Recently in Politics (2005-2006) Category

"'Conservatives got everything they could reasonably have hoped for out of the term,' said Thomas C. Goldstein, a Washington lawyer who specializes in Supreme Court litigation." Proving the crucial importance of the Alito-O'Connor switch (and, I'll continue to maintain as my answer to Emily Bazelon's line of questioning, the 2004 election), the Roberts Court flexed its muscle in depressing fashion this week, voting 5-4 (as feared) not only to gut the McCain-Feingold act in the name of "free speech" but also -- seriously, no lie -- to partially roll back Brown v. Board of Education. (In another well-reported case, the majority's inordinate fear of bongs trumped this stalwart commitment to free speech.) So, if you're keeping score, Roberts, Alito, Scalia, Thomas, and Kennedy came down like this: money good, corruption good, drug hysteria good; clean politics bad, youthful irony bad, integration bad. Oh, wonderful. Suddenly, the announcement that the Court will take a look at the Guantanamo cases doesn't sound so appetizing. Update: Slate's slate of legal observers discuss.

In honor of the new year, and since I spend so much time berating him and his historically terrible administration around here, two holiday tips of the hat to, of all people, Dubya. On his watch, the president has "established the world's largest sweep of federally protected ocean" and tripled humanitarian and development aid to Africa. Hey, even a stopped clock is right twice a day.

"Whenever the courts push back against the administration's unsupportable constitutional ideas...the Bush response is to repeat the same chorus louder: Every detainee is the worst of the worst; every action taken is legal, necessary, and secret. No mistakes, no apologies. No nuance, no regrets. This legal and intellectual intractability can create the illusion that we are standing on the same constitutional ground we stood upon in 2001, even as that ground is sliding away under our feet." Slate's Dahlia Lithwick surveys the top ten most outrageous civil liberties violations of 2006.

"As President, my primary concern must always be the greatest good of all the people of the United States whose servant I am. As a man, my first consideration is to be true to my own convictions and my own conscience. My conscience tells me clearly and certainly that I cannot prolong the bad dreams that continue to reopen a chapter that is closed. My conscience tells me that only I, as President, have the constitutional power to firmly shut and seal this book." Gerald Ford, 1913-2006.

"If we actually want to change this country and we want to move America the way it needs to move, we're going to have to do it, all of us, together." As telegraphed by his official site a day early, the John Edwards train leaves the station from the Ninth District of New Orleans. I thought highly of Edwards last cycle -- and voted for him in 2004 -- so I for one am glad to see him back around for 2008. Right now, with Feingold out of the picture, it's a two-man race right now between him and Obama for my primary vote.

"'When the president talks about staying the course, he never mentions cost as a factor,' Spratt said. 'But it is a factor, particularly when you get costs over $100 billion a year.'" Facing very little room to work with, the Dems attempt to sort out the fiscal fiasco Dubya has created over the past six years and counting.

"These poor contracting practices have left DOD vulnerable to fraud, waste and abuse and DOI vulnerable to sanctions and the loss of the public trust." In related news, new audits disclose that a procurement collaboration between Dubya's departments of Defense and Interior has resulted in millions of dollars in waste and mark-ups. "More than half of the contracts examined were awarded without competition or without checks to determine that the prices were reasonable, according to the audits by the inspectors general for Defense (DOD) and Interior (DOI). Ninety-two percent of the work reviewed was awarded without verifying that the contractors' cost estimates were accurate; 96 percent was inadequately monitored."

"'It's a real tangled web between the congressman, the nonprofit, the defense contractors and the lobbyists,' said Steve Ellis, vice president of Taxpayers for Common Sense, a nonpartisan watchdog group. 'It's hard to say where one stops and the others start.'" In troubling news that should test the commitment of the incoming Dem majority to real lobbying reform, the WP takes a long hard look at John Murtha's lobbyist-tinged relationship with the Pennsylvania Association for Individuals with Disabilities (PAID...an unfortunate acronym, to be sure). "'It sounds like DeLay Inc.,' said Melanie Sloan, executive director of the Democratic-leaning Citizens for Responsibility and Ethics in Washington."

"'We're not winning, we're not losing,' Bush said in an interview with The Washington Post. The assessment was a striking reversal for a president who, days before the November elections, declared, 'Absolutely, we're winning.'" While calling for an expansion of the army and marines, Dubya comes close to finally declaring the obvious in Iraq.

Good riddance to the do-nothing 109th Congress, which wheedled its way into the history books last weekend. (And sayonara also to Donald Rumsfeld, who closed up shop yesterday.) A word of warning to the Dubya White House: Don't expect the 110th to play as nice...

Even more good news for Iowa leader (in October) John Edwards: Is Evan Bayh out of the running for 2008? FOX News says so.

"It's something that's been bothering me for quite some time, the direction in which the party has been going more and more toward big government and disregard toward privacy and civil liberties." Staunch conservative, defender of civil liberties, and Borat cameo Bob Barr leaves the Republican Party (for the Libertarians.) Now if only Susan Collins and Olympia Snowe would follow his example...

The buck stops here? Not hardly. Grasping for historical validation wherever he can find it, Dubya has apparently begun to fancy himself a modern-day Truman. "James G. Hershberg, a Cold War historian at George Washington University, said he doubts that history will judge Bush as kindly as it has Truman, saying Truman's roles in fostering European recovery and building the NATO alliance were seen as solid accomplishments at the time. 'Bush, by contrast, lacks any successes of comparable magnitude to compensate for his mismanagement of the Iraq war and will be hard-pressed to produce any in his last two years'."

After suffering some bad press for backing away from the 9/11 recommendations last week, Speaker-Elect Pelosi announces two new oversight committees as a form of compromise: "a new panel within the Appropriations Committee to oversee the nation's intelligence agencies [thus maintaining Murtha's fiefdom] and a House task force to examine establishing an outside ethics panel." And, in related news, the House Dems announce their proposed rules changes. They "include a ban on gifts and travel from lobbyists, preapproval from the ethics committee on all lawmakers' travel funded by outside groups, a ban on the use of corporate jets, and mandatory ethics training."

Get well soon, Tim Johnson. Oof, talk about terrible news on several levels. One hopes the Senator will make a full and complete recovery after his AVM surgery, and we won't have to think too deeply about the possibility of a Senate turnover. Fortunately, there seems to be a good deal of precedent for long absences from the chamber -- my first thought (other than Nate Fisher and Narm!) was Charles Sumner's three-year absence after the caning, but there are apparently many 20th century examples too.

"As [Harry] Truman said, 'We must, once and for all, prove by our acts conclusively that right has might.' That's why this country has historically been in the vanguard of the global human rights movement. But that lead can only be maintained if America remains true to its principles, including in the struggle against terrorism. When it appears to abandon its own ideas and objectives, its friends abroad are naturally troubled and confused." As Kofi Annan bids farewell to his post at the UN, he offers some words of wisdom to America -- and to Dubya -- on our nation's role in the world.

Apparently none too pleased with the recommendations of the Iraq Study Group, the Dubya administration tries to conjure up alternative policies for Iraq: "The major alternatives include a short-term surge of 15,000 to 30,000 additional U.S. troops to secure Baghdad and accelerate the training of Iraqi forces. Another strategy would redirect the U.S. military away from the internal strife to focus mainly on hunting terrorists affiliated with al-Qaeda. And the third would concentrate political attention on supporting the majority Shiites and abandon U.S. efforts to reach out to Sunni insurgents."

"From now on I'll be busy, Ain't goin' nowhere fast..." In what will hopefully amount to both a transformation in the debate over the war and a much-needed moment of clarity for the Dubya administration (alas, not likely), the Baker-Hamilton Commission officially releases its Iraq report (Exec Sum/Assessments). While perhaps vague on the details, it calls the situation in Iraq "grave and deteriorating" and argues that a "slide toward chaos" is a very real possibility (if, in fact, it hasn't already happened.) "Despite a list of 79 recommendations meant to encourage regional diplomacy and lead to a reduction of U.S. forces over the next year, the panel acknowledges that stability in Iraq may be impossible to achieve any time soon."

"'What we heard this morning was a welcome breath of honest, candid realism about the situation in Iraq,' Sen. Carl M. Levin (D-Mich.) said during a midday break." The Senate Armed Services Committee unanimously approved Robert Gates, who helped his case considerably by admitting the obvious fact that Iraq's looking ugly, as Rumsfeld's replacement at the Pentagon yesterday. Among those impressed with Gates was Slate's Fred Kaplan: "I've been watching defense secretaries in confirmation hearings for 30 years, off and on, but I don't think I've seen any perform more forthrightly than Gates did this morning." Update: Gates goes through, 95-2.

"We had a good talk about how to run a campaign there...She understands that this will take a significant amount of hard work and campaigning and getting to know Iowans more up close and personal." To no one's surprise, Senator Hillary Clinton begins laying the groundwork for a 2008 bid.

Happy day at the UN (if not at the White House): Facing unbeatable opposition on the Senate Foreign Relations Committee (thanks to outgoing Senator Lincoln Chafee, to his credit, joining the Dems against him), interim UN ambassador John Bolton is forced to resign as predicted. Good riddance. "'The president now has an opportunity to nominate an ambassador who can garner strong bipartisan and international support and effectively represent the interests of the United States at the United Nations at a time of extraordinary international challenge,' [incoming committee chairman] Biden said. 'If the president nominates such a person, I look forward to scheduling hearings promptly in the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.'"

"Clearly, what U.S. forces are currently doing in Iraq is not working well enough or fast enough." Hewing closer to the McNamara paradigm than I'd earlier thought, Rumsfeld apparently questioned the Iraq war's course on his way out the door. "Michael O'Hanlon, a defense analyst at the Brookings Institution, said the revelation of the memo would undercut any attempt by President Bush to defend anything resembling a 'stay the course' policy in Iraq.'When you have the outgoing secretary of defense, the main architect of Bush's policy, saying it's failing, that puts a lot more pressure on Bush.'"

"Historians are loath to predict the future. It is impossible to say with certainty how Bush will be ranked in, say, 2050. But somehow, in his first six years in office he has managed to combine the lapses of leadership, misguided policies and abuse of power of his failed predecessors. I think there is no alternative but to rank him as the worst president in U.S. history." Columbia's Eric Foner makes the case for Dubya as the worst president ever. Also weighing in on the question: Columbia PhD (and Slate columnist) David Greenberg, Douglas Brinkley, Michael Lind, and Vincent J. Cannato. (I discussed Dubya's ranking briefly here.)

"Thematically, it's about the very simple idea that, in this Postmodern world of ours, human beings -- all of us -- are worth less. We're worth less every day, despite the fact that some of us are achieving more and more. It's the triumph of capitalism...The show is written in a 21st-century city-state that is incredibly bureaucratic, and in which a legal pursuit of an unenforceable prohibition has created great absurdity."

Slate publishes a fascinating extended interview with Wire creator David Simon, which touches on, among other things, why there won't be a Season 6 focusing on Latino immigrants, and what we can expect from Season 5. "Yes, the last season. The last theme is basically asking the question, why aren't we paying attention? If we got everything right in the last four seasons in depicting this city-state, how is it that these problems -- which have been attendant problems regardless of who is in power -- how is it that they endure? That brings into mind one last institution, which is the media. What are we paying attention to?" I can't say it enough -- if you're not paying attention to The Wire, you owe it to yourself to rent Season 1 and start playing catch-up next to immediately. It really is far and away the best show on television, perhaps ever. Certainly, it's the savviest take on American politics ever put to the small screen.

"So the choice is between a terrible decision and one that is even worse. The terrible decision is just to begin leaving, knowing that even more innocent civilians will be killed and that we'll be dealing with agitation out of Iraq for years to come. The worse decision would be to wait another year, or two, or three and then take that terrible course." While parsing the forthcoming recommendations of the Baker-Hamilton commission (which, among other things, calls for Iraqification of the war (sound familiar?) and a near-complete troop withdrawal by early 2008), journalist and Blind into Baghdad author James Fallows changes his mind about the merits of maintaining our military presence in Iraq: "If it is not in our power to prevent these disasters, then it is better to do as little extra damage to ourselves as possible before they occur."

"To talk of grand schemes -- partitioning Iraq or pressuring Maliki to form a 'reconciliation government' and amend his constitution -- is, quite apart from their merits, plainly absurd, because we have no control over what the Iraqis do. We still have some control, though, over what we do and, maybe, over what we can persuade others to do with us." In related news, Slate's Fred Kaplan, who seems to advocate hunkering down for the long haul over withdrawal, ponders what to do should the Maliki government in Iraq fall apart.

Looking to avoid another contentious fight after the recent Hoyer-Murtha melee, Speaker-elect Pelosi sidesteps both Jane Harman and Alcee Hastings for the House Intelligence Committee head. "Harman, a moderate, strong-on-defense 'Blue Dog' Democrat, had angered liberals with her reluctance to challenge the Bush administration's use of intelligence. Hastings, an African American, was strongly backed by the Congressional Black Caucus but was ardently opposed by the Blue Dogs, who said his removal from the bench disqualifies him from such a sensitive post." As with Hoyer and Murtha, Hastings' questionable ethics record is more of a concern to me than Harman's moderation, but a third choice is fine with me. Update: Pelosi chooses Silvestre Reyes for the post.

Speaking of politically partisan reading material, a brief plug: If you're looking for a stocking stuffer for the politically inclined, How the Republicans Stole Religion (formerly How the Republicans Stole Christmas), a book I worked on last year with pundit and former seminary student Bill Press, is now available in paperback at a bookstore near you.

"Now that Dr. King is gone, there's no one left but Bobby." And, tragically, America would only have him for two more months. It's hard to fault the sentiment behind Emilio Estevez's Bobby, a humane, warm-hearted paean to the slain Senator, whose untimely end marked the final death rattle of hope for countless American liberals and progressives in the sixties. But, frankly, the film -- while easy to sit through, to be sure -- is also confused and overstuffed. It attempts to be Grand Hotel by way of RFK: Dozens of disconnected lives that intertwine one fateful night and that are ultimately bonded by their common humanity, as so eloquently articulated by Kennedy. But, however ambitious and meritorious its message and its patron saint, Bobby is a well-meaning muddle. The powerful stock footage and a few brief moments aside, a lot of the film just falls flat.

Due to its huge cast and multiplicity of stories, Bobby defies a full summation. Nevertheless, the film follows countless recognizable actors as they go about their lives at the Ambassador Hotel on June 4, 1968, the day before RFK was shot by disgruntled Palestinian Sirhan Sirhan. Among them are elder statesmen (Anthony Hopkins, Harry Belafonte), former A-listers turned B-listers (Emilio Estevez, Christian Slater), aging starlets (Sharon Stone, Demi Moore), TV standbys (Helen Hunt, David Krumholtz), likable character actors (William H. Macy, Freddy Rodriguez), strikingly attractive newcomers (Mary Elizabeth Winstead, Svetlana Metkina), and Frodo (playing, for all intent and purposes, Frodo.) Almost all of the performances are solid and likable (with the notable exception of Ashton Kutcher as a drug dealer -- it's unbelievable how a guy who's made his living playing a stoner for years is so thoroughly implausible at it -- he's like a kid in a school play.) But there's a lot of unnecessary overlap or what comes across as extraneous filler in these tales. Two separate stories (Wood and Lindsay Lohan's quickie marriage, Shia La Boeuf and Brian Geraghty's day off) cover basically the same ground about Vietnam. Hopkins, Belafonte, Moore, and Stone all talk about the indignities of growing old, while Stone, Macy, Moore, Estevez, Hunt, and Martin Sheen all lament failing marriages...but to what purpose? What, really, does all this have to do with RFK? I get it -- it's about shared humanity. But Bobby tries to do too much in the time given, and would've been more effective, I think, if it'd had been pared down some.

The most resonant parts of Bobby are the storylines involving Kennedy campaign workers (Joshua Jackson, Nick Cannon) and, most notably, the simmering racial tension among the kitchen staff (Freddy Rodriguez, Jacob Vargas, Lawrence Fishburne). The latter tale is particularly interesting -- despite Slater being stuck as a cartoon "racist but a real person too" barely this side of Matt Dillon in Crash -- since it highlights the concerns and aspirations of Latino immigrants, who are often completely neglected in movies dwelling on race in America (even in otherwise sterling shows like The Wire.) But, even here, it's ultimately played too broadly: What we're left with are "life is a blueberry cobbler" metaphors and monologues about King Arthur that'll just make you wince. The problems with the movie can be summed up by the footage used of Bobby at the Ambassador Hotel -- obviously powerful stuff. Unfortunately, it's overlaid with Simon & Garfunkel's "The Sound of Silence," which even without the obvious Graduate overtones is entirely too broad a pick -- It detracts from rather than enhances the already potent archival footage.

Still, I don't want to suggest that I'm completely hating on Bobby. For all its ham-handedness, I enjoyed the experience, and I sat there with a smile on my face through most of the film. And I do applaud Estevez's obviously strong admiration for Senator Kennedy. I was recently on a date where discussion arose as to whether things would've been different if Bobby had lived. She thought not, or rather that it'd be impossible to tell. I'm more inclined to agree with Michael Sandel, who wrote that: "Had he lived, he might have set progressive politics on a new, more successful course. In the decades since his death, the Democratic Party has failed to recover the moral energy and bold public purpose to which RFK gave voice." Regardless, as with Dr. King, we shouldn't even have to ask this question. Both men who were continuing to grow and develop, Dr. King and Bobby were tragically ripped from us before their time, a back-to-back blow in an already miserable year that felled progressive ambition in America for decades. I have to think that our nation would be a brighter, happier, and more compassionate place in the years since if we could have continued to benefit from their leadership and counsel.

Since we cannot, we can only honor their examples and remember their words. In the end, Bobby could've been a much worse movie than it in fact is, and I still would give it credit for reminding us of Senator Kennedy's essential creed: "But we can perhaps remember -- even if only for a time --that those who live with us are our brothers; that they share with us the same short moment of life; that they seek -- as we do -- nothing but the chance to live out their lives in purpose and happiness, winning what satisfaction and fulfillment they can."

"In the Bible, God tells us for everything there is a season, and for me, for now, this season of being an elected official has come to a close. I do not intend to run for president in 2008." Americans -- and Sam Brownback -- rejoice (and the stray cats of Tennessee lament) as former Majority Leader Bill Frist announces he won't be running for president in 2008. Now he can delve full-time into his favorite hobby: cutting things...

"To put it simply, create an account, join a league, draft a team of real U.S. Members of Congress and have fun as you compete to score as many points as possible. As the Members of Congress you drafted put real legislation through the lawmaking process they will score points for your team." Fantasy Congress (by way of Triptych Cryptic.) I've shied away from Fantasy Basketball, just because [a] I see it becoming all-consuming and [b] I figure I'll end up rooting for players to put up great numbers rather than for actual teams to win...but this might be fun.

"Look, someone told me she hasn't liked him since 1963, and it has had zero effect on how well they have worked together. We don't have to guess at this. We have seen it. They can and will work well together as we move forward." In what's being billed as an early but probably not-very-significant defeat (although perhaps it should be) for Speaker-elect Nancy Pelosi, her backing of her old friend John Murtha for Majority Leader seems to have backfired, as the Dem caucus instead chose moderate Steny Hoyer by almost 2-to-1. "'He had been doing the tough work,' said Rep. Stephen Lynch (D-Mass.). 'It's just mind-numbing -- all those fundraisers, the travel, sleeping in hotel rooms. It needs to be rewarded.'" Well, given Murtha's record on the ethics issue, I'm all for Hoyer too. Now -- please -- let's start concentrating our fire on the other side (And that goes for Carville (Emanuel) v. Dean as well -- be cool, James.)

