounded like cowboys and Indians' by militia fighters." More bad news in Iraq: Once considered a comparative success story of sorts, the formerly British-held city of Basra now seems to be deteriorating as quickly as the rest of Iraq (except that, rather than experiencing sectarian conflict between Shiites and Sunnis, the more homogenous Basra is witnessing Shiite militias struggling amongst themselves.) "Much of Basra's violence is 'over who gets what cut from Iraq's economic resources,' a U.S. Army strategist in Iraq said."

Unamid to the rescue?

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"The resolution allows the use of force in self-defense, to ensure freedom of movement for humanitarian workers and to protect civilians under attack." In a unanimous vote, the UN Security Council agrees to send 26,000 peace-keeping troops and police -- a UN-AU hybrid force known as Unamid -- to Darfur. "Ban Ki-moon , the UN Secretary-General, called the move a 'historic and unprecedented operation' that will send 'a clear and powerful signal' of help to the people of Darfur." That being said, many observers -- among them Sen. Russ Feingold -- feel this version of the resolution has been excessively watered down to appease the Sudanese government: "If this UN resolution is passed as it currently stands, we can expect the Sudanese government to try to evade its requirements and agreements without a single consequence. Should that happen, the toll of the genocide in Darfur will continue to mount -- in lives lost, in persons displaced, and in fundamental human values that the international community has failed to uphold."

When Dubya met Gordie.

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"Call it the 'special relationship'; call it, as Churchill did, the 'joint inheritance'; call it, when we meet, as a form of homecoming, as President Reagan did. The strength of this relationship...is not just built on the shared problems that we have to deal with together or on the shared history, but is built...on shared values." Wanna know who (is Mr Brown)? So does Dubya...The new British prime minister and Bush held their first joint press conference yesterday (transcript), and -- so far -- it's all smiles. Still, "[t]he British leader did not hide his differences with the president, describing Afghanistan as 'the front line against terrorism.'...[He also] avoided using the phrase "war on terror" in describing the effort to hunt down and defeat Islamic radicals. He referred to terrorism 'as a crime' and 'not a cause,' though he went on to say that 'there should be no safe haven and no hiding place for those who practice terrorist violence or preach terrorist extremism.'"

Blair bids farewell.

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"I wish everyone, friend or foe, well. And that is that -- the end." So long, Tony (and good luck in the Middle East.) 'We're very glad to see him go, because he's the most dangerous opponent that we've had in a couple of hundred years,' former Conservative leader William Hague told the BBC afterward.'" That may have been true for awhile, I guess. Too bad Blair decided to pull an LBJ and mar his otherwise-sound progressive legacy with an exceedingly ill-advised foreign war. But, time marches onward, so, with that in mind, Hello to Gordie and the New Labor Order.

What Rough Beast?

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"I am going to say something that few people in public life will say, but most know is absolutely true: a vast aspect of our jobs today - outside of the really major decisions, as big as anything else - is coping with the media, its sheer scale, weight and constant hyperactivity. At points, it literally overwhelms." In his final weeks as prime minister, Tony Blair addresses the problem of the media, calling it "like a feral beast, just tearing people and reputations to bits." (Full text of remarks.) "The result is a media that increasingly and to a dangerous degree is driven by 'impact'. Impact is what matters. It is all that can distinguish, can rise above the clamour, can get noticed. Impact gives competitive edge. Of course the accuracy of a story counts. But it is secondary to impact. It is this necessary devotion to impact that is unravelling standards, driving them down, making the diversity of the media not the strength it should be but an impulsion towards sensation above all else."

I wouldn't say the feral beast metaphor gets right at it -- until last year, most of the major news media, in this country at least, was rather well domesticated: It let Dubya lie his way through just about anything, including building a case for war in Iraq on false pretenses, with impunity. But, clearly something is broken with "this relationship between public life and media," as Blair put it. In the midst of a conflict that's been dragging on longer than World War II, you're still likely to hear more about Paris Hilton's jail travails (Prison sucks? Our criminal justice system tends to favor the wealthy? Who knew?), Don Imus's racist bromides (A bile-spewing racist on talk radio? Wherever did they find him?), or the winner of American Idol, to take only three recent examples, than anything of use about the status of the conflict, or our actions, there. And even coverage of the horrifying tragedy at Virginia Tech, obviously a legitimate news story, descended into exploitation almost immediately (and provoked very little understanding that this level of tragedy has become virtually a daily occurrence in Iraq.) They're just giving us what they want, I suspect the comeback is, and that's almost assuredly true. But, still, it'd be nice to see a little more daily recognition from our major journalistic outlets that the mass media in our society performs a crucial -- if not the crucial -- function in informing the electorate on current events and providing the information indispensable to maintaining an active, responsive citizenry, and that other factors should come into play in their coverage than just the corporate bottom line. Update: From the press box, Slate's Jack Shafer cries foul.

"Dmitri Trenin, deputy director of the Carnegie Endowment's Moscow center, put it well in an insightful article in Foreign Affairs, published a year ago. 'Until recently,' he wrote, 'Russia saw itself as Pluto in the Western solar system, very far from the center but still fundamentally a part of it. Now it has left that orbit entirely. Russia's leaders have given up on becoming part of the West and have started creating their own Moscow-centered system.'" With Dubya on the road for the G8 summit, Slate's Fred Kaplan surveys the state of US-Russian relations, concluding that "something is happening...[but w]e're not -- or at least there's nothing inevitable about our becoming -- enemies."

"Within the next few weeks I won't be the prime minister of this country. In all probability a Scot will become prime minister of this country and that's someone who built one of the strongest economies in the world and who I've always said would make a great prime minister." With recent tough defeats for Labor in Scotland punctuating his closing weeks, Tony Blair announces he will make an announcement tomorrow concerning his forthcoming resignation and likely replacement by Chancellor Gordon Brown. And, across the channel, France elects Nicolas Sarkozy as its new president, a conservative who's seen as both US-friendly and Dubya-friendly. Meanwhile, E.J. Dionne wonders what recent events mean for European -- and American -- progressives. Update: Tony Blair announces his last day: June 27.

"'He was a remarkable man who saw the need for democratic and economic reform and in defending it played a vital role at a crucial time in Russia's history,' Blair said." Boris Yeltsin, 1931-2007.

In the deadliest act of school violence in American history, at least 33 people lie dead at Virginia Tech after what was presumably a jilted student's bloody shooting rampage."'It is difficult to comprehend senseless violence on this scale,' said Virginia's Governor Timothy M. Kaine in a statement."

And, as details from this story emerge, I've been catching up over at Medley on the recent nightmare befalling blogger Kathy Sierra, who's been the recipient of sexually repugnant death threats as a result of her posting on, of all things, tech issues. (Not to say that posting on anything else would justify the depraved sexist bile thrown her way, but I've sadly come to half-expect that sort of vileness from Freepers, the uglier elements of dKos, and the like.) I guess I shouldn't be all that surprised by the disgusting misogyny pervading this latter incident -- it's sorta like people acting surprised that we've found a racist in our midst in Don Imus, as if bigoted old white guys in positions of power were a dwindling species or something. And, true, these two events have little or nothing to do with each other, except that I'm finding out about them at the same time. Still, I have to say, sometimes all the rage, ugliness, and despair that seems to lurk just under the brittle crust of our society is overwhelmingly disheartening. Let's get it together, people. To go back to Auden again, we must love one another or die.

Update: Exhibit C in today's litany of horrors, this ghastly assault on a Columbia Journalism grad student, which occurred not more than twenty blocks from here over the weekend. Sweet merciful Jesus, this is a sick, sick world sometimes. Update 2: They got him.

Wish It Were Sunday.

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How does it feel when your heart grows cold? Statisticians have deemed today "Blue Monday," the most depressing day of the year. Um, if you say so. Clearly, these geniuses have never heard of Valentine's Day.

Other important leadership shifts, these in and around New York: Having officially replaced Kofi Annan at the UN earlier this week, new general secretary Ban Ki-Moon cleans house, announces his own team and sets the Darfur crisis as a top priority. And, over in Albany, New York governor (and future presidential contender?) Elliot Spitzer delivers both his first Inaugural [text] and his first State of the State [PDF]: "In an hourlong address that was largely a repudiation of the policies of his predecessor, George E. Pataki, the new governor said he would seek to broadly overhaul the state's ethics and lobbying rules. He said he would make prekindergarten available to all 4-year-olds by the end of his term, overhaul the public authorities that control most of the state's debt and make New York more inviting to business by reducing the cost of workers' compensation."

The Dangling Conversation.

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So, as I'm guessing you probably heard, Saddam was hung [obit]. Well, as a long-delayed deliverance of justice visited upon a bloodthirsty and sadistic tyrant, the execution may have been a success. But as a piece of political theater and a symbolic and unifying act of statebuilding, it definitely left something to be desired. Unfortunately, even notwithstanding the poorly-timed Shiite revelry, the hanging came across on tape less as a dispassionate exercise by the new Iraqi State than a heated episode of sectarian vigilantism, one that may grant Saddam more power in martyrdom than he's had in life since his capture. Something to consider if and when Osama Bin Laden is ever brought to justice...

There and Back Again.

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"I want to see mountains again, mountains, Gandalf! And then find somewhere quiet where I can finish my book...I need a holiday -- a very long holiday -- and I don't expect I shall return. In fact, I mean not to!" Or at least for a couple of weeks. Yes y'all, Christmas is arriving early this year in these parts: Later today I and several other members of the Clan Murphy are headed off to Middle Earth, a.k.a, the World of (18 hours in) the Future, a.k.a. New Zealand, so as to enjoy a few holiday weeks of traveling, hiking, trout-fishing, and general exploring. So, as you might expect, updates here at GitM will undoubtedly be more intermittent (and the comment-spam more pronounced) than usual, although I'll try to check in every now and again should the Internet present itself. (Also, reviews of the season's big films -- Children of Men, Pan's Labyrinth, Inland Empire, The Good German/Shepherd -- will likely be posted late, upon my return.) Until then, be safe, stay warm, and happy holidays...I'll see you when I'll see you.


World AIDS Day 2006.

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"We are all sick because of AIDS - and we are all tested by this crisis." -- Sen. Barack Obama

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Simon Says.

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"Thematically, it's about the very simple idea that, in this Postmodern world of ours, human beings -- all of us -- are worth less. We're worth less every day, despite the fact that some of us are achieving more and more. It's the triumph of capitalism...The show is written in a 21st-century city-state that is incredibly bureaucratic, and in which a legal pursuit of an unenforceable prohibition has created great absurdity."

Slate publishes a fascinating extended interview with Wire creator David Simon, which touches on, among other things, why there won't be a Season 6 focusing on Latino immigrants, and what we can expect from Season 5. "Yes, the last season. The last theme is basically asking the question, why aren't we paying attention? If we got everything right in the last four seasons in depicting this city-state, how is it that these problems -- which have been attendant problems regardless of who is in power -- how is it that they endure? That brings into mind one last institution, which is the media. What are we paying attention to?" I can't say it enough -- if you're not paying attention to The Wire, you owe it to yourself to rent Season 1 and start playing catch-up next to immediately. It really is far and away the best show on television, perhaps ever. Certainly, it's the savviest take on American politics ever put to the small screen.

Lulled into Security.

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Jeffrey Sachs, take note: A new report finds that the best way to get the US to pony up some foreign aid for impoverished nations is to get that country on the Security Council, and pronto. "A two-year seat on the Security Council, for instance, can generate a 59 percent spike in U.S. assistance, according to a study by two Harvard University scholars that tracked U.S. economic and military assistance from 1946 to 2001. In times of crisis, U.S. aid to some member countries has increased by as much as 170 percent. Those aid levels tend to recede after the country leaves the 15-nation council." So, great news, Panama...You just hit the jackpot.

"So, here we are. The two major powers in this confrontation are led by blunderers; the provocateur is a chronic miscalculator. It doesn't look good." Oh, so there's the WMD: As John Bolton pushes for aggressive sanctions at the UN against the Kim Jong-Il regime, Slate's Fred Kaplan parses several ugly scenarios that could unfold after North Korea's nuclear gamble on Monday (the same day, coincidentally, that South Korean Ban Ki-moon won official Security Council backing to replace Kofi Annan. Looks like he'll be working overtime right out of the box.) By the way, if you're keeping score at home, Dubya & co. now seem to have grievously mishandled all three prongs of the "axis of evil" trifecta. Sigh. That's great, it starts with an earthquake...

...and Ki-Moon.

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Meanwhile, back on Earth, the Security Council seemingly decides on Ban Ki-Moon, South Korea's foreign minister, to replace Kofi Annan as the next general secretary of the United Nations. Ban's closest rival, India's Shashi Tharoor, has conceded the race...Official word comes next Monday.

A very happy Labor Day to you and yours.

More grim news in the world-going-to-hell-in-a-handbasket department: So, obviously, there now seems to be a full-fledged firing war going on between Israel and Hezbollah, one which has already set back Lebanon years and threatens to bring in Syria and Iran as official combatants (a.k.a. Hezbollah's main backers) if it keeps up. For his part, other than having Bolton spike a UN resolution condemning Israel for "disproportionate use of force," Dubya has been basically AWOL in terms of world leadership -- in fact, he's been more effusive about a German pig of late than he has a conflagration that threatens nothing less than full-scale war across the Middle East. Where have you gone Bill Clinton, our nation turns it lowly eyes to you?