Meanwhile on the GOP side, the House Republicans decide to stick with John Boehner for now. Great...he's seemed pretty incompetent so far, good choice. And over in the Senate, guess who's back? Think Strom...Yes, the GOP choose Mitch McConnell and Trent Lott as their go-to-guys, prompting a great line (which I'm paraphrasing) on The Daily Show the other night: "Lott's new job is the "Minority Whip"...he should take to that job like white on rice."

The wreckage of the midterms behind him, disgraced GOP operative Jack Abramoff heads to prison today to begin a 5-year, 10-month stint in the Big House...but, not -- according to ABC News -- before dropping dirt on Karl Rove and "dozens of members of Congress and staff" including "six to eight seriously corrupt Democratic senators." Sounds like the Ballad of Casino Jack might keep on keepin' on right through the next cycle...Let's hope the Dem Congress are much more vigilant about rooting out the corruption in their midst than were their predecessors.

"An Ehrlich aide who agreed to discuss the strategy on the condition of anonymity said the purpose of the fliers was to peel away one or two percentage points in jurisdictions where the governor would be running behind. No one inside the campaign expected a strong reaction. But that's what they got." The WP delves into the sordid tale behind the dirty trick ballots passed around in Maryland last week. (Very Royce-Carcetti, no?) Particularly disappointing (and bizarre), it seems that actor Charles S. Dutton may have been involved in hatching the scheme, although he denies it.

"For the first time in 50 years, the party that controls both chambers of Congress is a minority party in the South. And in the last four presidential elections, the Democratic candidate has either garnered 270 electoral votes, the minimum needed to win, or has come within one state of doing so before a single Southern vote was tallied. Outside the old Confederacy, the nation is turning blue, and that portends a new map for a future Democratic majority." In Salon, University of Maryland assistant prof. Thomas Schaller suggests the Dems should forget about the South. So, what happened to the 50-state strategy? As the critical importance of Senator-elect Webb's recent win suggests, the Dems write off any region of the country at their peril.

"This was a big deal. Certainly, it was the end of George W. Bush's radical experiment in partisan governance. It might have been even bigger than that: the end of the conservative pendulum swing that began with Ronald Reagan's revolution." Despite starting off well here, TIME's Joe Klein reads the 2006 election as a call to centrism. Hmm. Well, maybe...I suppose we're still parsing the results. Nevertheless, I'll confess to being somewhat irritated by TIME's "centrist" cover after last week's historic rout of the Republicans, so I went ahead and ginned up my own, one I find more fitting for recent events (and, of course, that is more apropos for this blog.) Procrastination, thy name is Photoshop.

"'If John Murtha was running for dog-catcher or President of the United States, Nancy Pelosi would support him,' one Pelosi ally told TIME." Not a week after Election Day, the battle for the No. 2 spot in Congress roils top Dems, with Speaker-elect Pelosi drawing consternation for her endorsement of John Murtha as House Majority Leader (over more conservative rival Steny Hoyer.) More troubling than the leadership fracas, it seems that Murtha, for all his clarity on Iraq, has apparently been no friend of ethics reform in the past: "Murtha...has battled accusations over the years that he has traded federal spending for campaign contributions, that he has abused his post as ranking party member on the Appropriations defense subcommittee, and that he has stood in the way of ethics investigations. Those charges come on top of Murtha's involvement 26 years ago in the FBI's Abscam bribery sting." Nope, that's not good.

"This sweltering summer of the Negro's legitimate discontent will not pass until there is an invigorating autumn of freedom and equality. Nineteen sixty-three is not an end, but a beginning." Ground is broken on the new MLK memorial, to be "built along the edge of the Tidal Basin, midway between monuments to Thomas Jefferson and Abraham Lincoln. It will be the first on the Mall honoring an African American and the first that does not memorialize a president or a war hero." Great! As I've said before in this space, I'm all in favor of adding more historically-themed monuments to the Mall, and a tribute to Dr. King seems a particularly worthy addition to our nation's central gathering place.

First Vilsack, then McCain...Now Rudy Giuliani looks to be throwing his hat in the 2008 ring. But is the GOP base really of a New York state of mind? Somehow, I'd doubt it.

"I'm sure a campaign for president would have been a great adventure and helpful in advancing a progressive agenda. At this time, however, I believe I can best advance that progressive agenda as a senator with significant seniority in the new Senate serving on the Foreign Relations, Intelligence, Judiciary and Budget committees." In a letter posted to his campaign site, Senator and progressive standard-bearer Russ Feingold opts out of the 2008 presidential race.

"[W]hile I've certainly enjoyed the repeated comments or buttons saying, 'Run Russ Run', or 'Russ in '08', I often felt that if a piece of Wisconsin swiss cheese had taken the same positions I've taken, it would have elicited the same standing ovations. This is because the hunger for progressive change we feel is obviously not about me but about the desire for a genuinely different Democratic Party that is ready to begin to reverse the 25 years of growing extremism we have endured." Oof, I find this turn really depressing. But, he has a point, and this is probably for the best (and at least I've been freed from tilting at Bradley-esque windmills for the next 18 months.) At any rate, my vote in 2008 is now officially up for grabs. Update: Salon's Walter Shapiro and Glenn Greenwald pay respects to Russ.

"'My job is not to be a prognosticator,' he said. 'My job is not to go out there and wring my hands and say, "We're going to lose." I'm looking at the data and seeing if I can figure out, Where can we be? I told the President, "I don't know where this is going to end up. But I see our way clear to Republican control."'" Um, you do? It's the Election 2006 post-mortem y'all have been waiting for: Karl Rove discusses the results of the midterms, and while he correctly cites the war and the GOP's considerable corruption problem, he still doesn't seem to get the big picture. Fine with me...Rove, just keep doin' what you're doin'. It worked splendidly. Update: More here.

Is the McCain Train leaving the station? ABC News seems to think so, although they may be jumping the gun a bit here.

Word is it was in the works back in August...still, add RNC Chair Ken Mehlman to the list of Dubyaites soon-to-be out of a job. Good riddance.

"I frankly think it's a natural default from the failure of this advice of the people they had. It was impossible to argue anymore that some of the people who got us into this mess were giving good advice." With Dubya's White House in shambles, will Bush 41's team ride to the rescue? Let's hope so -- I much prefer those guys to the militant neocon wing that's been holding the reins the past six years. Still, as one observer pointed out: "Bush's mind works differently from the normal political mind...Maybe these Baker guys can talk him off the ledge, but nobody's done it yet."

"'They did this to protect themselves, but they couldn't protect us?' another Republican aide said yesterday." According to Patrick O'Connor of The Hill, many GOP officials are absolutely livid about the timing of the Rumsfeld resignation. "For them to toss Rumsfeld one day after the election was a slap in the face to everyone who worked hard to protect the majority." Meanwhile, the rest of us have to figure out how to trust this president when even he admits he openly lied to everyone about Rumsfeld's fate (not that he was garnering a lot of confidence these days anyway.)

"I never saw a real enthusiasm on the Republican side to begin with. There's none on our side." The next GOP casualty of the 2006 elections? If the Dems can hold off a vote through the lame-duck Congress, it might just end up being UN rep John Bolton. "The White House formally renewed its request that the Senate take up Bolton's nomination. But Jim Manley, a spokesman for Senate Democrats, said they continued to resist Bolton's confirmation and 'he is unlikely to get a vote any time soon.'" Update: To his credit, outgoing Senator Lincoln Chafee, who earlier announced his opposition to renewing Bolton, is sticking to his guns and siding with the Dems against Dubya on the issue. So Bolton looks to be gone in December...Koo koo kachoo.

"A source close to Allen also told CNN that the senator 'has no intention of dragging this out.'" It's (semi)-official: AP and Reuters declare Webb the winner in Virginia, thus yielding a Democratic Senate. Excellent! "[A] Webb aide told CNN that he plans a formal news conference Thursday morning to declare victory." Update: Now, it's really official: Allen will concede this afternoon.

Remember when Boehner and the GOP banked on their widespread corruption not playing on Election Day? Well, they chose poorly. Among the many seats lost by the GOP last night were those of Abramoff flunkies Conrad Burns, Richard Pombo, and Bob Ney, notorious friend-of-pages Mark Foley, the recently-FBI-implicated Curt Weldon, mistress-beater Don Sherwood, and the fatcat architect of it all, Boss DeLay. (Surviving the corruption purge: the Foley-connected Tom Reynolds, Duke Cunningham's replacement, Brian Bilbray, and -- though a runoff hopefully won't shake his way -- corrupt Dem William Jefferson.)

"Alas, poor Brit, it was too much for him to bear in the end, I'm afraid. You almost had to feel sorry for the guy...I said almost." Salon's Andrew O'Hehir evaluates last night's election coverage on FOX News. I admit, I also switched over to FOX in the late hours just to revel in all the sweet, sweet schadenfreude. I'm forced to concede, though, that their graphics were much better than CNN's -- you could actually tell how many House seats Dems were picking up all night over the needed 15, while CNN dropped that ball as soon as the Senate got tight. At any rate, for angry right-wing teeth-gnashing, nothing on FOX topped Stephen Colbert's hilarious speel last night at the end of the otherwise middling Midterm Midtacular (Click on "Stephen Quits," in case you missed it.)

Regarding ballot initiatives, it was a bad night for same-sex marriage and marijuana decriminalization. Still, there's cause for hope around the country in the six state minimum-wage hikes that passed, as well as the repudiation of the stringent abortion law in South Dakota (Justice Kennedy: take note.) Speaking of the Court, its eminent domain decision of last year took a beating in nine states, although California, Idaho, and Washington thankfully repudiated stronger measures that would effectively hobble any kind of federal land regulation.

Christmas in November continues for the reality-based community: Along with recent editorials in the Army Times, the Dem's Election 2006 takeover claims another high-profile GOP victim in Donald Rumsfeld. He'll be replaced by former CIA chief Robert Gates -- an old papa Bush hand and current member of the Baker-Hamilton commission -- for Dubya's last two lame duck years. Dubya claimed in his press conference that Rumsfeld would've been gone regardless of the election returns...I'm not sure I buy that. Still, this is a very welcome move -- one that should've happened years ago.

And another GOP scalp (chalk this one up to Foleygate): Dennis Hastert -- who's inexplicably the longest-serving Republican Speaker in US history (Joe Cannon is 2nd) -- is leaving the Republican congressional leadership. Current contenders for his position include former Majority Leader John Boehner, Mike Pence, Eric Cantor, and Joe Barton.

Every single Dem incumbent returned to office. At least 26 more seats in the House. The nation's first woman Speaker. Six new governorships. At least four Senate seats. And, if all goes well in Virginia (which, at 5am EST, is looking likely -- Webb's up 8,000, which is a pretty solid lead heading into a recount) and Montana (which seems positive for us, albeit less so -- Tester's up 5,000 with 85% reporting), perhaps even control of Congress...Yessir, all-in-all, it was a pretty grand night for us. So, Dubya and Karl...how you like them apples? Update: Make that 28 seats in the House and 5 in the Senate....soon to be six. Congress is ours!

Shady, harrassing "robocalls", voter intimidation in Virginia, sketchy-acting electronic voting machines: yes, folks, it's Election Day in America, and the frantic GOP are up to their usual bag of tricks. In the inimitable words of Baltimore Deputy Commissioner for Ops Bill Rawls: "American Democracy. Let's show those Third World %@#$ how it's done."

Regardless, each side has had their November Surprise (for the Left, Haggard's hypocrisy; for the Right, Hussein's hanging), and now -- at long last -- it's showtime: Time to show "the decider" what we really think of him.

For what it's worth, I can now personally guarantee at least one vote for the not-particularly-embattled Spitzer/Clinton/Rangel/Cuomo ticket. I even used an old-school levered voting machine, so mine should more likely than not get counted.

Predictions? Of course, I'd like to venture a 1994-like tidal wave, but I've been burned by too many election nights in the past. So I'll play it relatively safe...the Dems win the House, picking up 18-22 seats, and gain four seats in the Senate: Missouri, Montana, Ohio, and Pennsylvania. (So long, Santorum!) It looked like control of the Senate might've hinged on the Allen-Webb race in Virginia, but now that Harold Ford seems to have faded in Tennessee (one has to wonder how much Corker's gutterball ad helped him), a Dem Senate looks really unlikely. Still, I'd love to be surprised in both states.

Obviously not winning the House at this point would be a grievous blow for the party. But, whatever happens tonight, it has to be better than the last midterms.

The last two times I posted exit polls here (in 2000 and 2004), I've been led astray, but if I see anything good from the Senate races, I'll post it below. In the meantime, the NYT has a quality election guide here, and there are a couple of good explanations of what to look for tonight here and here. On this end, I and several of my friends who've been burned over the last few election nights together will be huddled around the TV, yearning to breathe free. Hopefully, at long last, it'll be our night.

Even in early voting, it seems, the shadiness is rampant: Looka collects a few dismaying articles about the voting machines tending to prefer Republicans this year, regardless of what voters may want. (Sound familiar?) How hard can it be, people? In twelve-odd-years of using them, I've never had an ATM screw up or misreport a transaction. If we can do it for twenty dollar bills, we can do it for the franchise.

"Historically, the major parties in America have yoked together the most disparate groups for long periods. The New Deal Democrats were a party of Northern liberals and Southern segregationists. But once Lyndon Johnson committed the Democrats to civil rights for African Americans, the white South up and left -- a process that took 40 years to complete but that left the Democrats struggling to assemble congressional and presidential majorities and that converted the Republicans into a party where Southern values were dominant. Now the non-Southern bastions of Republicanism may themselves up and leave the GOP, seeing it as no longer theirs." The American Prospect's Harold Meyerson sees potential for a realignment of northern moderates come Tuesday. Well, let's hope. Chafee looks like toast (and he's acting like it, too), but there are still a lot of undecideds -- between 15 and 20% -- in that Rhode Island race. And, lest we forget, our very own president, much as he'd like us to think otherwise, is a scion of the North as well.

Jeffrey Sachs, take note: A new report finds that the best way to get the US to pony up some foreign aid for impoverished nations is to get that country on the Security Council, and pronto. "A two-year seat on the Security Council, for instance, can generate a 59 percent spike in U.S. assistance, according to a study by two Harvard University scholars that tracked U.S. economic and military assistance from 1946 to 2001. In times of crisis, U.S. aid to some member countries has increased by as much as 170 percent. Those aid levels tend to recede after the country leaves the 15-nation council." So, great news, Panama...You just hit the jackpot.

I don't really have anything to say about Kerrygate, except, well, is it Tuesday yet? Way to stick your foot in it, Senator. But, really, is this all you guys got? Is this all you can conjure, Rove? The whole GOP media onslaught about it reeks of desperation (as do the gutterball ad campaigns), and, hey, I don't blame them: times are desperate: "'So many different kinds of scandals going on at the same time, that's pretty unique,' Zelizer said. 'There were scandals throughout the '70s, multiple scandals, but the number of stories now are almost overwhelming.'"

Breaking news: Rush Limbaugh is a fat junkie asshole. But you might've already known that.

It's true in the West, it's true in the Southwest, it's even true among the reddest of the red. And, in perhaps the final straw for the GOP this November, a new poll puts independents breaking for the Dems 59%-31%. Yes, y'all, it looks like a wave is coming...(provided, of course, Diebold doesn't ride to Dubya's rescue.)

As Medley pointed out yesterday, Dubya and the GOP are now "cutting and running from 'stay the course.'" Instead, Tony Snow tells us, "What you have is not 'stay the course' but in fact a study in constant motion." And that motion, folks, is a full-out freefall. As even Senator Lindsey Graham (R-SC) noted yesterday, "We're on the verge of chaos" And, frankly, that's being charitable.

"But if the list is for real, it's evidence of presidential dereliction of duty, and perhaps an outright threat to national security. Two books a week is an uphill battle for a graduate student whose responsibilities don't even include showering. For a president, who lives at work, reading and comprehending two serious books a month takes a Herculean effort." (Hey, I shower!...um, most days.) Slate's Bruce Reed discusses Dubya's newfound love for books, suggesting that his recent reading contest with Karl Rove is part of the reason why things have gone so astray of late for this president. Well, call me old-fashioned, but -- My Pet Goat notwithstanding -- I'd usually rather see Dubya with his nose in a good book than see him make any more lousy world-threatening decisions. Besides. Dubya dug himself in this hole long before 2006...some healthy book learnin' might've done him right earlier in his tenure. Hey, at the very least, he might've locked down that whole pesky Shia-Sunni thing.

"'The Democrats are going to gain somewhere between four and seven seats,' said Stuart Rothenberg, author of an independent newsletter that tracks campaigns nationwide." The WaPo surveys recent trends in the battle for the Senate, concluding that a Dem takeover is still eminently possible, if not yet probable. "Of the battlegrounds of Tennessee, Virginia and Missouri, [Rothenberg] said, 'They need two of the three, and they have a pretty good chance' of winning them."

Another GOP scandal? Oh, why not. This time, the culprit is California Republican longshot Tam Nguyen, who apparently was the mastermind behind 14,000 letters sent to scare immigrants from the polls. "Written in Spanish, the letters advise recently registered voters that it is a crime for those in the country illegally to vote in a federal election, which is true. They also say, falsely, that immigrants may not vote and could be jailed or deported for doing so, that the federal government has a new computer system to verify voter names, and that anti-immigration organizations can access the records." Nguyen has said he'll stay in the race against Democratic congresswoman Loretta Sanchez, even though his own party is disavowing him.

For the increasingly factious and terrified GOP, it's second verse, same as the first: Terror, terror, terror, 9/11, 9/11, 9/11...

Wasting no time after signing the godawful terrorism bill into law, Dubya tells the US District Court that it has lost jurisdiction over habeas corpus petitions filed by Gitmo detainees. "What's being blocked and what the government is opposing tooth and nail is the most simple thing of all: a hearing before a district court judge,' said Jonathan Hafetz, who handles many detainee cases for the Brennan Center for Justice at New York University School of Law. 'The government will do anything to prevent Guantanamo detainees from being able to present evidence in court.'"

"By himself, Cunningham had no authority to or ability to award a contract to MZM...[He] needed to secure the cooperation, or at least the non-interference, of many people: the appropriators and authorizers in Congress...the various Department of Defense (DOD) officials responsible for execution of the money...and officials of the agencies for which the contracts were to be performed. This was a lot of people to persuade, cajole, deceive, pressure, intimidate, bribe or otherwise influence to do what they wanted." A new report by the House Intelligence Committee delves into Randy "Duke" Cunningham's bribery operation on the Hill (or at least, it does what it can given that the GOP, acting sketchy as usual, refused to subpoena Cunningham. Can we please get a little oversight up in here?)

"Lame Duck" Dubya and his man behind the curtain, Karl Rove, may be "inexplicably upbeat," but John McCain is apparently contemplating suicide. Meanwhile, Dems Carville and Greenberg suggest breaking out the party credit cards, while the bellwether state of Ohio sours on the GOP completely. Only 20 days left until Election 2006...

As threatened in the past, Dubya has apparently signed a new National Space Policy that heavily emphasizes the weaponization of space. "Theresa Hitchens, director of the nonpartisan Center for Defense Information in Washington, said that the new policy 'kicks the door a little more open to a space-war fighting strategy' and has a 'very unilateral tone to it.'"