"'It's difficult to think of many other times and many other presidencies when so many dangerous events were happening at once,' says Wendy Sherman, a State Department official under President Clinton. 'But there's so much going on in every global hot spot because the Bush Administration really opened up Pandora's box with little-to-no plans to support their actions.'" TIME Magazine composes a cover story obit for the Bush doctrine. Good riddance: "As it turns out, Iraq may prove to be not only the first but also the last laboratory for preventive war. Instead of deterring the rulers in Tehran and Pyongyang, the travails of the U.S. occupation may have emboldened those regimes in their quest to obtain nuclear weapons while constraining the U.S. military's ability to deter them."

Viva Italia!

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A belated congrats to Italy on winning the 2006 World Cup. I was rooting for France, and a PK shootout is a truly terrible way to choose the Cup champion, but -- after headbuttgate and the Baggio mishap in 1994 -- Italy seemed karmically due. At any rate, see y'all in 2010. And, now, alas, we've hit the sports dead zone until September...perhaps it's time to give MLS another go, what with Red Bull United now on the pitch... Update: Zidane speaks.

Dark Lord of Flatbush.

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"In buildings like 712 Nostrand Avenue, residents, many of whom are small children or seniors, go for months at a time without heat or hot water in a building that is little more than a sieve, with holes in the walls, dislodged window frames, and the wraith of a roof door off its hinges." Friend, poker buddy, and journalist Olaf Bertram-Nothnagel evalutes the sordid career of Olufemi Falade as part of the Village Voice's Ten Worst Landlords series.

Failure to Launch.

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"George Bush's luck hasn't run out just yet. North Korea's Fourth of July missile fizzle is the biggest diplomatic break that the president has caught all term -- and the biggest setback ('catastrophe' wouldn't be too strong a word) that his most-loathed nemesis, Kim Jong-il, has suffered in years." Slate's Fred Kaplan sees good news for the US in yesterday's North Korean rocket launch, as, in effect, "Kim Jong-il shook the dice and rolled craps." Still, "[w]hat happens next is worthy of nail-biting."

A belated happy 230th Independence Day to you and yours, and here's hoping the recent spate of scary news (North Korean missiles, incipent war in Gaza) didn't detract too much from the festivities in your parts. (Also, with regards to more joyous fourth of july rocket launches, congrats to the crew of Discovery STS-121 on a successful return to space yesterday.)

Warren Peace.

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"You have an innovator and a world business leader -- the combination of the two making such a huge personal investment of time and wealth, it does raise the bar and raise the profile of philanthropy.." A tip of the hat to Warren Buffett for his recent decision to turn his considerable assets to philanthropy and help the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation better our world. "The foundation, already the nation's largest with a $30 billion endowment that has largely come from Bill Gates, will hand out more per year than the gross domestic product of nearly 40 countries, including Mongolia, Togo and Zimbabwe."

Great Eye in the Karoo.

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The WP takes a gander at the Southern African Large Telescope (SALT), which "can see 13 billion years back in time, nearly to the big bang. With its 10-by-11-foot hexagonal mirror -- the largest of its type in the world -- SALT concentrates the faintest, most distant light in the universe. If a candle were to flicker on the moon, SALT could detect it."

Pulitzer Punches.

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As you likely heard, the 2006 Pulitzer Prizes were announced yesterday. Special kudos go to the WP team of Susan Schmidt, James Grimaldi, and R. Jeffrey Smith for helping to expose Casino Jack; to the Post's Dana Priest for disclosing Dubya's secret gulags; to the NYT's Nicholas Kristof for his consistently excellent commentary on world issues that merit more US (and GitM) attention; to historians David Oshinsky, Kai Bird, and Martin Sherwin for their recent books on polio and J. Robert Oppenheimer respectively; and to the inimitable Edmund Morgan -- one of my favorite historians -- who won a special citation for his "creative and deeply influential body of work" over the last half-century.

Yankee, Leave Home.

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"Surveys consistently show that Americans are viewed as arrogant, insensitive, over-materialistic and ignorant about local values. That, in short, is the image of the Ugly American abroad and we want to change it." Concerned about the "worryingly accurate" international stereotype of boorish Americans abroad, the State Department and several corporate partners create a handy etiquette manual for would-be world travelers. Some sample advice: "Listen at least as much as you talk. (By all means, talk about America and your life in our country. But also ask people you're visiting about themselves and their way of life.)" Hmm...can we get a copy to Dubya?

Rumors of War?

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"God may smile on us, but I don't think so. The bottom line is that Iran cannot become a nuclear-weapons state. The problem is that the Iranians realize that only by becoming a nuclear state can they defend themselves against the U.S. Something bad is going to happen." Although Dubya is personally dismissing the report as "wild speculation", The New Yorker's Sy Hersh argues in a terrifying piece that the administration is actively planning for "regime change" in Iran, and -- no joke -- the use of tactical nuclear weapons (particularly "bunker-busters") is on the table.

No doubt about it, this is trouble. A nuclear Iran would represent a grievous threat to the region (and particularly Israel), and must be prevented by diplomatic means if at all possible. But, after the Iraq WMD debacle, this administration has become the boy who cried wolf, and -- just as the US is facing perhaps its thorniest diplomatic issue yet, neither our European allies nor many US observers trust Dubya's motives or credibility any more, to say nothing of his basic competence. ("Speaking of President Bush, [one] House member said, 'The most worrisome thing is that this guy has a messianic vision.'.") And, needless to say, if Dubya and the neocons screw this one up, the consequences for both the entire Middle East and the war on terror -- as well as our own homeland security -- could be nightmarish. "If we move against Iran, Hezbollah will not sit on the sidelines. Unless the Israelis take them out, they will mobilize against us...If we go, the southern half of Iraq will light up like a candle."

Update: ""I'm announcing officially that Iran has now joined the countries that have nuclear technology." The situation darkens with Iran's successful (increased) enrichment of uranium. "Iran had previously enriched uranium to a level of about 2 percent, using a smaller cascade, and separately enriched uranium to about 15 percent during laser experiments in 2002. Bomb-grade uranium must be enriched to a level of well over 80 percent...Though it is technically possible, most nuclear experts agree it is unlikely Iran would be able to make bomb-grade uranium with the[ir current] 164-centrifuge cascade." Still, Russia and Britain are decrying the advance, and Secretary Rice wants "strong steps" by the UN Security Council in reply.

"In the wake of Bosnia and Rwanda, the assumption is that ethnically divided countries can never function. But countless countries at risk of civil war have been able to avoid going over the cliff...So, how have divided countries kept the peace? Here are a few successful strategies." With Iraq seemingly on the precipice of civil war, Princeton professor Gary Bass (who was one of my teaching fellows at Harvard back in the day) briefly summarizes possible ways to stem the sectarian violence in Slate.

Murder by Numbers.

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Well, this might explain the recent discrepancy in casualty numbers. Backed by a recent UN human rights report saying much the same thing, an anonymous Iraqi ministry official claims that a Shiite party representative "ordered that government hospitals and morgues catalogue deaths caused by bombings or clashes with insurgents, but not by execution-style shootings."