"As the hobbits are going up Mount Doom, the Eye of Mordor is being drawn somewhere else...It's being drawn to Iraq and it's not being drawn to the U.S. You know what? I want to keep it on Iraq. I don't want the Eye to come back here to the United States." Agh! File this one in the Tom DeLay loves NASA department: Right-wing freakshow and self-proclaimed Tolkien fan Rick Santorum invokes Lord of the Rings to justify Iraq. Sorry, Senator...you can't Wormtongue your way out of this one.

"'Everyone would appreciate it if you would contact Ken only and not others here at the WH,' reads one message to Abramoff from Bush advisor Karl Rove's assistant Susan Ralston, 'because they just forward it to him anyway.'" Salon's Mark Benjamin takes a gander at Casino Jack's man in the White House, Republican Party chair Ken Mehlman. "More than once, Abramoff asks for a favor, Mehlman fulfills the request, and then one of Abramoff's wealthy Indian tribe clients sends a political donation to a GOP cause."

Another week, another GOP scandal. This time, it involves Pennsylvania congressman Curt Weldon, whom the FBI is now investigating for lobbying improprieties involving the business of his daughter and political ally Charles Sexton. "The investigation focuses on Weldon's support of the Russian-managed Itera International Energy Corp., one of the world's largest oil and gas firms, while that company paid fees to Solutions North America, the company that Karen Weldon and Sexton operate." And, if that weren't enough, the House Page Board is now looking into veteran congressman Jim Kolbe for a camping trip he took with former pages in 1996, adding further to the increasing number of once-safe GOP seats now in contention in three weeks. Update: More on the Weldon investigation and Kolbe allegations.

A new minority staff report by the Senate Finance Committee concludes that "[f]ive conservative nonprofit organizations, including one run by prominent Republican Grover Norquist, 'appear to have perpetrated a fraud' on taxpayers by selling their clout to lobbyist Jack Abramoff." Among the organizations called out are Norquist's Americans for Tax Reform and the Council of Republicans for Environmental Advocacy (sheah), an outfit created by Norquist and former Dubya Interior Secretary Gail Norton, whose office was already waist-deep in ill-gotten Casino Jack loot. (In fact, Abramoff's point person in Norton's office was CREA's president, Italia Federici.)

Update: In related news, Abramoff flunky Bob Ney pleaded guilty today to conspiracy and making false statements (without, mind you, resigning his seat in Congress.) While he didn't speak with reporters, Ney's written statement noted that the "treatment and counseling I have started have been very helpful, but I know that I am not done yet and that I have more work to do to deal with my alcohol dependency." Ok, one more time, people. Alcoholism means you drink too much. It does not mean that you bilk the public, indulge in bribes, or send teenagers dirty IMs.

"This moment in life is not the right time for me." In a possible boon for Evan Bayh, among others, former Virginia governor Mark Warner drops out of the 2008 presidential race, citing a (seemingly honest) desire to spend more time with his family. Well, I can't say I'm too depressed about it. I'm not much for the "centrist" (re: protective camouflage) Dems anyway, and the one time I saw Warner on Meet the Press, he seemed woefully out of his depth on national issues. It's just too bad he didn't figure it out sooner, as he likely could've easily taken George Allen to the woodshed in the Virginia Senate race (not that Webb is doing all that badly, but Warner would've been a shoo-in.)

"'Voters are tying both of these scandals together,' said Paul A. Miller, president of the American League of Lobbyists, a lobbyist trade group in the capital. 'First with Abramoff and now with Foley, corruption has risen to play a big role in this election. It disappoints me, but it's happening.'" It disappoints you? As the lobbyists lament, it appears Foleygate has brought ethics in government back into focus as a central 2006 campaign issue, despite the GOP's earlier banking on Casino Jack fading from memory. And, worse still for the Republicans, it seems the so-called "values vote" won't save them this time 'round.

655,000 deaths in Iraq?! A new report by Johns Hopkins researchers puts the number of fatalities from Dubya's Baghdad debacle at over twenty times what other sources such as Iraq Body Count have been reporting (making it roughly comparable to the fatality rate in Darfur.) Dear Lord, can that really be right? (Also noted at Ed Rants.) Update: The study's author explains its methodology.

"Sen. John McCain has skidded his Straight Talk Express off the highway into a gopher's ditch of slime." As Dubya rejects bilateral talks with N. Korea, Slate's Fred Kaplan puts the lie to John McCain's recent attempt to carry water for the Bushies on the Korean nuclear issue. "McCain's version of history goes beyond 'revisionism' to outright falsification. It is the exact opposite of what really happened."

"So, here we are. The two major powers in this confrontation are led by blunderers; the provocateur is a chronic miscalculator. It doesn't look good." Oh, so there's the WMD: As John Bolton pushes for aggressive sanctions at the UN against the Kim Jong-Il regime, Slate's Fred Kaplan parses several ugly scenarios that could unfold after North Korea's nuclear gamble on Monday (the same day, coincidentally, that South Korean Ban Ki-moon won official Security Council backing to replace Kofi Annan. Looks like he'll be working overtime right out of the box.) By the way, if you're keeping score at home, Dubya & co. now seem to have grievously mishandled all three prongs of the "axis of evil" trifecta. Sigh. That's great, it starts with an earthquake...

One small piece of consolation in this increasingly dark, troubled world: A new post-Foley Gallup poll puts the GOP in an absolute freefall: "Democrats had a 23-point lead over Republicans in every group of people questioned -- likely voters, registered voters and adults -- on which party's House candidate would get their vote. That's double the lead Republicans had a month before they seized control of Congress in 1994 and the Democrats' largest advantage among registered voters since 1978." Moreover, two other polls by CBS News/New York Times and ABC News/Washington Post confirm that an electoral rout may now be in the making.

"Every revolution begins with the power of an idea and ends when clinging to power is the only idea left. The epitaph for the movement that started when Newt Gingrich and his forces rose from the back bench of the House chamber in 1994 may well have been written last week in the same medium that incubated it: talk radio." As Foleygate continues to conflagrate and the FBI looks for answers, a TIME cover story wonders if the Republican Revolution of 1994 is dead. Yep.

"The cut-and-run phrase is an effective political weapon...It is also a very dumb phrase...As one Republican congressman put it recently: 'Reality has been suspended for a moment. Republicans cannot speak out publicly on this issue right now.'" With even Republicans making dour assessments of Baghdad these days, Slate's John Dickerson makes the obvious points against Dubya for the "cut-and-run" garbage he indulged in last week.

"The social conservatives are frustrated with what's going on...We have heard disappointment and disenchantment. The level of commitment isn't as fierce as it ought to be." Another Foleygate update: As another GOP staffer backs up Kirk Fordham's account of telling Hastert about Foley in 2003, the NYT reports that the scandal has put at least five more GOP House seats in play, and gay Republicans begin to fear they'll end up the scapegoats of it all. "I'm just waiting for someone in a position of authority to make this a gay issue." Update: With new revelations from Representive Jim Kolbe (R-AZ), the Foley-clock moves back to 2000.

"As a former Abramoff assistant, Ralston played intermediary between the lobbyist and Rove. The congressional report found 66 Abramoff contacts with the White House, more than half of them with Ralston. In addition, Abramoff's lobbying colleagues contacted Ralston 69 times." The Casino Jack affair claims another White House victim in Rove deputy Susan Ralston, who, it was recently discovered in a House report, made the mistake of accepting Abramoff swag -- choice tickets and such -- without paying for it. Illegal, no doubt, but somehow I suspect her procuring courtside Wizard tix is the least of the Abramoff-related corruption going on in Karl's outfit.

"The fact is, even prior to the existence of the Foley e-mail exchanges, I had more than one conversation with senior staff at the highest levels of the House of Representatives, asking them to intervene when I was informed of Mr. Foley's inappropriate behavior." Foleygate update: Any hope of the GOP leadership coasting through the ugliness likely ended yesterday when Foley's former Chief of Staff Kirk Fordham announced he told them about Foley in 2003. Now, with the House Ethics Committee grinding into action, Dennis Hastert says sorry, but I'm not going anywhere. Well, Mr. Speaker, I get the sense the decision may soon be out of your hands.

"If, after the Foley episode -- a maraschino cherry atop the Democrats' delectable sundae of Republican miseries -- the Democrats cannot gain 13 seats, they should go into another line of work." In the face of Foleygate, conservative columnist George Will concedes the midterm elections.

331 billion dollars? 2965 dead troops? Approximately 45,000 dead Iraqis? Don't worry, folks. According to Dubya (in what some think is a veiled message to the fundies), it's all "just a comma" in the history books. Well, my, that's reassuring. Shucks, when you put it that way, all of American history -- or the history of our solar system, for that matter -- doesn't amount to much in the great scheme of things. Ok, you've sold me...bombs away!

Iraq, Abramoff, torture, wiretapping, energy, the economy, Delay, Foley...In a perfect world, of course, the GOP would be dead in the water right now. But, as Bob Dylan famously noted, money doesn't talk, it swears. And, with a month to go before the election, the GOP are rolling out their dough machine, and the loot is awash over everything. Some system.

Guess who's back? The Roberts Court reconvenes for another term, and all eyes are on Justice Kennedy...

More Foleygate fallout: As the representative in question heads to rehab for alcoholism (I always thought alcoholism meant you drank too much...never knew about the whole IM'ing underage folks about their masturbation habits part of it), the House GOP leaders' story keeps changing about what they knew and when they knew it (apparently, warning signs of Foley's shadiness go back to 2001), and the Republicans as a whole wonder if this might be the straw that broke their electoral back... Update: As Foley's story continues to get creepier, his attorney adds childhood abuse by a Catholic clergyman to the explanatory alcoholism. Rum, Romanism, and Rebellion?

"The disclosures so far have been devastating. The book paints the administration as clueless, dishonest, and dysfunctional." Slate's John Dickinson surveys the likely political impact of Bob Woodward's State of Denial, which broke today (in the NYT, strangely enough) and which is apparently much more critical of the neocons than his last two puff pieces, Plan of Attack and Bush at War. Of course, we've all known that the Dubya White House is chock-full of scheming, untrustworthy, incompetent loons for years now, but apparently, when Bob Woodward finally figures it out, it's suddenly newsworthy. Oh well, I'll take it.

The GOP's annus horribilis continues: Another once-safe House seat comes into play as Florida Republican Mark Foley abruptly resigns in the wake of a growing scandal involving inappropriate (or "sick sick sick") e-mails sent to a 16-year-old page. "Hours earlier, ABC News had read excerpts of instant messages provided by former male pages who said the congressman, under the AOL Instant Messenger screen name Maf54, made repeated references to sexual organs and acts." Foley, it pains me to say, was the co-chair of the Congressional Caucus on Missing and Exploited Children.

"We don't blame the Democrats for being frightened. The Republicans have made it clear that they'll use any opportunity to brand anyone who votes against this bill as a terrorist enabler. But Americans of the future won't remember the pragmatic arguments for caving in to the administration. They'll know that in 2006, Congress passed a tyrannical law that will be ranked with the low points in American democracy, our generation's version of the Alien and Sedition Acts." Abu Ghraib becomes standard operating procedure as Dubya's terror bill -- horrifying as it is -- passes the House 253-168 (roll call) and the Senate 65-34 (roll call.) Twelve Senate Dems (well, eleven Senate Dems and Lieberman) voted for the bill: Carper, Johnson, Landrieu, Lautenberg, Menendez, Nelson, Nelson, Pryor, Rockefeller, Salazar, Stabenow. Chafee was the only Republican to vote against it, Snowe abstained.

Shameful, pitiful, demoralizing, pathetic. What else is there to say? As Rebecca Blood sums it up (via Medley): "We have lost the war on torture. It's devastating."

"We're all aware, ourselves included, of the statements that got him into this. The infamous macaca statement. He's using our flag to wipe the muck from his shoes that he's now stepped in." With his penchant for the N-word revealed and his bizarre reaction to his Jewish roots, George Allen was already having a bad week. (Allen's still up on Webb, but barely.) Now, the Sons of Confederate Veterans want an apology for his recent remarks on their battle flag, which Allen recently discovered (at the age of 54) is offensive to most African Americans. Here's a tip, George: So's the noose.

A new report by the House Committee on Government Reform finds that Casino Jack and his associates billed the White House for 485 visits, ten of which were with Karl Rove. The White House says he's lying, but really now: 485 sounds closer to the mark than two.

"Four underlying factors are fueling the spread of the jihadist movement: (1) Entrenched grievances, such as corruption, injustice, and fear of Western domination, leading to anger, humiliation, and a sense of powerlessness; (2) the Iraq 'jihad;' (3) the slow pace of real and sustained economic, social, and political reforms in many Muslim majority nations; and (4) pervasive anti-US sentiment among most Muslims -- all of which jihadists exploit." In a sorry attempt at a document-dump diversion, the precis of the National Intelligence Estimate report cited over the weekend has been declassified by order of the Dubya administration, so as to help blur one of its central contentions in the public mind (point #2 above): The Iraq War has served to fuel the expansion of terrorism against the US and its allies. (Update: If you're here from Daniel Drezner's blog, welcome, and have a look around.)

"The generals' revolt has spread inside the Pentagon, and the point of the spear is one of Donald Rumsfeld's most favored officers, Gen. Peter J. Schoomaker, the Army chief of staff." Slate's Fred Kaplan examines the newest military complaints against Dubya and Rummy: They've wrecked the US Army. "This new phase of rebellion isn't aimed at the war in Iraq directly, as was the protest by six retired generals that made headlines last spring. But in some ways, it's more potent, and not just because Schoomaker is very much on active duty. His challenge is dramatic because he's questioning one of the war's consequences -- its threat to the Army's ability to keep functioning."

"The Nuremberg trials presupposed something about the human conscience: that moral choice doesn't take its cues solely from narrow legalisms and technicalities. The new detainee bill takes precisely the opposite stance: Technicality now triumphs over conscience, and even over common sense. The bill introduces the possibility for a new cottage industry: the jurisprudence of pain." Also at Slate, David J. Luban argues that Dubya's recent torture bill spells the end of the Nuremberg era, a period when the US worked hard at "codifying genuinely international humanitarian law," to say nothing of the Great Writ.

"I got closer to killing him than anybody has gotten since. And if I were still president, we'd have more than 20,000 troops there trying to kill him." While talking of the War on Terror on FOX News, Bill Clinton gets mad as hell and decides not to take it anymore. "'So you did FOX's bidding on this show. You did your nice little conservative hit job on me,' he said to [Chris] Wallace, occasionally tapping on Wallace's notes for emphasis. 'I want to know how many people in the Bush administration you asked this question of?'"

"'It's a very candid assessment,' one intelligence official said yesterday of the estimate, the first formal examination of global terrorist trends written by the National Intelligence Council since the March 2003 invasion. 'It's stating the obvious.'" A new classified report written by US intelligence agencies and unearthed by the NYT declares that Dubya's Iraq sideshow has made us weaker in the War on Terror. Gee, you think?

Missed this last week: Recently released visitor logs show Abramoff allies held court at the White House over 100 times. The most frequent visitors were disgraced strategists Grover Norquist and Ralph Reed, but Neil Volz and Tony Rudy, both of whom have pled guilty in the Casino Jack case, also racked up more than a dozen visits each.

In related news, as the battle for control of the House tightens, the GOP's K-Street cronies find they've been put on hold to make way for terror terror terror schtick. "This bottleneck has disappointed and angered organizations that have worked closely with the GOP and have won many legislative benefits. Oil and gas producers, for instance, had high hopes of adding to their legislative gains the opening of drilling on the Outer Continental Shelf."

"Eliminating habeas is tantamount to letting hundreds of Guantanamo prisoners rot in jail." After striking a somewhat nonsensical compromise with the McCain-Graham faction, Dubya gets most of his desired detention and torture bill, one which gives him the authority to interpret the Geneva Conventions by fiat and disallows detainees from either invoking the Conventions or challenging their treatment in any court. "'It replaces the old broken' military trial system ruled illegal by the Supreme Court with 'a new broken commission system,' said Marine Corps Col. Dwight Sullivan, the chief defense counsel for the Defense Department's Office of Military Commissions. He said 'it methodically strips rights' guaranteed by laws and treaties and appears to be unconstitutional." Update: The House GOP get gleeful about the torture bill.

A new intelligence report, which the French and Saudis are currently trying to confirm, suggests Osama Bin Laden may be dead or dying as a result of contracting a "serious water-borne illness" while on the run. I suppose that's good news, although it'd be vastly more preferable if he were brought to justice alive. The lack of a body means Bin Laden could easily become a Zapata-like rallying symbol for aspiring terrorists for decades to come. Update: No confirmation as of yet.

"Purely from a strategic point of view, this is another mess...Every time Republicans think they have an issue to unite them and divide the Democrats, the Republicans end up spending most of the time fighting among themselves." As fear-mongering and falling oil prices perhaps help the GOP get back in the race this November, the WP surveys the political implications of the recent stand of principle by Senators Warner, McCain, Graham, and Snowe against Dubya's grotesque tribunal plan. Politics or no, Dubya's proposed gutting of the Geneva Conventions must be stopped: "'What is being billed as "clarifying" our treaty obligations will be seen as "withdrawing" from the treaty obligations,' Graham said. 'It will set precedent which could come back to haunt us.'"

"We should see the administration's bill for what it is: a shattering assault on our constitutional system of checks and balances. It seeks to inaugurate an age of presidential supremacy over fundamental rights, without effective control by Congress or the courts. The Senate should reject it decisively when it comes to the floor in the coming weeks." Yale professor Bruce Ackerman decries Dubya's recent wiretapping bill, which recently passed out of committee on a party-line vote. (Thanks, Arlen.)

"Sen. Conrad Burns gazed at a debate audience and asked if anyone could guess who was blocking efforts in Washington to control health-care costs. 'Abramoff?' shouted a heckler." Taking a look at the Montana Senate Race, the Post argues that the Casino Jack scandals still aren't making much of a dent in the midterm elections. Nevertheless, the case continues to play out in official Washington: After agreeing to plead guilty last Friday to corruption charges stemming from the Abramoff investigation, the GOP's Bob Ney -- recently the recipient of a Republican standing O for his flouting of the law -- is forced to give up his House chairmanships. Ney hasn't given up his seat yet, but either way, he's out in November.

"We've been told that the interests of the South and the Southwest are not the same interests as the North and the Northeast. They pit one group against the other. They've divided this country and in our isolation we think government isn't gonna help us, and we're alone in our feelings. We feel forgotten. Well, the fact is that we are not an isolated piece of their puzzle. We are one nation. We are the United States of America." Governor Ann Richards, 1933-2006.

"Despite the Administration's stonewalling, the Judiciary Committee, which knows even less about the program than the Intelligence Committee, today approved legislation that would not only legalize a program that the Committee does not understand but would also completely gut the FISA law...Expanding executive power at the request of a president who has shown such deep disrespect for the rule of law is exactly the wrong thing to do." Checks and balances? Bah, humbug. At Dubya's mandate -- and despite Democratic attempts to limit the damage -- Spineless Specter and the GOP members of the Senate Judiciary Committee approve legislation legalizing the NSA's warrantless wiretap program. As the ACLU summed it up: "Today, the Senate Judiciary Committee acted as a rubber stamp for the administration's abuse of power." For shame.