Used to be my homies.

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"While he remains sympathetic to the democracy-spreading mission, Fukuyama castigates the unilateral and militaristic turns that gave us such concepts as 'preventive war,' 'benevolent hegemony,' and 'regime change.' Neoconservatives, he contends, have abandoned their fundamental political insight, namely that ambitious schemes to remake societies are doomed to disappointment, failure, and unintended consequences. 'Opposition to utopian social engineering,' Fukuyama writes '...is the most enduring thread running through the movement.' Yet neoconservatives today are bogged down in an attempt to remake a poorly understood, catastrophically damaged, and deeply alien semi-country in the Middle East. How did these smart people stray -- and lead the country -- so far off course?"

Um, well, maybe 'cause a lot of 'em read Fukuyama's The End of History back in the day? Jacob Weisberg reviews Francis Fukuyama's new book, America at the Crossroads, and, while it's good to see principled conservatives take this administration's egregiously inept Iraq policy to task, it's also hard to believe that the neocons didn't share Fukuyama's earlier contention going in that "the universalization of Western liberal democracy as the final form of human government" was both an historical inevitability and in full flourish. Fukuyama can play the aggrieved realist now, but that's definitely not how he made a name for himself.

Dog Days.

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It's your year, bud. We're just living in it.

Republican Publicans.

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"More alarming were Richard Nixon's last years at the White House. After a good many evening martinis, he would call Henry Kissinger, and the secretary of state would grin silently as he passed around the telephone so that others could listen to their commander in chief's unbalanced ramblings. Since Nixon was in a position to blow us all up, this suggests a somewhat esoteric sense of humor on Kissinger's part." With the fall of Britain's Charles Kennedy, Slate's Geoffrey Wheatcroft very briefly surveys the sordid history of alcoholism in politics. (He could, I think, have done more with The Alcoholic Republic.)

Tehran Twaddle.

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"The West has given more significance to the myth of the genocide of the Jews, even more significant than God, religion, and the prophets." In the world-gets-even-scarier-department, Iran's hardliner president publicly indulges in Holocaust denial. Clearly, Iran is living up to its axis-of-evil appellation these days, but remember: Ahmadinejad's election was in part blowback from Dubya's amateurish and tone-deaf Middle-East policy in the first place. At any rate, it's clear that our Iran situation is worsening, and that Iranian possession of nukes is a truly frightening scenario.

Warehouses of Warcraft.

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"'We're like a stock exchange. You can buy and sell with us,' says Alan Qiu, a founder of the Shanghai-based Ucdao.com. 'We farm out the different jobs. Some people say, "I want to get from Level 1 to 60," so we find someone to do that.'" Via a friend in the program, the NYT examines Chinese online gaming factories. "Most of the players here actually make less than a quarter an hour, but they often get room, board and free computer game play in these 'virtual sweatshops.'"

Nuts.

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"What's this whole world comin' to? Things just ain't the same...any time the hunter gets captured by the game." Great. Now Berk's gonna have nightmares...I blame Veruca Salt.

"I was trying to escape. Obviously, it didn't work." If it's any consolation, Dubya, we all feel just as trapped. In one of those resounding visual metaphors that capture a presidency and that life occasionally kicks up for all to see (the last one being Dubya's fiddling during Katrina), our leader gets stymied by a locked door while trying to evade a reporter's questions about his China trip (which were pretty softball, given all the things he could've been asking these days.)

In somewhat related news, in the relatively sanguine Post story about the door incident, the following depressing information is included: "In five years in the presidency, Bush has proved a decidedly unadventurous traveler...As he barnstormed through Japan, South Korea and China, with a final stop in Mongolia still to come, Bush visited no museums, tried no restaurants, bought no souvenirs and made no effort to meet ordinary local people...[Laura Bush] once persuaded him to go to the Hermitage Museum in St. Petersburg, only to see him burn through the place in 30 minutes. He dispensed with the Kremlin cathedrals in Moscow in seven minutes. He flatly declined an Australian invitation to attend the Rugby World Cup while down under."

To Whom It May Concern...

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"It must be on the basis by which I travel anywhere, being in a private aircraft, which bears a substantial cost unfortunately...I am confident that we will have a long, productive and warm relationship, but good relationships are built on firm understandings at the outset." Among his many other shady dealings, it seems "Casino Jack" Abramoff tried to bilk the President of Gabon for $9 million, in order to set up a meeting with Dubya. Apparently, Gabon didn't take up his offer...I wonder if they considered it spam.

Horror in Jordan.

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Another terror strike: This time, a series of bombs in Amman kill 67 and wound 150, many of them guests at a wedding celebration. No one's claimed responsibility yet, but Al Qaeda is obviously a good bet...word is they've tried to hit Jordan before. Update: Al Qaeda it is.

As our GOP Congress looks to shoot the messenger over secret prisons, England's House of Commons rejects an anti-terror bill pushed by Prime Minister Blair -- his "first defeat" after 8 years in office -- which would allow terrorist suspects to be held for 90 days without charge. Meanwhile, France approaches the two-week mark of youth rioting, despite curfews, increased jail time, threats of deportation, and the shutdown of instigating blogs, and the rest of Europe looks on with trepidation...

America Embraces Room 101.

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As the Cheney-Addington gang work to strip the Geneva Convention from prisoner treatment manuals, the Washington Post uncovers an overseas network of CIA "black sites," a.k.a. gulags, some of which actually use old Soviet compounds in Eastern Europe(!) "It is illegal for the government to hold prisoners in such isolation in secret prisons in the United States, which is why the CIA placed them overseas...Legal experts and intelligence officials said that the CIA's internment practices also would be considered illegal under the laws of several host countries, where detainees have rights to have a lawyer or to mount a defense against allegations of wrongdoing."

Whatsmore, these gulags, created under this administration since 9/11, "were built and are maintained with congressionally appropriated funds, but the White House has refused to allow the CIA to brief anyone except the House and Senate intelligence committees' chairmen and vice chairmen on the program's generalities." There's no other way to look at this: By appropriating the tactics of our enemies, as John McCain warned earlier this month, we have abandoned our most fundamental principles and shamed our nation. Evildoers? Please. Dubya need look no further than his own White House and CIA. Update: Congress and the EU want answers.

Tehran talks terror.

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As if the revelations of Syria's role in the Hariri assassination weren't disturbing enough, now the recently-elected president of Iran, a state with nuclear ambitions, is making nightmarish and freakshow statements reasserting the goal of Israel's destruction. With rhetoric escalating and five years of Dubya's "with-us-or-against-us" diplomacy helping to shore up hardliners across the Middle East, it seems Iraq may soon be the least of our problems in the region.

The Road to Damascus.