In somewhat unhappy news for prospects of a Senate takeover in November, GOP moderate Lincoln Chafee withstands a primary challenge from his right, in the form of Cranston mayor Steve Laffey, 54-46%. Still, Democrat (and son of Chafee's father's roommate at Yale) Sheldon Whitehouse is effectively tied with Chafee in recent polls, so the damage from a bruising primary race may still pay dividends for the Dems.

"The Wire, which has just begun its fourth season on HBO, is surely the best TV show ever broadcast in America...no other program has ever done anything remotely like what this one does, namely to portray the social, political, and economic life of an American city with the scope, observational precision, and moral vision of great literature." Slate's Jacob Weisberg joins the swelling ranks of Wire aficionados. (Season 4 is currently pulling a lowly 98 over at Metafilter.) "This year, The Wire's political science is as brilliant as its sociology. It leaves The West Wing, and everything else television has tried to do on this subject, in the dust." And, in very happy news that partially atones for Deadwood's early demise (although that [expletive deleted] still rankles), HBO re-ups for The Wire Season 5, which will focus on the mass media. I'll drink a spot of Jamesons to that.

"The power of his rhetoric is in marked decline...We are losing a war right now, and there is no way to get around that." Five years after the 9/11 attacks, Dubya and the GOP are once again in full "terror, terror, terror, 9/11, 9/11, 9/11" mode. But, really, what can you expect? Other than going virulently negative, it's the only trick these jokers have left. If we let them pull it again this November, shame on us.

"Blind faith in bad leaders is not patriotism. A patriot does not tell people who are intensely concerned about their country to just sit down and be quiet; to refrain from speaking out in the name of politeness or for the sake of being a good host; to show slavish, blind obedience and deference to a dishonest, war-mongering, human-rights-violating president." By way of Looka, even the reddest state in the nation is turning blue: Check out this fiery speech given last week by Salt Lake City mayor Rocky Anderson.

"'I feel terrible,' Armitage said. 'Every day, I think, I let down the president. I let down the secretary of state. I let down my department, my family, and I also let down Mr. and Mrs. Wilson.'" Speaking of coming clean, Dick Armitage admits he was the Plame leaker (after having been outed by Mike Isikoff and David Corn last week.)

After fierce debate among the neocons, Dubya comes clean about the CIA's secret prisons (outed by the Post last November) and moves the detainees held therein to Gitmo. But don't think this moment of clarity means King George is playing it straight just yet: He's also asking Congress to sidestep recent court decisions and grant him power to continue wiretapping without warrants and to torture alleged evildoers with impunity. And even moderate Republicans and military lawyers have issues with his recent attempts to deny suspected terrorists due process.

Update: Slate's Dahlia Lithwick has more: "The speech teemed with all the rhetorical wizardry you might expect of a do-over. Bush justified torture and extraordinary rendition while denying that they exist. He stuck a fork in the eye of the Supreme Court while agreeing to be bound by the majority's decision. He conceded that Congress should play a role in creating military tribunals while demanding that it greenlight his plan."

"It is no secret that I have serious questions about this Administration's policies in the Middle East." Desperate to shore up his maverick cred before the GOP primary next week, Sen. Lincoln Chafee puts a hold on the GOP's planned Bolton coronation. (Of course, the UN would never have had to put up with Bolton in the first place were it not for Chafee's capitulation last year.)

Two recent history-minded links courtesy of the NYT: National Review's Richard Brookhiser evaluates the marginalia of John Adams, and Sheryl Gay Stolberg examines the recent revival of Munich among the Bushies (as does the WP's Eugene Robinson.)

"'The environment for the majority party is extremely bad,' says political scientist David Rohde of Duke University. 'There's certainly plenty of time for things to be shaken up ... (but) it would take something really huge" to turn around GOP fortunes.'" Don't count your chickens, but, with nine weeks to go before Election 2006, the Republicans are still floundering, as more and more GOP seats enter into play and a House takeover by the Dems looks increasingly likely. Thanks, Dubya!

"[W]ages and salaries now make up the lowest share of the nation's gross domestic product since the government began recording the data in 1947, while corporate profits have climbed to their highest share since the 1960's." An examination of the economy by the NYT reveals the bitter fruit of Dubyanomics for 90% of the nation: "At the very top of the income spectrum, many workers have continued to receive raises that outpace inflation, and the gains have been large enough to keep average income and consumer spending rising...[but e]ven for workers at the 90th percentile of earners -- making about $80,000 a year -- inflation has outpaced their pay increases over the last three years, according to the Labor Department."

"He's no longer offering himself as the alternative to Bush. Now he's positioned himself as Bush's heir, a turnaround that makes some people, including McCain sometimes, more than a little uncomfortable." In their Sunday magazine, the WP surveys the sad primary-induced transformation of John McCain from mythical maverick to Dubya stalwart.

By way of a friend in the program, it's the NYT through right-wing eyes. Well, that explains a few things.

As the five-year anniversary approaches, New York Magazine wonders "What if 9/11 never happened?", putting the question to Andrew Sullivan, Thomas Friedman, Dahlia Lithwick, Frank Rich, Tom Wolfe, Doris Kearns Goodwin, Fareed Zakaria, Douglas Brinkley, and others. (By way of Lots of Co.)

"Seen the arrow on the doorpost saying, 'This land is condemned, all the way from New Orleans to Jerusalem.' I traveled through East Texas where many martyrs fell, and I know no one can sing the blues like Blind Willie McTell." Or Kind Willie Clinton, for that matter...a belated happy birthday to our ex-president, who turned 60 yesterday.

"[P]ublic interest is clear, in this matter. It is the upholding of the Constitution." In a strongly worded decision that minces no words about the Dubya administration's "obviously" unwarranted powergrab, U.S. District Judge Anna Diggs Taylor finds the NSA warrantless wiretaps blatantly unconstitutional. "It was never the intent of the framers to give the president such unfettered control, particularly where his actions blatantly disregard the parameters clearly enumerated in the Bill of Rights...There are no hereditary Kings in America and no powers not created by the Constitution. So all 'inherent powers' must derive from that Constitution." Elsewhere in the opinion, Taylor found that the wiretap program "violates the separation of powers doctrine, the Administrative Procedures Act, the First and Fourth amendments to the United States Constitution, the FISA and Title III." Update: As per the norm, the GOP try to shoot the messenger.

"So is now the time to conclude that a Democratic wave is building that will sweep Republicans out of a House majority in November? The answer, according to Charlie Cook and Stu Rothenberg, is a guarded yes." The WP's Chris Cillizza surveys the trends in several recent polls and finds that the likelihood of strong gains for Democrats this November is building to crescendo.

"'Let's give a welcome to Macaca, here,' Allen said. 'Welcome to America and the real world of Virginia.'" In a weird on-camera display of political self-immolation, Republican Senator George Allen, the fellow who once proudly sported a lynching noose in his law office, strangely resurrects a racial slur from his mother's days in Tunisia to berate S.R. Sidarth, an Indian-American campaign worker for Democrat Jim Webb. "'I think he was doing it because he could, and I was the only person of color there, and it was useful for him in inciting his audience, Mr. Sidarth told The Post." Class act, Senator. Update: Has Macacagate put Allen's seat in play?

"It surprised me...It seemed almost orchestrated. It's sort of demeaning to the people of Connecticut...I thought the senator and the vice president were both wrong to use that attack (strategy) on the voters of Connecticut." In the first full week of the post-primary race in Connecticut (Joe's up five at the moment), Ned Lamont calls out Lieberman for his recent Cheneyisms. And, in related news, Russ Feingold asks Lieberman to get out of the race on ABC's This Week: "Joe is showing with that regrettable statement that he doesn't get it. He doesn't get it...Senator Lieberman has supported the Bush Administration's disastrous strategic approach of getting us stuck in Iraq instead of focusing on those who attacked us."

"People around here are anxious and concerned not just about the national state of affairs, but also their personal state of affairs. As a Republican candidate, the challenge is to show you have even a clue about what their lives are like." After surveying the terrain in Lamont country (which is larger than it looks), the WP finds GOP incumbents in serious trouble in the Northeast, namely New York, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut.

He can turn and walk away or he can fire the gun...Having eluded the press and apparently entering his existential period, Dubya totes around Camus's The Stranger in Crawford. Update: Slate's John Dickerson has more.

A day after Scotland Yard announces it managed to prevent a major terrorist incident (with the help of Pakistan), terror is back on the menu here at home, with the GOP invoking 9/11, 9/11, 9/11 and Lieberman -- absolutely wallowing in shamefulness now -- actually calling Lamont's recent victory a boon for plane-bombers. This was a terrifying near-event indeed -- were it not for top-notch intel work by British authorities, the world might've experienced another horrific day akin to September 11 in very short order. But, look closely, and you'll find this plot by homegrown British terrorists bears the likely marks of Al Qaeda, which, last I recall, we left somewhere near Afghanistan to go dink around in Iraq. Crossover Joe and the GOP can shout terror to the heavens, but the fact is that Osama bin Laden and Al Qaeda are more of a threat to us today because of Dubya's non-sequitur Iraq sideshow. Make no mistake: America is less safe because Dubya and the neocons chose to cut and run in Tora Bora so they could prosecute their war of choice in Baghdad.

"There's a broader lesson here, and it speaks to the Bush administration's present jam throughout the Middle East and in other danger zones. If the British had adopted the same policy toward dealing with Pakistan that Bush has adopted toward dealing with, say, Syria or Iran (namely, it's an evil regime, and we don't speak with evil regimes), then a lot of passenger planes would have shattered and spilled into the ocean, hundreds or thousands of people would have died, and the world would have suddenly been plunged into very scary territory." In light of yesterday's foiled plot, Slate's Fred Kaplan points out one of the critical flaws of Dubya Diplomacy (which, thankfully, the British do not share.)

"Once again, Bush demonstrated that he doesn't understand what makes young democracies flourish or why Hezbollah has appeal even to many nonterrorists. He doesn't seem to realize that democratic governments require democratic institutions and the resources to make them thrive. He evinces no awareness that the longer Israel bombs Beirut into oblivion, the harder it becomes for Siniora (who has few resources) to retain legitimacy -- and the easier it becomes for Hezbollah (which has many more resources) to gain still greater power." Slate's Fred Kaplan parses yet another dismaying press performance by Dubya regarding the current international scene.

Update: "Scholars who enter the chambers of power should use their training as a tool to help them make decisions. Condi Rice is using hers as a chant to wish away the consequences." In a related piece, Kaplan examines Condaleeza Rice's tendency to hide behind her PhD when faced with tough questions. Well, she may be a "student of history," but as Sean Wilentz noted earlier, she's never been a very good one when you get right down to it (although, to her credit, she has been very busy creating work for future members of the profession.)

Is Lieberman's MoJoe rising, or have Ned Lamont and his YouTube army stymied the Joementum for good? It's decision time in Connecticut today, and the political world is watching with bated breath. My hope? Lamont in a walk. Update: As expected, Lieberman is defeated by a margin of 52-48%. Alas, after spewing forth some staggeringly self-serving GOP talking points about "partisan polarizers" in the Democratic Party (which several of the media glitterati are taking at face value), Lieberman has already announced his independent bid. Well, say hi to Zell for us on your way out of the party, Joe, and good riddance.

Oof, it's been a bad 24 hours for Casino Jack's cronies in the House. With the public in an increasingly unforgiving mood towards congressional incumbents, GOP fave and Abramoff flunky Bob Ney drops out of his Ohio House race. And, one day after losing a bid to get his name off the ballot in Sugar Land, Boss DeLay announces he'll step aside for a write-in candidate. Update: It appears Ney's leaving will cause some ballot trouble as well for the GOP.

And, while I'm snarfing links from other blogs, two choice entries from PlasticBag: (1) A rather lame "amateur" anti-Gore YouTube video turns out to be the work of GOP agit-prop artists, likely at the behest of Exxon; and (2) to keep up with the times, everyone's favorite real estate robber baron simulation, Monopoly, is forsaking the multicolored cash for debit cards. "It is inserted into an electronic machine where the banker taps in cardholders' earnings and payments."

"'It was a political calculation that his advisers persuaded him that he needed to do, and I think he knew it,' said one Republican with close ties to Mr. Bush, who would discuss internal White House decisions only if not quoted by name. He added, 'I don't think he is resentful or angry or anything; I think he is resigned to it.'" Well, shucks. Sometimes it just sucks to be the leader of the free world (which, you may remember, is "hard work!"): Dubya's vacation gets cut to only ten days.

"This has constrained U.S. foreign policy in many damaging ways...The United States does not have effective diplomatic channels for managing the situation, much less resolving it." Former members of Bush administrations past and present criticize the Dubya White House for their complete lack of diplomatic avenues with Syria, Iran, the Palestinians, or anyone else that might be able to mitigate the current Middle East crisis. "As unattractive as they are, the Syrians are in a position to affect U.S. interests in Iraq and Lebanon...We should be having a broad-based dialogue with them -- not as a favor to them but as a favor to ourselves."

"What [Connecticut] tells us about the fall is something I think we've known all along, and that is the status quo in Iraq is unacceptable. It's unacceptable to Democratic primary voters, it's unacceptable to independents and it's unacceptable to a large minority of Republicans. Iraq is the number one issue and the message is exceptionally simple: We cannot abide the status quo." As Joe Lieberman likely nears the end of his days as a Democrat, Hillary, the DLC, and other centrist Dems prep for the fallout from the Connecticut primary.

"Colbert stepped farther through the looking glass by editing Wikipedia's 'Stephen Colbert' entry during his show. He railed against the Encyclopedia Britannica's assertion that George Washington owned slaves. 'If I want to say he didn't, that's my right,' Colbert said. On Wikipedia's "George Washington" entry, the following phrase appeared at the end: 'In conclusion, George Washington did not own slaves.'" The inimitable Stephen Colbert sends his legions against Wikipedia. (Via Now This.)

"All these guys are trying to seem like reasonable, moderate guys who are not the scary conservatives who their opponents will make them out to be...But they all have very conservative records and support for the president that will make it difficult for them to duck this." As November looms closer, the WP finds GOP candidates running scared from Dubya.

"In the end, disappointment was Hofstadter's great overarching theme, which may partly explain why, as Brown points out, 'there is no Hofstadter school' today. His account of the American past was finally tragic, and tragedy lies outside the comfortable boundaries of American thought." NYT Book Review editor (and bane of Ed Rants) Sam Tanenhaus takes a look at David Brown's new biography of Richard Hofstadter.

Pathetic...these guys really have no shame. In yet another desperate and disgusting bid to pamper the rich by stealing from the poor, Catkiller Frist and the Senate GOP try to game the Senate Dems into backing a repeal of the estate tax by coupling it with a long-overdue minimum wage hike. To put this ploy in perspective, a recent report "concluded that the estate tax reduction would cut government income by $753 billion in the first 10 years, forcing lower spending for Medicaid, food stamps and unemployment insurance, which help low-wage workers." Update: Thankfully, the bill failed on a 56-42 cloture vote, three shorts shy of the necessary 60 (Catkiller switched his vote to enable reconsideration later.)

And, in quite related news, new Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson admits the Dubya economy has been leaving people behind: "'Many aren't seeing significant increases in their take-home pay. Their increases in wages are being eaten up by high energy prices and rising health care costs, among others.'"

"'The universe of offshore tax cheating has become so large that no one, not even the United States government, could go after all of it." A new Senate report delves into offshore tax shelter schemes by extremely wealthy individuals, ones which cost the American public billions in federal tax revenues (and which often utilized fronts based in the Isle of Man, once the long-time home of my now-deceased English grandparents.) "'We need to significantly strengthen the aiding and abetting statutes to get at the lawyers and accountants and other advisers who enable this cheating,' Senator Levin said, adding that 'we need major changes in law to stop the use of tax havens' by tax cheats."

As reported over the weekend in the NYT, an audit finds that the US Agency for International Development (AID) has been using funny math to hide huge cost overruns for Iraqi reconstruction projects. "The agency hid construction overruns by listing them as overhead or administrative costs, according to the audit...[for one new power station]the project's overhead, a figure that normally runs to a maximum of 30 percent, was a stunning 418 percent."

"'The Republicans say the economy is great for everyone,' Clinton said. 'They've done nothing about these costs that are eating away at the paychecks of hard-working Americans. Democrats will work to get health-care costs down, to get college tuitions under control, to address the rising costs of gas prices, to cut middle-class taxes and reward companies that create jobs here at home.'" With November in the not-too-distant future (and 2008 only a step beyond), Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton announces the American Dream Initiative, a.k.a. the DLC centrists' stab at a Contract with America-type campaign agenda: "The centerpiece proposal would provide additional support for college costs, with the goal of increasing the number of college graduates by 1 million a year by 2015...Other ideas include requirements for employers to establish retirement accounts for all workers and a refundable tax credit for savers; 'baby bonds' that would create a government-funded savings account of $500 for every child born in the United States; a refundable tax credit to help provide the down payment on housing; universal health care for children; and benefits for small businesses to lower the cost of providing health insurance to workers." This all sounds good, if a bit classically Clintonesque. OK, the name is goofy (as was Hillary's "It's the American Dream, stupid."), and IMHO there needs to be more here regarding both campaign finance and lobbying reform. But, still, there's very little of the usual protective camouflage-y cruft that usually accompanies anything put out by the DLC, so that's a good start. Let's see where it goes.

Ethanol and granite, meet poker and palmettos. After months of wrangling, the Dems announce that Nevada and South Carolina will be pushed forward into Iowa/New Hampshire territory come the 2008 primaries. "Harold Ickes -- a committee member and confidante of Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y., a potential 2008 candidate -- spoke in opposition to a Palmetto State primary out of concern that it would be a walkover for former senator John Edwards (N.C.) should he choose to run." (Interestingly enough, this article also notes that Rep. Jim Clyburn, the congressman from my hometown of Florence, SC, is now the third-ranking Dem in the House. Nicely done.)

"The word conservative means discriminatory practically. It's a form of political discrimination. What do the Republicans run on? Against gay marriage and for a war that makes no sense. A war that was based on faulty intelligence. That's all they ever talk about. That and immigration. Another discriminatory argument for political gain." Basketball legend Charles Barkley sets the story straight about his political affiliation: "I was a Republican - until they lost their minds." (Via Now This.)

"This report raises serious concerns crucial to the survival of our democracy...If left unchecked, the president's practice does grave harm to the separation of powers doctrine, and the system of checks and balances that have sustained our democracy for more than two centuries." Then, again, I could be sold on the merits of bar associations...if they continue to call out Dubya for trampling on our Constitution.

"If another nation's leader adopted such positions, the United States would be quick to condemn him or her for violating fundamental tenets of the rule of law, human rights, and the separation of powers. But President Bush has largely gotten away with it, at least at home, for at least three reasons. His party holds a decisive majority in Congress, making effective political checks by that branch highly unlikely. The Democratic Party has shied away from directly challenging the president for fear that it will be viewed as soft on terrorism. And the American public has for the most part offered only muted objections. These realities make the Supreme Court's decision in Hamdan v. Rumsfeld, issued on the last day of its 2005-2006 term, in equal parts stunning and crucial." In related news, as seen at both Salon and Mother Jones (as well as the New York Review of Books), author and law professor David Cole underlines the importance of the Hamdan decision in preserving the rule of law and throttling Dubya's unchecked power grabs of late.

So, the pre-born aside, how does Dubya feel about the plight of actual, honest-to-goodness post-born American kids living in poverty these days? Well, judging from his recent statements on poverty, or complete and utter lack thereof since Katrina faded from public memory, he couldn't care less. "Domestic poverty did not come up in his State of the Union address in January, and his most recent budget included no new initiatives directed at the poor."