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"'This is simply the beginning,' said Farid El-Khazen, a Lebanese lawmaker and political scientist. 'There is little room for maneuver left...Syria doesn't have a middle-ground option." Hmmm. This is not good.

The Once and Future Quake.

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"Earth, that living, seething, often inhospitable and not altogether intelligently designed thing, has again shrugged, and tens of thousands of Pakistanis are dead...Americans reeling from Hurricane Katrina, and warned of scores of millions of potential deaths from avian flu, have a vague feeling -- never mind the disturbing rest of the news -- of pervasive menace from things out of control. Too vague, according to Simon Winchester." In light of the horrifying calamity in Pakistan this past weekend (as well as Katrina and the tsunami), George Will peruses Simon Winchester's new book on the San Francisco earthquake of 1906.

When the Levee Breaks.

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Obviously, the big story right now is the tremendous and nightmarish devastation wrought by Katrina upon the Gulf, particularly in Louisiana and Mississippi. The first reports suggested that the Big Easy had dodged the bullet when Katrina zigged to the right at the last moment, but the broken levees and rising floodwaters have obliterated that silver lining (which was likely little consolation anyway to the people of Biloxi and Gulfport, who felt Katrina's full wrath.) Now, the news out of N'Orleans, one of America's most unique and historic cities, sounds worse with each passing hour. My thoughts are with the people of New Orleans and the region (and their most esteemed bloggers) as they try to pick up the pieces after this continuing catastrophe.

Who's there?

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Candygram... (Via FmH.)

7/7 and the G8.

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"This is a war of the unknown warriors; but let all strive without failing in faith or in duty." Only a day after Olympic euphoria, London suffers its worst attack since the Blitz, resulting in 38 dead and 700 wounded. Many condolences to the people of London and the families of the fallen, and I hope these cowardly and reprehensible bombings won't overly divert Tony Blair and the G8 from their larger agenda (even if Dubya refuses to play ball on global warming.)

Axis of Evil Redux.

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"'Unknowingly, (Bush) pushed Iranians to vote so that they can prove their loyalty to the regime -- even if they are in disagreement with it,' said Hamed al-Abdullah, a political science professor at Kuwait University." As per the usual with this tone-deaf administration, it appears recent remarks by Dubya may well have spurred support for the Iranian ultraconservatives and further weakened reformers in Iran. "The sharp barbs from President Bush were widely seen in Iran as damaging to pro-reform groups because the comments appeared to have boosted turnout among hard-liners in Friday's election -- with the result being that an ultraconservative now is in a two-way showdown for the presidency."

Non.

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As feared by EU supporters around Europe, the EU charter vote fails in France. That's very disappointing, if not unexpected. Update: The Dutch pile on.

GWOT and bothered.

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The Bush administration announces they're going to reevaluate their anti-terrorism strategies. To put it mildly, "[t]he policy review marks what many experts regard as a belated shift." Well, perhaps a good place to start would be looking harder at who we sell weapons to, so we as advocates of freedom around the world aren't forced to explain away situations like the recent massacre in Uzbekistan. (2nd link via Looka.)

Frodo to Dylan in Four.

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By way of Supercres, here's a really neat time-killer: Omnipelagos, a.k.a. Six Degrees of Anything (on Wikipedia.)

Don't Fault Yalta.

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"Bush stopped short of accusing Franklin D. Roosevelt and Winston Churchill of outright perfidy, but his words recalled those of hardcore FDR- and Truman-haters circa 1945...Bush's cavalier invocations of history for political purposes are not surprising. But for an American president to dredge up ugly old canards about Yalta stretches the boundaries of decency and should draw reprimands (and not only from Arthur M. Schlesinger Jr.)" Slate's David Greenberg outlines Dubya's recent mischaracterization of the Yalta conference. Well, Dubya doesn't even seem to understand diplomacy now, so why would he understand it then?

Be careful at those conventions, folks...According to a grisly recent LA Times story on the Toronto Sex Crimes Unit's attempts to curb kiddie porn, "All but one of the [over 100] offenders they have arrested in the last four years was a hard-core Trekkie." (Others have rightfully cast doubt on this rather dubious claim.)

All's Blair.

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Upon Tony Blair's third election victory (albeit one that may well lead to his ousting), the WP's Dan Balz makes the case that the Dems could learn much from Labor "Blairism". I don't think simply moving to the center is the right answer for the wayward Dems -- We need to focus less on that type of protective camouflage and more on articulating our own principles, particularly as they differ from those of the GOP, who routinely and as a matter of pride put corporate profits before the American people. Still, there is some food for thought here.

One intriguing passage: "Where Blair, Brown and Labor cannot help the Democrats is on the social issues or the intersection of religion and politics. There is nothing comparable in British politics. Howard tried to make abortion an issue at one point but quickly abandoned it under pressure from all parts of the spectrum. When Blair proposed using the words 'God bless' in a speech before the Iraq war, his advisers hooted him down."

The Home Front.

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As many of y'all know, despite being a PhD student here at Columbia, I very rarely post about the newsmaking disputes that occasionally roil our campus. (Does it reflect badly on my academic gravitas that I spend more time at GitM discussing national politics, movie trailers, and online Mike Tyson's Punch-Out knockoffs than ideological dust-ups closer to home? Well, so be it.)

That being said, two links of note. First, in the Financial Times, Ian Buruma -- with the aid of one of my colleagues, Moshik Temkin -- offers what I thought was one of the more sober-minded summaries I've read of the recent MEALAC controversy at Columbia. As he puts it, "racism exists, but not all Israeli policies towards Palestinians, however harsh, are inspired by racism. And...not all criticism of Israeli policies is the result of anti-Jewish prejudice. Yet these are the terms in which modern political debates are increasingly couched.."

Second, regarding the recent one-week graduate student strike on campus (which I voted against, due to concerns not unlike the ones I held last year, but respected by not crossing the picket and reviewing paper drafts from home), The Nation's Jennifer Washburn offers a write-up which connects the two buzz issues of unionization and academic freedom and includes an unearthed internal memo, signed by provost (and my dissertation advisor) Alan Brinkley, which suggests possible punitive measures to prevent future strikes.

I've already written about this at length on the (no longer) internal grad-student-historian listserv, and don't really feel like getting into it in depth again here. Suffice to say that, while the document does seem uncharacteristic of Prof. Brinkley (as an aside, it reads like it was written by a member of his staff, although obviously it still carries his imprimatur), I am neither surprised nor all that dismayed by this memo. In the face of our continued strike actions, it seems perfectly appropriate to me for the administration -- and the university provost, for that matter -- to brainstorm both positive and punitive ways to mitigate future disruptions. All this means is that, come the next strike, it may well be time for the rubber to hit the road, and for graduate students who believe in unionization to make real financial sacrifices for our beliefs, as strikers in any other line of work are forced to do. (Of course, given that none of these proposed measures appear to have been enacted this time around, perhaps not.)