"[I]f Specter's bill prevails, it will amount to a White House masterstroke, precisely what James Madison had in mind when he described the dangers of unchecked rule by one branch of government: 'the very definition of tyranny.'" Having read the legislation in full, author and wiretap expert Patrick Radden Keefe discovers, perhaps not surprisingly, that Specter's recent NSA "compromise" is a complete capitulation to executive power. And, in very related news, file this under "repeated injuries and usurpations": Attorney General Alberto Gonzales testified under oath this week that it was Dubya's personal decision to close down the Justice Department's probe into the NSA's warrantless wiretaps (the one, you may recall, that couldn't get the security clearances to do its job.)

Stick a fork in him -- As suspected, former Christian Coalition wunderkind and Casino Jack flunky Ralph Reed is politically finished after being forced to concede the Georgia Lieutenant Governor's race, a campaign he was a mortal lock to win before his Abramoff shenanigans leaked. Almost as sweet as Reed's comeuppance, we now know that, despite the GOP's gamble, the Ballad of Casino Jack does in fact play at the polls this election season. Better start dancin', Boehner...

And is dubious Democrat Joe Lieberman finished as well? (At least in the party, that is.) A new Quinnipac poll shows him trailing challenger Ned Lamont 51-47 for the first time in the Connecticut primary, which takes place August 8. (Although, loath to make the same mistake as his former running mate, Lieberman has the one and only Bill Clinton -- a man who knows how to survive an inappropriate kiss or two -- coming to town on Monday to campaign for him.) Update: Clinton makes the case.

"'What about Kofi Annan?' Bush asked Blair. 'I don't like the sequence of it. His attitude is basically cease-fire and everything else happens.'" Dubya and Tony Blair get caught (apparently) off-guard and on tape discussing the escalating crisis in the Middle East. "Bush said that he feels 'like telling Kofi to get on the phone with [Syrian President Bashar] Assad and make something happen. We're not blaming Israel, and we're not blaming the Lebanese government.'" (A lot of news sources seem to be fronting Dubya's use of the S-word -- "See the irony is what they need to do is get Syria to get Hezbollah to stop doing this shit and it's over." -- but, really, who gives a shit about his language?) "Bush also told Blair that he would be sending Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice to the region soon. 'She's going,' Bush said. 'I think Condi's going to go pretty soon.'" Update: Watch it online, just to get a sense of how boorish and out-of-his-depth our president seems on the world stage. (Exhibit B: Dubya's ill-fated and cringeworth back-rub attempt.)

Can Congress solve the Abramoff-Dubya riddle where Judicial Watch failed? Let's hope so. The House Government Reform Committee subpoenas Casino Jack's former law firm for information regarding his White House visits.

"'There's confusion among the Christian conservatives,' Mr. Towery, the pollster, said. 'I'm not going to say Cagle's taking the base, but he's picking away at it.'" In related news, the NYT surveys the ailing political fortunes of Abramoff accomplice Ralph Reed, now fighting for his political life in a GOP primary for Georgia Lieutenant Governor that takes place this Tuesday. "Mr. Reed's critics seized on the scandal as proof that he had deployed his Christian supporters for profit. 'Ralph Reed sold out our values,' Mr. Cagle's advertisements say, calling him 'hypocritical and immoral' and accusing him of 'manipulating Christians for casinos.'" Yep, sounds about right.

My thoughts exactly.

As the legislative and judicial branches struggle to rein in Dubya's excesses, recent Senate testimony on the treatment of Gitmo detainees reveals fissues within the administration's approach to the Hamdan ruling: "The testimony has shown that the Justice Department -- which had insisted on the legality of the existing policy -- is eager to sharply limit the impact of the Supreme Court's decision, while military lawyers and some other Pentagon officials are celebrating it as a vindication of their long-held concerns about U.S. detainee policy." Update: "The President is always right?" (Via Looka.)

Meanwhile, in another recent reversal -- one likely precipitated by both the Hamdan case and pending lawsuits by the ACLU and others -- the Dubya White House agrees to a deal put forth by Arlen "paper tiger" Specter that would put the NSA warrantless wiretaps to a constitutional review by the FISA court. But the trick, as many Dems have pointed out, is under this deal the FISA court would only do a general review of the wiretap program, rather than conduct the individual case-by-case reviews that the law has always demanded: "Sen. Russell Feingold (D-Wis.) criticized the agreement, saying he will oppose 'any bill that would grant blanket approval for warrantless surveillance of Americans, particularly when this administration has never explained why it believes that current law allowing surveillance of terrorist suspects is inadequate.'"

"I and my former colleagues trusted the government to protect us in our jobs." Plamegate enters a new phase as Valerie Plame files a lawsuit against Cheney, Rove, and Libby for "leaking Plame's identity to 'discredit, punish and seek revenge against the plaintiffs.'" And for all the rabid right-wingers out there cheering on Paula Jones back in the day, it looks like the chickens have come home to roost: "Cheney and others might be compelled to turn over documents to the Wilsons, as well as give sworn depositions, as President Bill Clinton eventually had to do when Paula Jones sued him for sexual harrassment."

"'I gave blood,' Mr. Lewis said, his voice rising, as he stood alongside photographs of the clash. 'Some of my colleagues gave their very lives.'" Publicly embarrassed by their recent lapse into old-school "massive resistance," (and no doubt chagrined by their dismal poll numbers), the House GOP get their act together enough to pass the Voting Rights Act extension 390-33, after giving fringe right-wingers the chance to vote up or down on a few poison-pill amendments. (All failed, thanks to the Dems.) Still, several southern conservatives are not appeased: "One of the 33 holdouts was Rep. Patrick T. McHenry (R-N.C.). 'Some politicians in Washington wouldn't dare vote against this bill because they'd be lambasted by the media and liberal interest groups.'"

More grim news in the world-going-to-hell-in-a-handbasket department: So, obviously, there now seems to be a full-fledged firing war going on between Israel and Hezbollah, one which has already set back Lebanon years and threatens to bring in Syria and Iran as official combatants (a.k.a. Hezbollah's main backers) if it keeps up. For his part, other than having Bolton spike a UN resolution condemning Israel for "disproportionate use of force," Dubya has been basically AWOL in terms of world leadership -- in fact, he's been more effusive about a German pig of late than he has a conflagration that threatens nothing less than full-scale war across the Middle East. Where have you gone Bill Clinton, our nation turns it lowly eyes to you?

"If government is necessary, bad government, at least for conservatives, is inevitable, and conservatives have been exceptionally good at showing just how bad it can be. Hence the truth revealed by the Bush years: Bad government--indeed, bloated, inefficient, corrupt, and unfair government--is the only kind of conservative government there is. Conservatives cannot govern well for the same reason that vegetarians cannot prepare a world-class boeuf bourguignon: If you believe that what you are called upon to do is wrong, you are not likely to do it very well." Perhaps overplaying the Hartzian "America is liberal and liberal only" card just a bit, Boston College professor Alan Wolfe argues convincingly why conservatives can't govern, and explains how, despite the emerging right-wing consensus to the contrary, Dubya's many failures and Boss DeLay's corruption aren't a betrayal of conservative thinking, but a culmination of it. (By way of Blivet.)

"'It reads like a tally of terrorist targets that a child might have written: Old MacDonald's Petting Zoo, the Amish Country Popcorn factory, the Mule Day Parade, the Sweetwater Flea Market and an unspecified 'Beach at End of a Street.'" A report by the Department of Homeland Security's Inspector General finds that the government believes Indiana is the most target-rich state in the nation for terrorists: "The National Asset Database, as it is known, is so flawed, the inspector general found, that as of January, Indiana, with 8,591 potential terrorist targets, had 50 percent more listed sites than New York (5,687) and more than twice as many as California (3,212)" In addition, New York "lists only 2 percent of the nation's banking and finance sector assets, which ranks it between North Dakota and Missouri. Washington State lists nearly twice as many national monuments and icons as the District of Columbia. Montana, one of the least populous states in the nation, turned up with far more assets than big-population states including Massachusetts, North Carolina and New Jersey."

As war profits begin to dry up, the Army announces it is finally ending Halliburton's exclusive deal to provide logistical support to US troops, in favor of a multi-company approach that will hopefully spur some degree of price competition. Good news, sure, but this newly rational stance against Cheney's pet corporation is coming more than a little bit late in the game: "The decision on Halliburton comes as the U.S. contribution to Iraq's reconstruction begins to wane, reducing opportunities for U.S. companies after nearly four years of massive payouts to the private sector....No contractor has received more money as a result of the invasion of Iraq than Halliburton, whose former chief executive is Vice President Cheney."

With the bill's foremost opponent -- "Casino Jack" Abramoff -- now sidelined in disgrace, the House votes 317-93 to crack down on Internet gambling. "The biggest losers could be the estimated 23 million Americans who play poker over the Internet. 'This bill would needlessly make outlaws of the millions of adult Americans who enjoy online poker, and is the latest example of how our representatives in Congress are ignoring real issues facing our country,' warned the grass-roots Poker Players Alliance, in an alert to its more than 25,000 members."

Vince Vaughn as, um, former Treasury Secretary Paul O'Neill? Casting begins for Paul Haggis' film version of Against All Enemies, with Sean Penn purportedly up for the Richard Clarke role. Does that mean we'll get the rest of the Frat Pack playing Dubya admin officials? Ben Stiller as Ari Fleischer, Owen Wilson as Scooter Libby, and I think we can all guess where Will Ferrell would fit in...

"For nearly the entire time of his investigation, Fitzgerald knew -- independent of me -- the identity of the sources I used in my column of July 14, 2003...I have promised to discuss my role in the investigation when permitted by the prosecution, and I do so now." In a column published today, DoL Robert Novak finally comes clean -- sort of -- about his sources in Plamegate. In the piece, Novak names Karl Rove (big surprise) and CIA spokesman Bill Harlow as his two confirmers of Plame's identity, but still refuses to out the "senior Bush administration official" who served as his initial source (although he does say that Special Prosecutor Fitzgerald is well aware of that person's identity.)

"As it looks beyond the elections of 2006, a Republican Party known for ideological solidarity is on the cusp of a far more searching philosophical battle than are the Democrats, historically accustomed to bruising fights over the finer points of political theory. The coming Republican brawl reflects the fact that President Bush will leave office with no obvious heir, and Bushism as a political philosophy has yet to establish itself in the way that Reaganism did." E.J. Dionne previews the coming campaign for the soul of the GOP.

"Movies would gradually drift away from the ideals of 1970s Hollywood and more to the simplistic, self-deluding certainties and monochrome morality espoused by the new president. In that sense, Donner's Superman, and to come extent Dick Lester's sequel - the one in which General Zod and his minions traverse the universe apparently trapped inside the album-sleeve of Queen's Sheer Heart Attack - were prescient works of art." By way of LinkMachineGo, John Patterson of The Guardian argues that, despite his origins under Siegel & Shuster, Superman's appeal is inherently conservative. Hmm, ok. I'd be more impressed with his thesis if [a] he didn't immediately write off all comic-book adaptations and [b] he actually got Superman's name right.

"'It's difficult to think of many other times and many other presidencies when so many dangerous events were happening at once,' says Wendy Sherman, a State Department official under President Clinton. 'But there's so much going on in every global hot spot because the Bush Administration really opened up Pandora's box with little-to-no plans to support their actions.'" TIME Magazine composes a cover story obit for the Bush doctrine. Good riddance: "As it turns out, Iraq may prove to be not only the first but also the last laboratory for preventive war. Instead of deterring the rulers in Tehran and Pyongyang, the travails of the U.S. occupation may have emboldened those regimes in their quest to obtain nuclear weapons while constraining the U.S. military's ability to deter them."

In a happy day for the rule of law, and following the Supreme Court's recent decision in Hamdan, the Dubya White House and Pentagon reverse themselves and announce that the Geneva Conventions will now apply to Guantanamo detainees. Yes, good news indeed...Still, given that this administration can so rarely be taken at its word, vigilance will be required to see if the treatment of detainees actually changes at all: "Neither the White House nor the Pentagon provided any immediate details as to what would be done differently or how the decision would effect the controversial policies on interrogation, which have provoked an international outcry as well as considerable domestic controversy."

"I just the other day got, an internet was sent by my staff at 10 o'clock in the morning on Friday and I just got it yesterday. Why? Because it got tangled up with all these things going on the internet commercially." Via my sis-in-law Lotta, GOP Senator Ted "Bridge to Nowhere" Stevens (R-AK) seems more than slightly confused about the functioning of the Internets, to use Dubya's parlance.

"George Bush's luck hasn't run out just yet. North Korea's Fourth of July missile fizzle is the biggest diplomatic break that the president has caught all term -- and the biggest setback ('catastrophe' wouldn't be too strong a word) that his most-loathed nemesis, Kim Jong-il, has suffered in years." Slate's Fred Kaplan sees good news for the US in yesterday's North Korean rocket launch, as, in effect, "Kim Jong-il shook the dice and rolled craps." Still, "[w]hat happens next is worthy of nail-biting."

A belated happy 230th Independence Day to you and yours, and here's hoping the recent spate of scary news (North Korean missiles, incipent war in Gaza) didn't detract too much from the festivities in your parts. (Also, with regards to more joyous fourth of july rocket launches, congrats to the crew of Discovery STS-121 on a successful return to space yesterday.)

"The Reed story confirms what many devout Christians have argued since conservative social activists became a force in national politics in the 1970s: Engaging in worldly political maneuvering is ultimately debasing...Hearts are better changed one at a time in the churches than through elections or legislation." With Ralph Reed's recent shenanigans as a newspeg, Slate's John Dickerson surveys the continuing crackup of the evangelical GOP.

In a blow to the monarchial presidency that may also affect future rulings on warrantless wiretaps and torture policy, the Supreme Court strongly rebukes Dubya for his Gitmo tribunals, declaring they "were not authorized by any act of Congress and that their structure and procedures violate the Uniform Code of Military Justice (UCMJ) and the four Geneva Conventions signed in 1949." As Justice Stephen Breyer summed it up in a concurring opinion: "The Court's conclusion ultimately rests upon a single ground: Congress has not issued the Executive a 'blank check.'"

"Every redistricting is a partisan political exercise, but this is going to put it at a level we have never seen...That's the gift that the Supreme Court and Tom DeLay have given us." In other news, the Court votes 5-4 that DeLay's Texas redistricting plan needs to be tweaked -- namely, that one district needs to be redrawn to accommodate the Voting Rights Act -- but is otherwise legal and constitutional. "[W]ith six justices producing 123 pages of opinions, without any five of them able to agree on how to define an unconstitutional gerrymander, politicians of both parties said that the ruling leaves the door wide open to attempts to copy the DeLay strategy in other states."

Boo hiss. The Supreme Court decides 6-3 to strike down a Vermont campaign finance law, which was conceived in part as a challenge to Buckley v. Valeo. "The result appears to doom any future efforts to impose spending limits on state or federal campaigns, legal analysts said." And, in related news, Slate's Dahlia Lithwick and Walter Derringer discuss recent Supreme Court decisions, with special attention to the recent capital punishment case, Kansas vs Marsh.

"The real question here, as with so many other programs run by this Administration, is whether they are obeying the laws we have on the books to protect Americans from unnecessary invasions of their privacy." Dubya & co. opt for the Shoot the Messenger offense once again and try to eviscerate the NYT for exposing their monitoring of banking records since 9/11. Well, sure, it's entirely possible that this surveillance has been conducted legally and with proper respect to the civil liberties of ordinary citizens, but somehow I don't think this administration has earned the benefit of the doubt.

"In the fall of 2004, Rep. Robert W. Ney (R-Ohio) told Senate investigators that he was unfamiliar with a Texas Indian tribe represented by lobbyist Jack Abramoff. Days later, evidence emerged that the congressman had held numerous discussions with Abramoff and the Indians about getting Congress to reopen their shuttered casino." A new Senate report on tribal lobbying catches Abramoff flunky Bob Ney in a lie. Hmmm. Hopefully, that'll cut into his GOP standing O next time 'round.

Forced to capitulate somewhat on the estate tax in the House, the Republicans nevertheless illustrated anew their grotesque economic priorities in the Senate by voting down a raise in the minimum wage (Still at $5.15, it hasn't been raised in nine years.) "Just last week, the House rejected an effort to block a $3,300 annual increase in the base salary for a member of Congress. If the raise goes through, rank-and-file members will earn $168,500 -- a $31,600 increase since the last minimum-wage increase was enacted in 1997."

And the GOP veil of moderation didn't just slip on economic policy yesterday: Southern conservatives actually spiked a renewal of the 1965 Voting Rights Act in order to protest multilingual ballots, as well as the (well-earned) perception that the South still disenfranchises African-Americans. "Barbara Arnwine, executive director of the Lawyers' Committee for Civil Rights Under Law, said a bipartisan commission found evidence of recent voting rights violations in Georgia, Texas and several other states. 'These are not states that can say their hands are clean,' she said."

"The sound bites from politicians have always been that they're doing what's best for their districts, but we're starting to see a pattern that looks like they might be doing what's best for their pocketbooks." As part of their continuing series on earmarks, the WP examines how several GOP reps seem to have been profiteering from their pork projects, including Ken Calvert (R-CA), Gary Miller (R-CA), and Speaker Denny Hastert. To wit, "House Speaker J. Dennis Hastert (R-Ill.) made a $2 million profit last year on the sale of land 5 1/2 miles from a highway project that he helped to finance with targeted federal funds."

"If Lamont has been unconventional and smart, Lieberman so far has been conventional and dumb." Slate's John Dickinson reports in from the Connecticut Democratic primary, where Joe Lieberman is finding his pro-war Republicrat schtick isn't playing too well with the Dem grass roots and amid the blogosphere. "The challenger clearly has the momentum. He's doing so well that Lieberman has had discussions with political advisers about running in the general election as an independent."

Something in their eyes is makin' such a fool of he...In a "decision [that] was widely seen as a slap both at the Senate and the president," the House GOP punt on the proposed immigration reform bill, likely until after the 2006 elections. "House Republicans have long frowned upon the president's approach, passing instead a bill that would tighten border controls, clamp down on employers who hire undocumented workers and declare illegal immigrants and those who assist them to be felons. Their position solidified this month after a California special election to replace jailed former Rep. Randy "Duke" Cunningham (R). Republican candidate Brian Bilbray won the seat, beating back a tough Democratic challenge by running hard against the president's approach."

We've seen several guilty pleas and resignations -- Now, the ballad of Casino Jack has brought a conviction the hard way. Former White House procurement head and Abramoff flunky David Safavian is found guilty on 4 of 5 counts of lying and obstruction of justice. "Each count carries a maximum penalty of five years in prison and a $250,000 fine." So that takes care of Safavian...which GOP luminary will face trial next? Ralph Reed, perhaps? Or will it be Bob Ney?

"Talking about the national political outlook, Democratic pollster Mark Mellman said, 'A very heavy anti-Republican wave is building and it's going to hit against a very stable political structure. And what is unknown is which will be more important in November -- the size of the wave or the stability of the structure.'" Salon's Walter Shapiro offers up another Election 2006 preview, with a brief breakdown of the electoral math for the Dems and a focus on the quandary of moderate New England Republicans such as Lincoln Chafee and Chris Shays.

"'Everybody in the conservation community was surprised. This was not expected,' said Dr. Dennis Heinemann, senior scientist for the Ocean Conservancy." Don't look now, but Dubya may actually have done something laudable for once: namely, he has declared the Northwestern Hawaiian Islands a national monument, "securing strong and immediate ecological protections from the federal government" for the region. "'It's the single largest act of ocean conservation in history,' said Conrad Lautenbacher, NOAA administrator. 'It's a large milestone.'"

"He's making a political speech. He's sitting in his air-conditioned office on his big, fat backside saying, 'Stay the course.' That's not a plan." As justifiably disgruntled veteran John Murtha lights into bile-spouting chicken-hawk Karl Rove for another gutterball attack on Dems' patriotism, the Democrats step up to the bar and offer two substantive plans for phased withdrawal from Iraq, to be debated tomorrow. "Sens. John Kerry of Massachusetts and Russell Feingold of Wisconsin...pushed an amendment requiring that U.S. combat troops be out by July 2007...In a statement, Kerry and Feingold said a deadline 'gives Iraqis the best chance for stability and self-government' and 'allows us to begin refocusing on the true threats that face our country.'"

"'[I]t kept failing to solve any problems the Navy had,' Lowell said. 'It looked at first as if it might have some merit. But we found out quickly it didn't really solve the problems. And the company wasn't very responsive and wasn't very robust. . . . It was living entirely' on grants from Congress." The WP examines Project M, a Pentagon research project kept alive on congressional earmarks (to the tune of $37 million) well past its potential usefulness. "Once begun, promising but speculative programs like Project M are hard to kill, sustained by members of Congress who want to keep jobs in their districts, military officials who want to keep their options open and businesspeople who want to keep their companies afloat."

Update: In a related story, the Post finds Rumsfeld at the switch when it comes to the Pentagon's antiquated military procurement system. "'DOD is simply not positioned to deliver high-quality products in a timely and cost-effective fashion,' the comptroller general of the United States, David M. Walker, said in a little-noticed April 5 critique. The Pentagon, he said, has 'a long-standing track record of over-promising and un-delivering with virtual impunity.'"

Fitzmas is cancelled? Lawyer Robert Luskin announces that special prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald has told him he "does not anticipate seeking charges" against Karl Rove for his alleged role in Plamegate, partly because Rove apparently told the truth about his involvement to the FBI: "It's now known that Rove had discussed Plame's CIA employment with conservative columnist Robert Novak, who exposed her identity less than a week later...Rove's truth-telling to the FBI saved him from indictment."

For their part, Karl and the GOP are now strutting about in vindication mode and the Dubya White House is breathing a sigh of relief, but Salon's Walter Shapiro says don't fret, Dems: "Rove was not exactly doing hard time on a federal rock pile when Bush's popularity plunged to around 35 percent. It was Rove's handiwork to make Social Security privatization the signature issue of Bush's second term. The disastrous fate of that political gambit, combined with the Iraq war, turned Bush into a lame-duck president before his time. As a political strategist, Rove runs the gamut of issues from A (national security) to B (tax cuts). Six years into his tenure in the White House, Rove may be running on empty, just like the president whom he serves."

Sorry, Strom. West Virginia mainstay Robert Byrd is now the longest-serving Senator in American history, having been in office 17,327 days. (He first won his seat in 1958.) "Although he is frail and walks with two canes, Byrd still gives theatrical speeches on the importance of preserving the Senate's traditional powers and other issues dear to him. Some of his most emotional orations in the past three years have involved the Iraq war, which he opposed from the start and considers a historic misadventure."

A word of warning from today's archival research (re: photocopying binge): "The trouble with the Democrats in California is, first, they have no organization, and secondly, they wish, just as apparently as the Democrats in the East wish in this campaign, to be with exactly the same people with whom the Republicans have been sleeping for many years in the past. Apparently they don't realize that there is no place for them with those who have been directing our politics, but nevertheless they covet the unique and often disgraceful position we occupy." -- Hiram Johnson, in a letter to Harold Ickes, September 1, 1928.

"We can't win this militarily. It can only be won politically; it can only be won diplomatically and internationally...And you've got to listen to realism and what the public wants in the United States." Hopefully (but not likely) heeding John Murtha's words, Dubya's Iraq team retreats to Camp David for a strategy pow-wow. By the way, is it just me or does the "Interagency Team on Iraq" look suspiciously like the Brotherhood of Evil Mutants?

"I do think she is so into this that she sees it from the inside out...And I'm not sure she adequately grasps all the mistakes we have made." The NYT profiles Meghan O'Sullivan, the deputy national security adviser for Iraq and Afghanistan. "In Baghdad, American Embassy officials sometimes use the phrase, 'Let's not Meghan-ize the problem,' meaning, let's not try to impose order on the chaos of Iraq with one of her five-point presentations." But, to be fair to O'Sullivan, the fellow she's briefing every day hasn't shown a propensity for understandiing anything more complex. In fact, five points may be stretching the limits of the presidential curiosity.

"This is an act of desperation because they have no way to prove their innocence. A system without justice is a system without hope." Three detainees at Guantanamo commit suicide by hanging themselves in their cells, a tragedy to which the U.S. camp commander, Rear Adm. Harry Harris, responds with freakishly bizarre war-on-terror gibberish: "They have no regard for life, either ours or their own. I believe this was not an act of desperation, but an act of asymmetrical warfare waged against us." Say what? "'They are smart. They are creative, they are committed," he said." Um, they're dead, by their own hand, after being indefinitely detained for years. How about a little perspective here?

I was traveling yesterday during the big news: With the aid of cellphone surveillance and an Al Qaeda informer who suggested tracking "spiritual adviser" Sheikh Abd al-Rahman, the US military dropped two 500-lb bombs on Abu Musab al-Zarqawi, the leading Iraq insurgent (and Al Qaeda poster boy for the administration.) Undoubtedly good news for our efforts in Iraq (and, lord knows, Dubya needed some good news in the worst way, particularly in the wake of Haditha.) Still, this big kill obviously doesn't answer the big questions about Iraq's stability, or our continued involvement in the region: "'The immediate aftermath of this will probably be an upsurge of violence' as Sunni insurgents hurry to show that Zarqawi's killing has not broken the resistance, said Michael Clarke, an expert on terrorism at the International Policy Institute of King's College London. 'In the medium term, in the next month or two, it will probably help to downgrade sectarianism,' Clarke said by telephone. 'But the dynamic of sectarian violence is probably past the point of no return.'" And, of course, while this strike will hopefully be a stunning blow to Al Qaeda in Iraq, what of the original Al Qaeda in Afghanistan and around the world? We're nearing five years since 9/11, and Osama's still out there...

"The CIA based its decisions about using former SS men or unreconstructed Nazis solely on operational considerations...Hiring these tainted individuals brought little other than operational problems and moral confusion to our government's intelligence community." New documents unearthed by UVa historian Timothy Naftali make clear the Cold War-era CIA had no qualms about using former Nazi assets, and even neglected to flush out infamous war criminal Adolf Eichmann from his hiding place in Argentina after being tipped off about his location. For shame.

"The forms show that about 2,300 trips cost $5,000 or more. At least 500 cost $10,000 or more, 16 cost $25,000 or more, and the cost of one exceeded $30,000. There were $500-a-night hotel rooms, $25,000 corporate jet rides and other extravagant perks. Almost three-quarters of all trips were taken by aides, who often influence how their bosses vote, negotiate in committee and interact with other government officials. All told, the travelers were away from Washington for a minimum of 81,000 days -- a combined 222 years." A new report by the Center for Public Integrity scrutinizes the massive epidemic of congressional boondoggles, and, folks, it ain't pretty: "Offices that accepted more than $300,000 worth of trips include (in alphabetical order), Rep. Barton (R-TX), Rep. Roy Blunt (R-Miss) Rep. John Boehner (R-OH), Rep. Tom Delay (R-TX), and Speaker Hastert (R-IL)."

"'You have given up the store,' complained Sen. Richard Durbin, D-Ill., in denouncing the move. 'You're just walking away.'" Playing true to form, Arlen Specter folds yet again and reverses his earlier promise to make phone companies testify about their role in the NSA's recent data-mining. "The senator from Pennsylvania acknowledged his reversal was forced upon him by his Republican colleagues in a private session prior to the afternoon hearing."

"'He couldn't not do it,' explained Richard Viguerie, a prominent conservative activist who believes that gay marriage will not have much of an impact in 2006. 'He's got an election coming up and he is 30 percent in the polls. Nothing, Dr. Samuel Johnson told us, focuses the mind like an impending hanging.'" The conservative coalition collapsing in historic fashion around their ears, Dubya and Rove invoke an old standby and attempt to shore up the bigot vote in November by publicly coming out for the anti-gay marriage amendment. Unfortunately for them and the GOP, the same old freak-baiting trick -- however carefully worded -- doesn't seem likely to catch fire amid all the war and scandal, and the Senate, as well as GOP moderates, want none of it. Update: As expected, the Senate spike the amendment, with 2 Dems (Byrd, Ben Nelson) backing the bigots and 7 Republicans (Chafee, Collins, Gregg, McCain, Snowe, Specter, Sununu) joining the rest of the Dems in voting against the measure.

"[T]here is a distinction between what is legal and what is right. . . . What was DeLay doing for all that money? Even Ed Buckham was not paying DeLay and his family out of the goodness of his heart." The Washington Post reports that Boss DeLay and his lobbyist cronies were funneling even more money through his wife Christine, bringing the total the DeLay family received from Buckham to -- another -- half-million.

"'I was sorry for staying in the bathroom. I should have died like them,' recalls Safa, who now lives with a cousin. 'The Americans are murderers, criminals. They have no mercy.'" So much for hearts and minds. Obviously, the big news over the past week has been the nightmarish revelations of the atrocities at Haditha, which have moved the Senate to hearings (and some moderate Senators to consternation with Rumsfeld), re-fueled anti-American sentiment around the world, demonstrated once again the corrosive consequences of this administration's pathetic lack of planning and leadership in Iraq, and forced us all to wonder anew exactly what the hell is going on over there that's led to the deaths of approximately 40,000 Iraqi civilians. "'People were taking steroids, Valium, hooked on painkillers, drinking. They'd go on raids and patrols totally stoned.' Hicks, who volunteered at the age of 17, said, 'We're killing the wrong people all the time, and mostly by accident. One guy in my squadron ran over a family with his tank.'"

"David was kind of the brains of the operation." In the continuing trial of David Safavian, flipped Casino Jack flunky Neil Volz testifies to explain how the Abramoff operation courted -- and was courted by -- its "champions." "'When I was on Capitol Hill, I was given tickets to sporting events, concerts, free food, free meals,' he testified. 'In return, I gave preferential treatment to my lobbying buddies.'"

In related news, another member of Team Abramoff, former Christian Coalition head Ralph Reed, runs into more campaign trouble, this time involving his 1999 attack on proposed federal wage and worker laws in the Marianas Islands. "'The radical left, the Big Labor Union Bosses, and Bill Clinton want to pass a law preventing Chinese from coming to work on the Marianas Islands,' the mailer from Reed's firm said. The Chinese workers, it added, 'are exposed to the teachings of Jesus Christ' while on the islands, and many 'are converted to the Christian faith and return to China with Bibles in hand.' A year earlier, the Department of the Interior -- which oversees federal policy toward the U.S. territory -- presented a very different picture of life for Chinese workers on the islands. An Interior report found that Chinese women were subject to forced abortions and that women and children were subject to forced prostitution in the local sex-tourism industry."

"Lyndon Johnson was probably right to fret about the political consequences of civil rights. And even he, who knew more about the intricacies of Southern politics than any 20th-century president, could not have known how complicated the future would be." By way of Cliopatria, Jefferson Decker, a former managing editor of Boston Review and one of my friends and colleagues here at Columbia, takes a look at two new books on the rise of the Republican Party in the South: Kevin Kruse's White Flight: Atlanta and the Making of Modern Conservatism and Matthew Lassiter's The Silent Majority: Suburban Politics in the Sunbelt South.

"'There's been a quiet, silent revolution going on,' Carp said in an interview. 'If you're a conservative, you're going to say, "Thank God." If you're a liberal, you're going to put your hands over your head and say it's a nightmare.'" By way of my friend Mark, CQ's Kenneth Jost laments the Dubya judiciary.

"Saying, 'Bring it on'; kind of tough talk, you know, that sent the wrong signal to people. I learned some lessons about expressing myself maybe in a little more sophisticated manner, you know. 'Wanted, dead or alive'; that kind of talk. I think in certain parts of the world it was misinterpreted. And so I learned from that." In a joint press conference, Dubya and Tony Blair own up to some mistakes in Iraq, including Abu Ghraib -- "the biggest mistake", according to Dubya -- and de-Baathification, according to Blair. "The prime minister's examples appeared to be a direct rebuke of both the Pentagon's insistence that a detailed "nation-building" plan was unnecessary before the invasion and the push by key members of Bush's administration for broad de-Baathification."

"One Saturday night, Karyn recalled, 'we were supposed to go to a movie. He walked out in his scrubs.' Instead of taking Karyn to the theater, Frist brought her to the operating room. 'To see the human body alive -- without a heart in it.'" I'll admit to getting a ridiculous amount of run out of the Catkiller Frist meme over the past few years., and sometimes I've even wondered if it's a cheap shot. But then my sister Tessa e-mailed me this "heartwarming" puff piece about Senator Frist, and good God, the man is a certifiable freak show. "'In medical school, Frist cut out a dog's heart and held it in his palm. It continued to beat for a slippery minute. 'Watching it beat, the beauty of it,' Frist recalled. 'I decided I would spend my life centered around the heart.'" Um....what? This guy is our Senate Majority Leader? "During congressional breaks, Frist, 54, has been known to fly to Africa to operate." I shudder to think.

"'Enron is one of the great frauds in American business history,' said James Post, a professor of management at Boston University. 'But it is also a symbol of a particular era of management practice.'" In a strange confluence of ill omens for the current administration, a jury finds finds Enron heads Ken Lay and Jeff Skilling guilty on multiple counts of conspiracy, wire fraud, and securities fraud, with sentencing set for 9/11. For their part, Lay and Skilling immediately began talking appeal, but perhaps that'll be unnecessary. After all, surely "Kenny-Boy" can wrangle a pardon from his boy Dubya, particularly after he spent all that time crafting Dubya's energy policy.

"Unbeknownst to almost all of Washington and the financial world, Bush and every other President since Jimmy Carter have had the authority to exempt companies working on certain top-secret defense projects from portions of the 1934 Securities Exchange Act. Administration officials told BusinessWeek that they believe this is the first time a President has ever delegated the authority to someone outside the Oval Office." In related news (and as seen at Ed Rants), Dubya has apparently, on the sly, "bestowed on his intelligence czar, John Negroponte, broad authority, in the name of national security, to excuse publicly traded companies from their usual accounting and securities-disclosure obligations."

It's getting mighty strange in Washington of late, as GOP congressional leaders rise in outraged defense of pretty clearly corrupt (and stubborn) Democrat William Jefferson, claiming that an FBI search of his office violated the Speech and Debate clause of the Constitution. (Constitutional scholars seem to consider it a toss-up: "'It's really a matter of etiquette,' said Akhil Reed Amar, a professor of constitutional law at Yale University. 'I don't see any constitutional principle here.'") Funny how we can illegally spy on, indefinitely detain, and/or brutally torture people, and Congress barely bats an eye. But someone searches a congressional office and all Hell breaks loose. I wonder why...

Oh, that's why. In related news, ABC News is reporting that Casino Jack's #1 guy, GOP Speaker Dennis Hastert, is a target in the widening Abramoff investigations. And, what's more, ABC is sticking by its story even after a DOJ denial. "'You guys wrote the story very carefully but they are not reading it very carefully,' a senior official said."

No Jack Kennedy, but a statesman all the same. R.I.P. Lloyd Bentsen 1921-2006.

"'Having been blacklisted from working in television during the McCarthy era, I know the harm of government using private corporations to intrude into the lives of innocent Americans. When government uses the telephone companies to create massive databases of all our phone calls it has gone too far.'" Author, oral historian, and American institution Studs Terkel is one of six plaintiffs to file a lawsuit against AT&T for their complicity in the NSA master phone database.

As seen on Medley's Furl, Columbia PhD, Rutgers professor, and Slate "History Lesson" columnist David Greenberg reexamines the current divide between liberal internationalists and anti-imperialists among the Dems -- and seems to think more of Peter Beinart's recent "Cold War Liberal" argument and the protective camouflage DLC-types than I do -- in the Boston Globe.

"Mr. Safavian's lawyer, Barbara Van Gelder, said the government's case was based on 'guilt by association.' The Justice Department, she said, 'is trying to take Jack Abramoff's state of mind and say that everybody who dealt with him had that same state of mind.'" Casino Jack flunky and former top White House procurement official David Safavian prepares for his day in court, later this week. Speaking of guilt by association, "Ms. Van Gelder said in a telephone interview that the defense case had been complicated in recent days by the refusal of some defense witnesses to testify, citing their constitutional rights against self-incrimination." Update: It has begun.

"If it is not necessary to decide more to a case, then in my view it is necessary not to decide more to a case. Division should not be artificially suppressed, but the rule of law benefits from a broader agreement. The broader the agreement among the justices, the more likely it is a decision on the narrowest possible grounds." In a Georgetown commencement address, new Chief Justice John Roberts expounds on his view of the job after eight months. Well, we'll see when those next few decisions come in.

"'The president's run into a perfect political storm where the confluence of natural disasters from last fall, gasoline prices, staff changes, the continuing war in Iraq, all are giving conservatives a defensive fatigue,' said Kenneth Khachigian, a California GOP strategist who served in Ronald Reagan's White House. 'And let's put immigration in there, too. . . . There's just wave after wave washing over them at this point.'" In another of their semi-weekly reports on Dubya's lame duck quacking, the WP reports that the administration is looking to the November midterms as their last, best hope for a turnaround. But, unfortunately for them, more and more "safe" GOP districts are now in play as a result of the growing anti-Republican mood across the nation. "'In a nationalized election, the typical laws of gravity get thrown out the window...Under-funded candidates beat better-funded candidates, and entrenched incumbents lose to first-time challengers."

"The State party should cease to detain any person at Guantanamo Bay and close this detention facility, permit access by the detainees to judicial process or release them as soon as possible, ensuring that they are not returned to any State where they could face a real risk of being tortured, in order to comply with its obligations under the Convention." A day after an ugly prisoner uprising, the UN Committee Against Torture implores the US to close the prison at Gitmo. The report (PDF) also calls for the US "to expressly ban controversial interrogation techniques, and to halt the transfer of detainees to countries with a history of abuse and torture."

"Unlike so many of the hacks placed in charge of important government agencies during the past six years, Hayden possesses powerful qualifications for the job...By the admittedly dismal standards of the Bush administration, then, Hayden is an unusually good appointment." As former NSA head and probable CIA director-to-be Michael Hayden navigates the confirmation process (leaving all his Snoopgate-related answers for the secret session), he procures an endorsement from an unlikely source: Salon's Joe Conason: "[D]espite his military uniform, Hayden is likely to be more independent of the Pentagon and the White House than Goss was. It will help that, unlike Goss, he actually knows what he's doing." Hmmm. Update: Hayden is through committee on a 12-3 vote. (Feingold, for his part, voted no: "Our country needs a CIA Director who is committed to fighting terrorism aggressively without breaking the law or infringing on the rights of Americans."