In fact, I think there's actually a silver lining here for pro-union graduate students. For one, I expect this memo will do more to galvanize the movement than all of last week's ill-conceived strike. For another, perhaps a heightened sense of what a strike actually constitutes might encourage more out-of-the-box thinking and political calculation by union leadership, rather than the "strike-only, strike-first" ideology that afflicts the upper echelons of our organization at the moment. To use an analogy I'm kinda fond of (for obvious reasons), the only way to get to Mars is by spaceship, but you don't send it before it's good and ready. Right now, our Mission Control keeps hitting the launch button before we've plotted a trajectory or even built the darned thing.

Update: I've since been informed in a personal e-mail that I'm both a "Brinkley apologist" (because I clearly don't share the vitriol of the Palpatine Unmasked contingent) and a "scab." (Shouldn't have looked at those drafts, I guess...) You see, this is exactly why I post about Arthur Dent here much more than I do Columbia inside-baseball. Which reminds me, that Frusion Punch-Out link was via Usr/Bin/Grl.

A Canticle for Ratzinger.

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Hmmm...in retrospect, perhaps they should have picked the aardvark. In surprisingly short order, the Vatican conclave chooses conservative enforcer Joseph Ratzinger as the new pope, which likely means trouble ahead for progressive Catholics. Once one of Hitler's pups (albeit somewhat reluctantly), Pope Benedict XVI, a.k.a. "God's Rottweiler," has spent his career railing against "the dictatorship of relativism" and acting as a divider, not a uniter...and he's shown he's not above moonlighting as one of Dubya's hounds if need be. On virtually every major issue facing the Church today, Benedict XVI stands firmly on the side of the fourteenth century, and his ascension to the papacy seems to herald an era of retrograde retrenchment for the Vatican. Boo hiss.

"[F]or many investors Thatcher's plan has fallen flat. Many investment funds charged huge commissions and fees, leaving contributors worse off than they would have been in the state system. The stock market collapse four years ago compounded their losses. Meanwhile, many private pension plans have gone bust, after companies drained those plans to pay off rising debts." As England's experience since Margaret Thatcher suggests, Dubya's desired privatization of Social Security will likely cause more problems than it solves. (Somebody tell the nation's business associations.)

I can see my house from here...

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To the purported consternation of some privacy advocates, Google unveils its funky new satellite map feature. I'm not too worried yet -- the images are apparently between 6-12 months old...but wait, isn't that Berk and I frolicing in Riverside Park? (Direct link via Supercres.) Update: In keeping with the meme (seen at Girlhacker), here's home from above. This satellite image is at least a year old, as attested by the missing Columbia School for Social Work across the street -- it's been completed since last summer.

Papal Ascension.

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Well, you may have missed it after all the hoopla surrounding the recent deaths of comedian Mitch Hedberg (who's responsible for the only really funny experience I've ever had in a comedy club) and civil liberties pioneer Fred Korematsu, but apparently Pope John Paul II was called up to the Head Office over the weekend. Since it's not being reported anywhere, really, I thought I should at least mention it.

At any rate, now the search for a successor begins in earnest, one that might well have considerable ramifications for US politics (although, unfortunately, a progressive pope seems unlikely.) Well, just don't put the aardvark in charge, and let's keep Lord Papal away from the chair, shall we?

We are Dancing Mechanic.

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"In the quest for artificial intelligence, the United States is perhaps just as advanced as Japan. But analysts stress that the focus in the United States has been largely on military applications. By contrast, the Japanese government, academic institutions and major corporations are investing billions of dollars on consumer robots aimed at altering everyday life, leading to an earlier dawn of what many here call the 'age of the robot.'" And to think I was geeking out over the Roomba just a few weeks ago.

Don't Mention the War.

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Despite inducing peals of laughter with his "ridiculous" doublespeak on Iran, Dubya's "We're Team Players" European tour continues to generate mostly good international press for the administration. Along those lines, I particularly liked this gem from the LA Times: "Talk of Bush is often imbued with suspicion. But unlike two years ago, German critics are less likely to compare him to Hitler." Hey now, that's progress.

Ballots of Baghdad.

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"Few sights are more stirring than the televised images of Iraqi citizens risking their lives to vote in their country's first election in a half-century, kissing the ballot boxes, dancing in the streets, and declaring their hopes for a new day of democracy. And yet, the challenges and uncertainties that seemed so daunting last week -- about Iraq's security, society, and governance -- are unlikely to turn less daunting next week, next month, or the month after."
After a smoother Election Day in Iraq than feared (thanks in part to a 24-hour ban on motor vehicles), Slate's Fred Kaplan surveys the road ahead, which includes the drafting of a new constitution.

Wardrobe Malfunction.

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"Auschwitz, great...are the Packers playing?" By all that is good and holy, what was Dick Cheney thinking? It's the 60th anniversary of liberation from that Hell on Earth, and our veep, as the Post wryly put it, "was dressed in the kind of attire one typically wears to operate a snow blower." Even at occasions where it seems well nigh impossible to make the US role in world affairs look bad, this administration plays the Ugly American to the hilt. For shame.

A Day to Forget.

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Be careful out there, y'all: A British psychologist has run the numbers and deemed that today, Jan. 24, is the most depressing day of the year. Hmmm. It's early yet, but I can think of worse. Perhaps someone should acquaint the good professor with last November's election, or, for that matter, Valentine's Day.

In my country, there is no problem.

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Somebody tell Tuscon. "The State Department is insisting that, contrary to the impression you might get from all that vitriol spewed by Sacha Baron Cohen's character Borat Sagdiyev on 'Da Ali G Show,' Kazakhstan is not a 'a wild den of misogynistic dog-shooting Gypsy- and Jew-haters,' as faux Kazakh journalist Borat once put it, but rather a perfectly nice country with little record of anti-Semitism."

Uprising.

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"'Cause we're moving right out of Babylon, and we're going to our father's land." On what would be his 60th birthday, the late, great Bob Marley will be exhumed and reburied in Ethiopia, his "forefather cornerstone" and spiritual home of the Rastafari. Said his widow, Rita Marley, of the move, "How can you give up a continent for an island? He has a right for his remains to be where he would love them to be. This was his mission. Ethiopia is his spiritual resting place."

Holiday Horror.

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Obviously, Christmas cheer around the globe has been greatly subdued with the news of the devastating earthquake and ensuing tsunamis in the Indian Ocean, a calamity that has now claimed at least 23,000 lives. (For what it's worth at this dark hour, neither vacationing actor Jet Li nor long-time Sri Lankan Arthur C. Clarke, despite early reports, are among the missing, although that's clearly small consolation given the unprecedented loss of life here.) Many condolences to the victims and survivors of this terrible, terrible tragedy. Update: A staggering 150,000 and counting...simply awful.

Power and the Passion.