"'I don't need to be lectured by you. You are no more a protector of the Constitution than am I,' Judiciary Committee Chairman Arlen Specter (R-Pa.) shouted after Sen. Russell Feingold (D-Wis.) declared his opposition to the amendment, his affinity for the Constitution and his intention to leave the meeting." Senators Feingold and Specter go toe-to-toe over the anti-gay-marriage amendment, which passed a private meeting of the Senate Judiciary Comittee on a 10-8 partisan vote yesterday. My goodness, Specter is a joke these days, isn't he? He says he's "totally opposed" to the amendment for the cameras and his moderate Pennsylvania constituency, but, as per the norm, he capitulated to his GOP masters -- who want this chum in the water for the fundies ASAP -- at the first available opportunity. Senator, you've already proven time and time again in this Congress that you're nowhere near the Constitutional protector as Sen. Feingold. But if you were, you'd recognize immediately that this vile and ridiculous piece of pandering to right-wing bigotry is the biggest embarrassment to our founding document since the Three-Fifths Compromise, and you would act accordingly.

"'We need lower gas prices and energy independence. Republican leaders have proposed the same old solution: drill, drill, drill. But drill, drill, drill is not going to deliver the results we need.'" The Dems pitch their energy plan, which would "revoke subsidies for the oil industry, increase subsidies for the renewable fuels industry and restore aid to low-income Americans struggling to pay energy bills...But the Democrats, who do not control crucial committees or the schedule that brings legislation to the floor, appear to have scant hope of passing their proposals." Update: The Post has more.

"Everybody knew that Judicial Watch had gotten the shaft. It just wasn't clear how. Well, here's how: the Secret Service doesn't have the records - the White House does. That's because the Secret Service transfers their more comprehensive visitor logs, called WAVES (Workers Appointments and Visitors Entry System) records, to the White House every 60 days." TPM's Paul Kiel explains why the Secret Service records of Abramoff came up basically blank. (Via Now This.)

Grinding into action, oh, at least 18 months late, the House Ethics Committee begins investigations into Bob Ney and Duke Cunningham, as well as Dem William Jefferson.

"What we have here has become a symbol for the right wing in American politics, a fence between America and Mexico." Following up on Dubya's speech Monday night (which, to be honest, I totally missed -- late night at the library), the Senate wrangles over immigration reform, voting, as per conservatives' wish list, "to build 370 miles of triple-layered fencing along the U.S.-Mexico border and to block access to a new guest-worker program by lawbreaking illegal immigrants, even those guilty of misdemeanors or ignoring a deportation order."

"'If you want to look at why the Republican Party is down in the dumps and why the president's numbers are down in the dumps,' Sen. Charles Schumer (D-N.Y.) said this afternoon, 'it's that the American people are beginning to understand that when they talk about tax cuts, they're not talking about helping middle-class people. They're talking about helping the wealthiest corporations and individuals among us.'" True, that. And, since Dubya signed the dividend tax giveaway extension into law this afternoon, the Dems now have another potent issue in their arsenal through November. "'Today's really a good day to be a millionaire, but it's a bad day if you want to be a millionaire,' Senate Democratic Leader Harry Reid (Nev.) said at a news conference minutes after Bush signed the bill."

"It's ironic that President Bush is now endorsing a diplomatic stance toward Iran so similar to the stance that President Clinton took toward North Korea. When he first took office, Bush so feverishly opposed the Agreed Framework with North Korea in large part because Clinton had produced it." Slate's Fred Kaplan wonders whether President Clinton's Agreed Framework with North Korea might help to contain Iran. The verdict? Possibly maybe, particularly given that we have no real alternatives.

As a follow-up to a story last month, three GOP political operatives are found guilty of violating communications law for clogging NH phone banks in 2002. (Among them is James Tobin, the guy who called the White House 22 times during the misdeed, and who will now serve 10 months for his role in the scheme.) "[T]he case has drawn complaints even from Republicans. By covering Tobin's legal fees, 'the GOP appears to sanction and institutionalize corruption within the party,' Craig Shirley, of Shirley & Banister Public Affairs, recently wrote in a commentary."

"'There is a growing feeling among conservatives that the only way to cure the problem is for Republicans to lose the Congressional elections this fall,' said Richard Viguerie, a conservative direct-mail pioneer." More trouble for the GOP: The Christian Right looks ready to desert the party in 2006 unless "Congress does more to oppose same-sex marriage, obscenity and abortion." "'I can't tell you how much anger there is at the Republican leadership,' Mr. Viguerie said. 'I have never seen anything like it.'" And November's perfect storm blows stronger...

Even more Snoopgate fallout: As last week's bombshell story in USA Today makes the covers of the major newsweekies, two ABC reporters say their calls to sources are being monitored. "A senior federal law enforcement official tells ABC News the government is tracking the phone numbers we call in an effort to root out confidential sources. 'It's time for you to get some new cell phones, quick,' the source told us in an in-person conversation."

How deep runs the culture of corruption among the GOP? While House Republicans have been sniping at their Senate colleagues of late, most of them have nothing but praise for "dead man walking" Bob Ney. When Ney -- despite having four big-name witnesses arrayed against him -- recently vowed not to resign his seat, "an overwhelming majority of the members present, including House Speaker Dennis Hastert (R-Ill.), gave Ney a standing ovation." And, in related news, The Hill finds that the anti-earmark provision of the recent phantom reform bill is riddled with loopholes big enough to drive a pork-truck through.

The myriad inquiries into Republican corruption, particularly those involving the network of convicted felon Randy "Duke" Cunningham, start circling a few more names this week. FBI agents searched the home and office of Dusty Foggo, the former #3 man at CIA (handpicked by Porter Goss) who's been rumored to be a major reason for Goss' downfall, this morning. Similarly, and apparently as another tangent to the Cunningham case, the Justice Department has begun investigating House Appropriations Chairman Jerry Lewis (R-CA), and particularly his relationship to a lobbying firm specializing in earmarking. Is Duke the new Casino Jack?

"'Republicans 'are in such desperate shape,' he said, 'We don't want to give them anything to grab on to.'" A spokesman for Nancy Pelosi says impeachment is currently off the table in the planning for a Democratic House.

Did White House officials steal a file on John Roberts' affirmative action record from the National Archives last year? "This investigation is unresolved and the file is still missing," says a new report by the Archives Inspector General, which Tim Noah dissects over at Slate. (Hmmm...was it reclassified, perhaps?) Still, according to the report, a White House staffer was the last person known to have the file, and "[t]he report's findings contradicted the assertions of Archives officials, who said last August that an attendant had been in the room at all times and that the lawyers had been separated from their bags." The mystery deepens...

"In defending the previously disclosed program, Bush insisted that the NSA was focused exclusively on international calls. 'In other words,' Bush explained, 'one end of the communication must be outside the United States.' As a result, domestic call records -- those of calls that originate and terminate within U.S. borders -- were believed to be private. Sources, however, say that is not the case." USA Today unleashes a firestorm in Washington today after the paper uncovers a NSA plan to "create a database of every call ever made." (Q&A) "With access to records of billions of domestic calls, the NSA has gained a secret window into the communications habits of millions of Americans. Customers' names, street addresses and other personal information are not being handed over as part of NSA's domestic program, the sources said. But the phone numbers the NSA collects can easily be cross-checked with other databases to obtain that information."

Dubya's response? As expected, we're only going after the bad people. Nevertheless, Dems and even moderate Republicans in Congress are livid over these new revelations, to the point of possibly spiking the Hayden bid for CIA chief. For his part, Senate Judiciary Committee chair Arlen Specter says he'll chair hearings on the matter, but, really, what else is new? For all his tough talk in the past, so far he's remained a paper tiger when it comes to curbing Dubya's imperial pretensions. Still, one would think this stunning leak might breathe new life into Sen. Feingold's censure resolution, as well as strong congressional legislation that might finally help to redress this administration's startling contempt for civil liberties. After all abuse and torture, secret and/or illegal gulags, indefinite detentions without cause or charges, extraordinary rendition, and warrantless wiretaps are all one thing...but now you're hitting most Americans where they live. Update: Or not -- A new poll shows Americans surprisingly sanguine about NSA data-mining. Update 2: Or are they?

"This administration thinks they can just violate any law they want, and they've created a culture of fear to try to get away with that. It's up to us to stand up to them." In very related news, the Justice Department closes its investigation into the NSA warrantless wiretaps because the NSA denied them the necessary security clearances. "We have been unable to make any meaningful progress in our investigation because OPR has been denied security clearances for access to information about the NSA program...Without these clearances, we cannot investigate this matter and therefore have closed our investigation."

"'The point is the preponderance of these revenues will go to upper-income people, people who make a million dollars or more,' Sen. Olympia J. Snowe (R-Maine) said yesterday. 'It's a question of priorities.'" Nevertheless, as expected, House and Senate GOP leaders strike a deal to extend Dubya's tax breaks for the wealthy to 2010, with the House passing their end 244-185 today. Well, this tax gambit may help the GOP with their base among the "haves and have-mores," I guess, but I really don't see how this will stop the GOP's 14-point freefall across the rest of the country. Update: The Senate follows suit, 54-44.

"In short, [the letter] provides a perfect opportunity for Bush to do what he should have been doing for the last few years -- to lay out what America stands for, what we have in common with Muslim nations, and how our differences can be tolerated or settled without conflict." Also in Slate, Fred Kaplan offers some sage advice on how to respond to Admadinejad's recent letter. "Bush and Ahmadinejad -- two of the world's most stubborn, self-righteous leaders. It's at once hopeful and pathetic that the next step in their confrontation -- whether it intensifies or slackens -- could be determined by whether Bush answers or brushes off a goofy letter."

"The most important aspect of the president's comment isn't just that he acknowledged, at least tacitly, that Gitmo is a disaster and must be closed; or even that he acknowledged that detainees have a basic right to some adjudicatory process. These two concessions are momentous, but they pale next to his admission that he is in any way bound by the decision of the high court -- that the court will have the last word on anything to do with the war on terror." Slate's Dahlia Lithwick dissects some surprising recent comments by Dubya on Guantanamo Bay, and ponders the future of the Gitmo Gulag. "[Recent] silent mass releases do suggest that Donald Rumsfeld's famous 2002 claim, that the then-760 prisoners at Guantanamo were 'the worst of the worst,' was something of an overstatement. They were probably closer to 'the best of the worst,' or as I've suggested, 'the least lucky of the middling.' The actual worst of the worst have been relegated to a whole other secret prison system that actually makes Guantanamo look rather attractive."

"I would like to see Jeb run at some point in time, but I have no idea if that's his intention or not." Like his father before him, Dubya tries to fire up the Jeb train. Yeah, right. As if this administration hasn't made us look enough like a banana republic already, why don't we add the president's brother into the mix? Besides, Dubya's poll numbers being what they are, I think it'll be some time before a majority of the electorate decides to back another Bush family scion. In the immortal words of our current prez: "Fool me once, shame on -- shame on you. Fool me' -- you can't get fooled again."

Not a smoking gun just yet...The Secret Service logs obtained by Judicial Watch reveal only two short White House trips taken by Casino Jack, one in 2001 and one in 2004. "The White House said last week that the Secret Service's logs documenting Abramoff's entries into the executive mansion complex might not reveal all meetings. 'I don't know exactly what they'll be providing, but they only have certain records and so I just wouldn't view it as a complete historical record,' spokesman Scott McClellan said." Ok, then, I won't.

"Officers are told to look for individuals who wear bulky clothing in the summer, pace back and forth, fidget with something beneath their clothing, fail to make eye contact, wear too much cologne, or have strange hair coloring. The indicators are also contradictory and inconsistent. Officers are told, for example, to look for individuals who are nervous and individuals who are calm, individuals who are overtly Muslim (those who mumble as if praying or who wear scented water for "ritual purification") and individuals who seem to hide their Muslim identity so as to blend in. In sum, the guidelines are meaningless to officers who only have a few seconds to decide whether an individual constitutes a real threat before deploying lethal force." A new report by NYU's Center for Human Rights and Global Justice finds suspect racial profiling at work in police anti-terror initiatives that can -- and does -- lead to fatal error. "The identification of suspects cannot be based on confusing indicators, or on the assumption that all Muslims, or those perceived to be Muslim, are potentially terrorists...If people can be shot on the basis of these assumptions, mistakes are bound to be made."

"Many of us are disturbed by the calls for investigations or even impeachment as the defining vision for our party for what we would do if we get back into office." Concerned about the desire for possible investigations of Dubya (as well as calls for withdrawal from Iraq) among the party's grassroots and left-wing, the Democratic hawks of the DLC make a case for running on national security issues. I dunno..at first glance, it sounds like the same-old stale brand of warmed-over protective camouflage that the DLC's been pushing on us for years...first you'd have to convince me that calling Dubya out for his multiple civil liberties violations and breaches of the public trust, as well as putting the brakes on our badly mismanaged foray into Iraq, aren't national security issues.

"'We have had other hot -- I hate to use that word -- videos that generated a lot of buzz,' said Rob Kennedy, executive vice president of C-Span, which was founded in 1979. 'But this is the first time it has occurred since the advent of the video clipping sites.'" Kicking Youtube and iFilm aside, C-Span decides it wants to make some money on the Colbert Correspondents' Dinner.

Dubya officially nominates Michael Hayden to replace Porter Goss at CIA, despite bipartisan criticism of Hayden's military background. "U.S. Rep. Pete Hoekstra, chairman of the House Intelligence Committee, said, 'This appointment...signals that we are not that concerned about having an independent intelligence community independent of the Department of Defense.'" Nevertheless, some top Dems, including the House Intelligence Committee's Jane Harman and Sen. Dianne Feinstein, have indicated that they're both ok with the pick and will, likely, avoid the NSA wiretaps issue like the plague during the hearings.

As the Bunk would say, this is great po-lice work. Prosecutors flip another Casino-Jack-implicated GOP congressional aide in Neil Volz, former chief of staff to Delay/Abramoff flunky Bob Ney, meaning that -- despite handily winning his Ohio primary last week -- the "Mayor of Capitol Hill" is as good as gone. "Volz...is the fifth cooperating witness, including Abramoff, who has pleaded guilty and agreed to provide evidence against Ney in the ongoing criminal investigation."

All the t's have been crossed and Novaks have been questioned...Now, according to the Post's Jim Vanderhei, Plamegate prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald's extended investigation of Karl Rove is nearing resolution. "Rove expects to learn as soon as this month if he will be indicted -- or publicly cleared of wrongdoing -- for making false statements in the CIA leak case, according to sources close to the presidential adviser. An indictment would be devastating to a White House already battered by low poll numbers, a staff shake-up and a stalled agenda."

"I'm just not going to let this case turn into a judicial resolution of the legitimacy of the war or the accuracy of the president's State of the Union address." The verdict isn't it yet -- still, it seems Plamegate Judge Reggie Walton is not amused by the Libby defense's recent attempts at graymail.

"'This administration may be over,' Lance Tarrance, a chief architect of the Republicans' 1960s and '70s Southern strategy, told a gathering of journalists and political wonks last week. 'By and large, if you want to be tough about it, the relevancy of this administration on policy may be over.'" Are we at the turn of the tide? As even committed conservatives and right-leaning observers start sticking a fork in the Dubya administration, newly confident Dems begin to prepare for a return of the House. Foremost in their plans is "a legislative blitz during their first week in power that would raise the minimum wage, roll back parts of the Republican prescription drug law, implement homeland security measures and reinstate lapsed budget deficit controls...a Democratic House would [also] launch a series of investigations of the Bush administration, beginning with the White House's first-term energy task force and probably including the use of intelligence in the run-up to the invasion of Iraq."

As y'all have probably heard by now, controversial CIA chief Porter Goss was forced to quit his post yesterday, no doubt to much rejoicing at Langley. "As the normally mild-mannered Ivo Daalder, a former staff member at the National Security Council under Bill Clinton, put it, 'Porter Goss was such an absolute disaster for the agency and our national security that his departure comes not a day too soon.'" Goss chalked up his abrupt dismissal as "just one of those mysteries," but other reports suggest the real reason -- bribes, poker, and prostitutes -- is less mysterious than it is just plain unsavory. "'It's all about the Duke Cunningham scandal,' a senior law enforcement official told the Daily News in reference to Goss' resignation." As for his replacement, Dubya has tapped former NSA chief Michael Hayden, which may mean the warrantless wiretaps may soon get another hearing in the Senate.

"'It clearly shows some members live in a dream world of high-class living and fictional accounting. DeLay's office was part of the public deception. It makes you wonder if there are more filings as fictional as this one is turning out to be,' said Kent Cooper, the former chief of public disclosure for the Federal Election Commission." Prosecutors disclose an e-mail trail indicating that Boss DeLay's office knowingly filed false reports about Abramoff-paid boondoggles and were "concerned 'if someone starts asking questions.'"

Looking for political cover in the wake of Dubaigate, the House passes a $7.4 billion port security bill 421-2, with money included for "new port security inspectors, nuclear weapons screening and the development of an automated system to pinpoint high-risk cargo. The 421 to 2 vote came just hours after the White House expressed strong misgivings over the cost and feasibility of the bill."

Defying Dubya's talk of a veto -- in keeping with the Operation Offset line of thinking, he wants less spending to help mitigate his ridiculous tax giveaways -- and Dennis Hastert's declaration that it was "dead on arrival" in the House, the Senate passes an $109 billion emergency spending bill 77-21. "The Senate bill would provide $70.9 billion to the military to pay for personnel, operation and maintenance, and procurement costs, along with diplomatic efforts such as democracy-building programs. The Senate more than doubled a $58 million request for peacekeeping assistance in Sudan, providing $173 million. Bush requested $19.8 billion in hurricane-related assistance, and the Senate responded with $28.9 billion -- adding projects large and small."

"My guess is that something will pass this year. In the end, no one wants to be against decency in an election year." In order to increase his standing among social conservatives and protect his right flank for those all-important 2008 primaries, Catkiller Frist has started angling for a strict broadcasting indecency bill. The bill "would increase indecency fines on broadcasters and threaten to take away their licenses after three violations."

"Limbaugh likens the agreement to a verdict of 'not guilty.' That isn't remotely true. Newsweek came closer to the mark when it labeled the outcome 'a slap on the wrist.'" Slate's Tim Noah breaks down the pertinent documents in the Limbaugh case.

"Their bill...is an insult to voters who the GOP apparently believes are dumb enough to be snookered by this feint. The procedures under which it is to be debated, allowing only meaningless amendments to be considered, are an insult also -- to the democratic process." Neverthless, despite the Post's pleading yesterday, the House makes a bet that Abramoff won't stick and passes the GOP's phantom reform bill 217-213. "Joan Claybrook, president of the liberal group Public Citizen, said the measure is 'a fraud on the American public.'" A fraud...and hopefully a fatal error for the GOP majority, should Casino Jack's travails remain front-page fodder from now through November.

"Colbert's deadly performance did more than reveal, with devastating clarity, how Bush's well-oiled myth machine works. It exposed the mainstream press' pathetic collusion with an administration that has treated it -- and the truth -- with contempt from the moment it took office. Intimidated, coddled, fearful of violating propriety, the press corps that for years dutifully repeated Bush talking points was stunned and horrified when someone dared to reveal that the media emperor had no clothes." Salon's Joan Walsh adds her voice to the many of us who feel compelled to say: Thank You, Stephen Colbert! (2nd link via Cliopatria/Trepanatus.)