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Call him King of the Mountain....via the newly reconstituted JJG, Midnight Oil frontman Peter Garrett (who suffered a fainting spell over the weekend) was recently elected to the Australian Parliament. I saw the Oils ten years ago during their WOMAD tour with Peter Gabriel, and Garrett was an electric presence, offering what is still far and away the best stage banter I've ever heard. (And, whatsmore, it wasn't canned...I remember him riffing on their Letterman appearance only a few days earlier.) The people of Kingsford Smith are lucky -- in this day and age, you could do a lot worse for an elected rep than Garrett.

Faith-based Currency.

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The dollar tanking? No problemo for this administration, who see a weak dollar as key to offsetting our ballooning trade deficits. "The unsettling worry, however, is what could happen if foreigners suddenly lost interest in holding dollar-denominated investments. The outward rush from U.S. stock and bond markets could send stock prices crashing and interest rates soaring." Well, at least my college loan debt isn't in Euros.

Chimp Nation.

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Hope is on the...wait, what's this? Oops, sorry about that. Turns out Hope took a wrong turn and got lost somewhere back there in Idiotville. Welcome to Despairtown, baby.

So, that's that, then...the Idiot Wind blows anew. The American electorate has spoken and -- despite all the shadiness and incompetence of the past four years -- has given Dubya and his cronies the imprimatur to go hog-wild. 51-48%...this is pretty much a mandate, folks. (Big of those Red Staters to ensure that we will be woefully unprepared for the next terrorist attack on a Blue State.) Y'know, H.L. Mencken's whole Tyranny of the Booboisie schtick has always grated on my lefty sensibilities, but at this point I have to admit he may have been on to something.

Ugh. I'm too young to remember 1984 very well, but I'm curious as to how last night and this morning compared for America's Left. (I've since been reminded by several people I trust that 1968 and 1972 were much more grievous blows.) Thing is, 2004 started out with such promise over here. But, right around the time I ended up on crutches in May, events personal and political took a nasty turn, and the past few months have been some of the most dismal I can remember. Now, it seems, I may just look back on this time as relatively calm and worry-free.

But, ok, enough wallowing...let's start taking it frame-by-frame. Given the war, the economy, and Dubya's obvious incompetence, how on Earth did we lose this election? Well, give credit where credit is due...all this exit-talk of "moral values" proves that Karl Rove pulled off his gambit: He got the extra 4 million evangelical votes he was targeting, partly, it seems, by judiciously invoking rampant anti-gay hysteria. Yet, for some reason or another -- a lousy ground game, perhaps? -- the Dems inexplicably didn't counter with extra votes of our own.

Where do we go from here? The Dems are facing an ugly Rule of Four...We lost four seats in the Senate, at least four seats in the House, and likely four seats in the Supreme Court. Whatsmore, we now appear officially dead in the water in the South and Midwest. And, with Kerry and Daschle gone, our standard-bearers now appear to be Hillary Clinton (about whom the country has already made up its mind), John Edwards (whom I still admire, but he couldn't carry his home state), and Barrack Obama (who's probably too inexperienced to make much headway in 2008.)

Obviously, it's now well past time for the serious party overhaul we should've began last cycle, when Al Gore had an election stolen from him that he should have won hands down. Daschle & Gephardt are already in the dustbin of history, and Terry McAuliffe should probably follow them there. I for one don't think Howard Dean was or is the answer, but he's one of the only people injecting new blood and enthusiasm into the party right now, so he should have a seat at the table. Right now, I think Edwardsian populism is our strongest ideological card, but as I said, it didn't seem to make much headway last night.

Silver lining? Yeah, right. Well, as this Washington Monthly forum noted in September, second terms are notoriously scandal-prone (Watergate, Iran-Contra, Monica), partly out of press boredom, and Dubya's ilk seem particularly scandal-worthy...perhaps we'll finally hear a little more about Halliburton. I'm sure there'll be no shortage of horrifying policy decisions emanating from this administration that'll keep lefty blogs like this one in business. And, on a purely selfish note, my likely dissertation topic on the fortunes of progressivism in the twenties is now seeming much more sexy in the wake of last night's 1928-like cultural divide. Of course, none of these are really any consolation at all.

At any rate, I generally believe that America tends to get the president it deserves. So, God help us, we've brought this upon ourselves. And now, for we 48%, the hard work begins...we have to lick our wounds, get our act together, and figure out how we can best combat the rightward drift that's afflicting our nation. Alas, I fear Dubya will do much of the heavy lifting for us, by running the nation further into the ground over the next four years. Still, we gotta keep on keeping on, y'all. I do not believe this darkness will endure.

Should I Stay or Should I Go?

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"Travel writers can be so afraid to make judgments. You end up with these gauzy tributes to the 'magic' of some far-off spot. But honestly, not every spot is magical for everyone. Sometimes you get somewhere, look around, and think, 'Hey, this place is a squalid rat hole. I'd really rather be in the Netherlands.' And that's OK." Old friend Seth Stevenson tries to make his peace with India, backpacker culture, and extreme poverty. Sounds like the beaches are helping.

Coalition of the Disgusted.

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Aside from the Philippines, Nigeria, and Poland, the world wants John Kerry by a landslide. Undecided voters out there, you know how you can "Ask the Audience" on Who Wants to Be a Millionaire when you're stumped? Consider it like that.

PSY-OP Symbolism.

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Is there any aspect of the Iraq war that holds up to scrutiny? As the LA Times reports, the famous toppling of Saddam's statue, probably the high point of the whole excursion notwithstanding Saddam's capture, apparently didn't happen as advertised either. "It was a Marine colonel -- not joyous Iraqi civilians, as was widely assumed from the TV images -- who decided to topple the statue, the Army report said. And it was a quick-thinking Army psychological operations team that made it appear to be a spontaneous Iraqi undertaking...Ultimately, a Marine recovery vehicle toppled the statue with a chain, but the effort appeared to be Iraqi-inspired because the psychological team had managed to pack the vehicle with cheering Iraqi children." Clever, clever. (Via Rational Enquirer.)

Silent Lucidity.

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In the dead of night (EST), and quieter than the Teddy Bear's picnic, the Bushies handed Iraq over to the interim government two days early. I agree with Slate's Fred Kaplan - this actually seems like a good call for once by the Bushies. I guess they already figured out how much trouble the "Mission Accomplished" banner can cause.

And yet outmaneuvered.

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Unfortunately, the diplomatic savvy on display in this surreptitious Iraq transfer hasn't extended to other world hotspots, as Kaplan notes with North Korea. "By his own careless arrogance," writes Kaplan, Dubya "has stunningly mishandled this confrontation. He has allowed North Korea—the most rickety spoke on his "axis of evil," a dangerous regime by any measure -- to reach the crest of becoming a nuclear power. He has dismissed numerous opportunities to nip this disaster in the bud. And now he comes up with an old formula that evades the recent shift in the balance." (The disarmament deal proffered by the Bushies now is insubstantially different from the one suggested by President Clinton a decade ago, the one pooh-poohed by Dubya upon his arrival into the Oval Office.)

Bombs and the Ballot.

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Did the awful 3/11 train bombing decide the recent Spanish election? Not so fast. My friend Luke of Expats against Bush happened to be visiting Barcelona during the recent attack, and his experience conforms closely with this Post article. Namely, it was Aznar's lousy spin job as much as the bombing which decided the election. And, let's be real -- Given that 90% of Spain was against continued involvement in the Iraq war prior to the attack, it's not as if the new government is coming out of nowhere with its decision to withdraw Spanish troops. Obviously, this act of terror didn't help matters for the Popular Party, but the foundation of this decision by the electorate was paved long before by George W. Bush's amateurish diplomacy. Instead of seeing common cause with our nation after a horrible terrorist attack, the Spanish people have been more repelled by Dubya's preemptive sideshow and his continued insults to international intelligence. At this point, if Bush really wants to figure out which world leaders would prefer John Kerry, all he has to do is look around.

L&T 2003.

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"Those who think AIDS is over are dreaming. It is one of the most serious epidemics the world has ever faced, and we need to really, really get serious about it."
- Kofi Annan

[2002]

Rough Trade.

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So, unless Dubya capitulates to the WTO, it looks like his botched protectionist ploy for steel state votes is going to result in an all-out trade war with the EU. Nice going, y'all...exactly the type of leadership we've come to expect from the Bushies. My bet is they back down - After all, Florida orange-growers are a juicier segment of the electorate than West Virginia steelmakers.

Dark Designs.

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Fresh after making his pitch for the Sox, Seth Stevenson tries to wrap his mind around manga. "As for the animated porn I did watch in hopes of gleaning some insight into the Japanese id? I have this to say: Go away, Japanese id! You are scary! I am scared of you!"

From Victim to Bully.

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While Dubya tries in vain to muster international support for his "save the US" Iraq bailout plan, the NY Times portray the chilling consequences of his blunt unilateralism. For, in only two short years, the administration has completely squandered the considerable reservoirs of international goodwill that followed the wake of 9/11. It's troubling to think what a President with some understanding of the art of diplomacy could've accomplished in this time. Instead we've had a rank amateur at the helm, poisoning the image of our nation in the eyes of the world. In so doing, the Bushies have done America -- and American values -- a great disservice.

Death-Dealing.

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I know conservatives think free markets solve everything, but this is ridiculous. The Pentagon creates a futures market for terrorism in order to better predict possible attacks and assassinations. Um, somebody might want to tell the brass that these are basically called Dead Pools, and have been around for years now. Update: Well, that's that, then.

A Chill in Damascus.

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“Up through January of 2003, the cooperation was topnotch,” a former State Department official said. “Then we were going to do Iraq, and some people in the Administration got heavy- handed. They wanted Syria to get involved in operational stuff having nothing to do with Al Qaeda and everything to do with Iraq. As Dubya accuses Syria of harboring terrorists, Sy Hersh examines the rise and fall of US-Syrian cooperation after 9/11.

The Trail at Yale.

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Investigators try to ascertain exactly what happened at Yale Law School yesterday. At first I figured it might have been some disgruntled Kaczynski type. But now that it turns out the alleged bomb exploded in a classroom rather than the mailroom, my guess is some bored Elis were testing out their copy of The Anarchist's Cookbook. Either way, two random classrooms in New Haven seem an unlikely target for Al-Qaeda.

Back, and to the left.

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James Fallows examines the controversy surrounding the death of child martyr Mohammed al-Dura. Between the vitriol spewed on both sides and the Oliver Stone-like conspiracy theories being thrown about, it sounds like the exact circumstances of Al-Dura's death have entered the realm of the unknowable.

When you're down, in trouble...

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High Industrial points the way to Friendster. Ok, why not?

Check the map.

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By way of A Small Victory, test your geography with this interactive map of the Middle East. I have to admit, the first time around I did pretty poorly, particularly in Central Africa and the former Soviet Union.

I am very late to the table with this link, but oh well. A friend of mine in the department passed along this recent controversial essay, Robert Kagan's "Power and Weakness", on the philosophical underpinnings of foreign policy differences between Europe and the US today. I don't agree with everything he has to say (the Morrison and Worley responses here point out some key flaws, for example - is all of transatlantic difference really reducible to a question of disparate power?), but it is food for thought nonetheless.

He's No Adlai.

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Well, unfortunately I was in a class during Colin Powell's presentation to the UN yesterday, so I can't really attest to its effectiveness, although Saletan's scorecard seems to suggest some minds were changed at the Security Council. (And the Guernica coverup, via Quiddity, made for some biting commentary on the day.) At any rate, it seems war is inevitable at this point...I only hope it was worth ticking off most of the international community to get our way.

Dogs of War.

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The Village Voice scrutinizes the social habits of the military-industrial complex. (Not to judge a story by its cover, but this article, interesting on its own terms, also features a cartoon of dogs playing poker, which I must admit is a trope I'm particularly fond of.)

Redneck Justice.

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I've meant to link to this horrifying Tennessee state trooper incident for the past few days, but every time I read it I am filled with a fearsome rage. They shot the dog?!? Those frelling chumps...I'm not normally of an eye-for-an-eye persuasion, but that pathetic redneck excuse for an officer should really have to suffer for this, and I don't mean monetarily. This guy's gotta do some time. Grrrr...

Link and Think 2002.

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"We can and must do more to stop the spread of AIDS...there is no other moral or practical choice."
- William Jefferson Clinton.

"I have learned in the last week that this thing is real, and it doesn't discriminate. It affects everyone."
- Eric "Eazy-E" Wright.


The Fifty-First State?

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So much for Kid Icarus.

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In an attempt to stop online gambling, all computer games have been banned in Greece. (Via Pigs and Fishes.) Ah, Greece, where they put you in jail for Tetris and give you a medal for Table Tennis.

I wonder if he read Dune too...

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Does Osama Bin Laden have a Hari Seldon complex? This article examines the (possible) links between Al Qaeda and Isaac Asimov's Foundation series. (Via Julian's Jabberings.)

The Road to Kashmir.

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My friend Seth kicks off a new Slate column with a lousy flight into Leh.

No, not yet.

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"Wanted: Roman rooftops, terraces or other elevated perches that will frame St. Peter's perfectly in the backdrop, with its dome just over Peter Jennings's or Dan Rather's shoulder." Frank Bruni surveys the journalistic dead pool surrounding Pope John Paul II.

Dear Thai-ry...

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Visiting spaceships and penis shrines, My friend Seth reports in from Bangkok.

The Complicated American.

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What the World Thinks of America, from Gary Kamiya of Salon (premium). A fascinating read.

Cheerio.

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Thanks to Dubya Diplomacy, even Britain, our closest ally for almost a century, is striking out on her own.

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