"Battered by accusations of a liberal bias and determined to prove their conservative critics wrong, the press during the run-up to the war -- timid, deferential, unsure, cautious, and often intentionally unthinking -- came as close as possible to abdicating its reason for existing in the first place, which is to accurately inform citizens, particularly during times of great national interest." In very related news (as Dan Froomkin pointed out), Salon publishes an extended excerpt from Eric Boehlert's Lapdogs: How the Press Rolled Over For Bush.

"'Our estimates imply that Fox News convinced 3 to 8 percent of its audience to shift its voting behavior towards the Republican Party, a sizable media persuasion effect,' said Stefano DellaVigna of the University of California at Berkeley and Ethan Kaplan of Stockholm University." Also in the same vein, the Post's Richard Morin summarizes a new academic study on the "Fox News Effect", which, according to its authors, may have "produced more than 10,000 additional votes for Bush" in Florida in 2000.

"'You talk about completely detached from reality, that's this place,' said Sen. Kent Conrad (N.D.), the ranking Democrat on the Senate Budget Committee." Throwing caution to the wind despite their imploding poll numbers and the ballooning deficit, the White House and congressional Republicans craft a deal to extend Dubya's dividend and capital gains tax breaks for the wealthy. Still, the "compromise measure falls well short of making Bush's first-term tax cuts permanent. Instead, all of the major tax cuts passed in 2001 and 2003 would expire at the end of 2010."

Update: The WP dissects the GOP's tax gamesmanship: "If the deal wins congressional approval, every major tax cut passed in Bush's first term will be set to expire on the same day five years from now. [Jan. 1, 2011.] At that moment, politicians would face a choice: Either allow taxes to rise suddenly and sharply on everyone who pays income taxes, is married, has children, holds stocks and bonds, or expects a large inheritance, or impose mounting budget deficits on the government far into the future, according to projections by the nonpartisan Congressional Budget Office."

"The American people deserve the truth concerning admitted felon Jack Abramoff's visits and meetings with Bush administration officials in the White House" Once a thorn in the side of the Clinton White House, Judicial Watch shows once again that it's an equal opportunity executive irritant by forcing the Secret Service to turn over records of Casino Jack's visits to the White House. "The visitor logs are to be delivered to Judicial Watch by May 10."

"'The president's military advisers felt that the size of the force was adequate; they may still feel that years later. Some of us don't. I don't,' Powell said. 'In my perspective, I would have preferred more troops, but you know, this conflict is not over.'" In a slap at Rumsfeld, Cheney, and his other one-time nemeses in the Dubya White House, former Secretary of State Colin Powell airs some of his grievances with the build-up to war in Iraq. "'At the time, the president was listening to those who were supposed to be providing him with military advice,' Powell said. 'They were anticipating a different kind of immediate aftermath of the fall of Baghdad; it turned out to be not exactly as they had anticipated.'"

"In all life one should comfort the afflicted, but verily, also, one should afflict the comfortable, and especially when they are comfortably, contentedly, even happily wrong." R.I.P. John Kenneth Galbraith (1908-2006), a giant of 20th century economics and politics, and the wry conscience of an affluent society.

"[F]or all their practical failures, conservatives have at least told a coherent political story, with deep historical roots, about what keeps America safe and what makes it great. Liberals, by contrast, have offered adjectives drawn from focus groups and policy proposals linked by no larger theme." In keeping with the intellectual territory he staked out after the 2004 election, former TNR editor Peter Beinart makes the case for a return to Cold War liberalism in a NYT excerpt of his new book, The Good Fight (also discussed in the recent Atlantic Monthly.)

I couldn't agree more with Beinart's paragraph above, but I don't think the lack of a sufficiently robust national security emphasis is really the defining element missing among today's Dems. Are there really Democrats out there who don't agree with Beinart's three main assessments here, that (a) America faces a real enemy in Al Qaeda and other fundamentalist terror networks, (b) our foreign policy should be less hubristic and more attuned to both local contingency and international institutions, and (c) our national sense of self should emphasize our own fallibility at times? Beinart would probably target the MoveOn crowd, but as Eric Alterman noted in the last round of this back-and-forth, that's just a DLC straw man, roughly akin to Joe Klein's cadre of phantom lefty consultants in the last update.

Plus, I think there are two significant historical problems with the Cold War liberalism Beinart unreservedly espouses, which he fails to discuss here. For one, Cold War liberals could very easily be seen as best inattentive to and -- at worst complicit in -- the excesses of McCarthyism. If the enemy abroad becomes the central defining focus of your national narrative, then the enemy within is undoubtedly going to start eating at you as well. For another, (and as John Gaddis, among others, has pointed out) -- for all its early sense of diplomatic complexity and limited, realistic goals -- the Cold War liberalism Beinart promotes all too readily (d)evolved into the guiding rationale for wildly wrongheaded foreign policy interventions, most notably in Vietnam. (You'd think Beinart would pay more lip service to this issue, particularly as he himself made much the same mistake in shilling for the Iraq war in The New Republic.)

In short, I agree with Beinart's assessment that the Dems lack a sense of usable past, but the problems with his argument can be encapsulated by his ideal of a what a good, hawkish, Cold War liberal Democrat should look like these days: That, if Beinart's tenure at TNR is any indication, would be Joe Lieberman, a politician who's not only been flagrantly cheerleading for the administration during the current war, but has exhibited little interest in today's wartime civil liberties issues. Simply put, Joe Lieberman would hardly be my choice of template for the Democratic party. (Who would? That's easy: Russ Feingold, who's displayed a strong commitment to preserving both national security and civil liberties at home, while arguing for a more level-headed, less-in-your-face American foreign policy.)

"I believe that the government that governs best is a government that governs least, and by these standards we have set up a fabulous government in Iraq." In a must-watch (or at least must-read) event, the inimitable Stephen Colbert took it to Dubya hard at last night's White House Correspondent's dinner, and Bush, according to press reports, was not amused. Great stuff throughout:

* "I believe in pulling yourself up by your own bootstraps. I believe it is possible -- I saw this guy do it once in Cirque du Soleil. It was magical. And though I am a committed Christian, I believe that everyone has the right to their own religion, be it Hindu, Jewish or Muslim. I believe our infinite paths to accepting Jesus Christ as your personal savior."

* "Now, I know there's some polls out there saying this man has a 32% approval rating. But guys like us, we don't pay attention to the polls. We know that polls are just a collection of statistics that reflect what people are thinking in 'reality.' And reality has a well-known liberal bias...Sir pay no attention to the people who say the glass is half empty, because 32% means it's 2/3 empty. There's still some liquid in that glass is my point, but I wouldn't drink it. The last third is usually backwash."

* "I stand by this man. I stand by this man because he stands for things. Not only for things, he stands on things. Things like aircraft carriers and rubble and recently flooded city squares. And that sends a strong message, that no matter what happens to America, she will always rebound with the most powerfully staged photo ops in the world."

* "I'm sorry, but this reading initiative. I've never been a fan of books. I don't trust them. They're all fact, no heart. I mean, they're elitist telling us what is or isn't true, what did or didn't happen. What's Britannica to tell me the Panama Canal was built in 1914. If I want to say it was built in 1941, that's my right as an American. I'm with the president, let history decide what did or did not happen. The greatest thing about this man is he's steady. You know where he stands. He believes the same thing Wednesday, that he believed on Monday, no matter what happened Tuesday."

* "But the rest of you, what are you thinking, reporting on N.S.A. wiretapping or secret prisons in Eastern Europe? Those things are secret for a very important reason, they're superdepressing. And if that's your goal, well, misery accomplished. Over the last five years you people were so good over tax cuts, W.M.D. intelligence, the effect of global warming. We Americans didn't want to know, and you had the courtesy not to try to find out. Those were good times, as far as we knew."

* "But, listen, let's review the rules. Here's how it works. The President makes decisions, he's the decider. The Press Secretary announces those decisions, and you people of the press type those decisions down. Make, announce, type. Put them through a spell check and go home. Get to know your family again. Make love to your wife. Write that novel you got kicking around in your head. You know, the one about the intrepid Washington reporter with the courage to stand up to the administration. You know, fiction."

* "I mean, nothing satisfies you. Everybody asks for personnel changes. So the White House has personnel changes. Then you write they're just rearranging the deck chairs on the Titanic. First of all, that is a terrible metaphor. This administration is not sinking. This administration is soaring. If anything, they are rearranging the deck chairs on the Hindenburg."

* "See who we've got here tonight. General Mowsly, Air Force Chief of Staff. General Peter Pace. They still support Rumsfeld. You guys aren't retired yet, right? Right, they still support Rumsfeld."

* "Jesse Jackson is here. I had him on the show. Very interesting and challenging interview. You can ask him anything, but he's going to say what he wants at the pace that he wants. It's like boxing a glacier. Enjoy that metaphor, because your grandchildren will have no idea what a glacier is." (Note: YouTube has smaller clips, too.)

Those many Republicans banking on public inattention to the sordid tales of GOP corruption may not want to pick up today's Post anytime soon -- Sex has entered the equation. "Federal authorities are investigating allegations that a California defense contractor arranged for a Washington area limousine company to provide prostitutes to convicted former congressman Randy 'Duke' Cunningham (R-Calif.) and possibly other lawmakers, sources familiar with the probe said yesterday." Uh, oh...DC just loves a good sex scandal, right, guys? Update: The limousine firm in question denies the allegations.

In related news, federal authorities expand their probe into Casino Jack flunky and former House GOP higher-up Bob Ney. "Court papers filed in recent months show that prosecutors have lined up at least four cooperating witnesses against the Ohio congressman: Abramoff, former congressional aides Michael Scanlon and Tony C. Rudy, and businessman Adam Kidan. All have pleaded guilty to various conspiracy, fraud or public corruption charges."

That font of compassion for drug addicts, Rush Limbaugh, cuts a deal with prosecutors, copping to a lesser charge of prescription fraud that will be stricken from his record should he stay in rehab for 18 months. "A spokesman for the state's attorney's office, Mike Edmondson, said the agreement dropping the charge is 'standard for first-time offenders who admit their addiction.'" Well it wouldn't be if Rush had anything to say about it...

"Including Hillary Clinton's maiden name increased her approval rating among Republicans polled to 23 percent. "Hillary Clinton" had a 16 percent approval rating among people who identified themselves as Republican." What's in a name? For Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, seven points.

"Up until now, you have probably thought that when you saw Democrats dumping their traditional principles in order to run pallid, market-tested campaigns appealing to swing voters with rhetoric borrowed from the G.O.P., they were doing so because they had been listening to consultants, pollsters, focus groups and so on. Well -- according to Mr. Klein, you have it precisely backwards. In Joe's world, the consultants and the pollsters and even the money are all on the other side, forever driving the cowardly politicians to the partisan extremes. Consultants on the Democratic side seem always to turn out to be liberals in Mr. Klein's telling, and liberalism itself is usually the sad result of a candidate listening to consultants." By way of Ted at The Late Adopter, Thomas Frank of What's the Matter with Kansas? eviscerates Joe Klein's new book Politics Lost. I liked the TIME excerpt decently enough, but Frank pretty much takes the book apart here.

"'Institutionally, the presidency is walking all over Congress at the moment.' Specter, R-Pennsylvania, told the panel. 'If we are to maintain our institutional prerogative, that may be the only way we can do it.'" Fed up with White House stonewalling regarding the illegal NSA wiretaps (and likely emboldened by Dubya's grotesquely bad poll numbers), Arlen Specter threatens to cut off the program's funding.

After a deal is reached with irate Republicans on the House Appropriations committee (who were piqued by a rather tame anti-earmarking measure that has since been broadened beyond appropriations bills), the House GOP pass a cosmetic "lobbying reform" bill 216-207 that emphasizes disclosure of donations, gifts, and earmarks rather than outright bans. "A solid phalanx of Democrats and 12 Republicans, including House Judiciary Committee Chairman F. James Sensenbrenner Jr. (Wis.) and Republicans pushing for stronger measures, cast votes against the legislation...Rep. Christopher Shays (Conn.) said the bill was less than a window dressing and should be rejected. Later, to reporters, he called the bill 'pathetic.' On the House floor, he added: 'We're losing our moral authority to lead this place.'"

"The eight-month, bipartisan investigation's central finding is that FEMA should be replaced by a new National Preparedness and Response Authority. Its head would report to the secretary of Homeland Security but serve as the president's top adviser for national emergency matters, akin to the military role played by the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff." As hurricane season nears, the future of FEMA becomes a political football between the Senate (who favors abolishing it) and the White House (who doesn't.) The Senate report also "singled out President Bush and the White House as appearing indifferent to the devastation until two days after the storm hit."

"In short, more than one of every three documents removed from the open shelves and barred to researchers should not have been tampered with." A recently-completed audit into the formerly secret Archives reclassification program finds that many more files were reclassified -- and reclassified wrongly -- than previously suggested. "In February, the Archives estimated that about 9,500 records totaling more than 55,000 pages had been withdrawn and reclassified since 1999. The new audit shows the real haul was much larger -- at least 25,515 records were removed by five different agencies, including the CIA, Air Force, Department of Energy, the Federal Emergency Management Agency and the Archives."

"Nobody's happy with gasoline prices being where they are." As GOP congressional leaders experience buyer's remorse over the oil industry tax breaks they passed last year, Jacob Weisberg (who, it should be noted, could take the Metro to work if so desired) argues the virtues of more expensive gasoline: "To be sure, oil at $70 a barrel causes hardships for working people and delights some of the world's worst dictators. But cheap gasoline imposes its own costs on society: greenhouse gas emissions, air pollution and its attendant health risks, traffic congestion, and accidents...Sustained high prices will bring about behavioral and political changes: energy conservation, public transportation, less exurban sprawl, and eventually the economic viability of alternative fuel sources such as biomass, fuel cells, wind, and solar power, which may one day undermine the power of the oil oligarchs. Are politicians too stupid to understand this, or just smart enough not to say it aloud?"

"'The current debate over our national security by a series of retired generals -- some critical, some supportive of the present leadership in the Department of Defense -- is an important exercise of the right to freedom of speech,' he said. 'Another valued tenet is the right of the president to select the members of his own Cabinet.'" Senate Armed Service Committee chairman John Warner (R-VA) makes noise about holding Senate hearings on Rumsfeld. I'll believe it when I see it.

Fifth time's the charm? Karl Rove returns once more to testify before Patrick Fitzgerald's Plamegate grand jury, mainly to discuss his interactions with TIME reporter Viveca Novak. Will this fifth round of testimony of Dubya's consigliere result in an indictment (and finally make Karl a household name?) Hopefully, we'll know sooner rather than later. Update: Make that 2-3 weeks.

Feeling the heat from his nose-diving poll numbers (and spurred by GOP congressional leaders' desperate pleas for political cover), Dubya announces a probe into high oil prices (and sings the praises of ethanol like it was a week before the Iowa primary.) Ok, but if our oilman-president (who, to be fair, failed at both callings) really wants to get the bottom of the situation, it'd be nice if he'd look into not only oil company price-gouging but also exactly what went on at Cheney's infamous Energy Task Force meetings...

I'm a bit late on this one: In an ugly confluence of several of this administration's shady dealings, CheneyCo.'s KBR/Halliburton -- its attempts at continued war profiteering faltering -- recently won a $385 million contract to build immigrant detention centers for the Dept. of Homeland Security. "The contract, which is effective immediately, provides for establishing temporary detention and processing capabilities to augment existing ICE Detention and Removal Operations (DRO) Program facilities in the event of an emergency influx of immigrants into the U.S., or to support the rapid development of new programs." Um, new programs? (By way of Supercres.)

So it's looking increasingly likely that Tony Snow of FOX News will replace Scott McClellan as White House press secretary. Good of 'em to eliminate the middleman -- Why filter the ridiculous right-wing spin through your in-pocket cable news network, when you can just spout the garbage directly from the Brady Room of the West Wing? Update: Snow takes the job.

"This is certainly not the first time that politics has trumped science at the FDA. Another recent example: the agency's decision to block over-the-counter availability for emergency contraceptives in the face of overwhelming evidence that the treatment is safe and effective...From my standpoint as a doctor, the question is this: What do you do when federal agencies become so politicized that their recommendations can't necessarily be trusted?" In Slate, pediatrician Sydney Spiesel begins to doubt the FDA's credibility these days, particularly after their recent and apparently blatantly political decision against medicinal marijuana. "Marijuana as a medicine -- whatever its risk and benefits are eventually determined to be -- may turn out to be much less important than the question of whether we can count on agencies like the FDA to be honest in their dealings."

"We say that this fake regime [Israel] cannot ... logically continue to live." How 'bout some WWIII grandstanding to go with your Monday coffee? In a press conference early this morning (EST), Iranian president Mahmoud Ahmadinejad makes more freakshow statements about Israel, and Israel, rightly, is not amused: 'Of all the threats we face, Iran is the biggest. The world must not wait. It must do everything necessary on a diplomatic level in order to stop its nuclear activity,' [Defense Minister Shaul] Mofaz told a conference on Iran at Tel Aviv University. 'Since Hitler we have not faced such a threat,' he added."

TIME Magazine unveils Josh Bolten's new five-point plan for righting the Dubya presidency: 1) Act tough on immigration with "guns and badges"; 2) Humor Wall Street with extensions on capital gains and dividend tax cuts; 3) "brag more"; 4) Talk tough at Iran; and 5) play nice with the press. So, wait, we're going to war with Iran just so Bolten can squeeze six more months out of lame duck Dubya? Brilliant.

US officials find repeated instances of detainee abuse at six more Iraqi prisons, and -- unlike last time -- are not removing all the tortured prisoners from their place of custody, thus violating a promise made by Joint Chiefs chairman Peter Pace last November. "Pace said at a news conference Nov. 29 with Defense Secretary Donald H. Rumsfeld, 'It is absolutely the responsibility of every U.S. service member, if they see inhumane treatment being conducted, to intervene to stop it.' Turning to Pace, Rumsfeld responded: 'I don't think you mean they have an obligation to physically stop it; it's to report it.'" Now, why make that distinction, Rummy?

"'What Democrats want to do is gin up their turnout in the suburbs and divide Republicans, and right now they may do that' said Jennifer E. Duffy, who tracks Senate races for the nonpartisan Cook Political Report. 'This is the first real wedge issue Democrats have had with Republicans.'" According to the NYT, congressional Dems think they may have a winner in November with the stem cell issue. And, also in election news, polls suggest the once-highly vulnerable Abramoff flunky Sen. Conrad Burns (R-MT) may be shedding the taint of Casino Jack, while potentially beatable Sen. Mike DeWine (R-OH) looks to do the same with Donald Rumsfeld.

"This plan details 'what terrorists or bad guys we would hit if the gloves came off. The gloves are not off.'" The Pentagon's Special Operations Command (SOCOM) devises a new and classified campaign to fight the war on terror, one that apparently relies heavily on special forces getting involved around the world. "[I]n a subtle but important shift contained in a classified order last year, the Pentagon gained the leeway to inform -- rather than gain the approval of -- the U.S. ambassador before conducting military operations in a foreign country, according to several administration officials. 'We do not need ambassador-level approval,' said one defense official familiar with the order."

"Observers describe Bush as 'messianic' in his conviction that he is fulfilling the divine purpose. But, as Lincoln observed in his second inaugural address, 'The Almighty has His own purposes.' Invoking also Lincoln's remarks on the Mexican War, historian Arthur Schlesinger, Jr. laments the rise of preemption, senses dark forebodings in Dubya's saber-rattling with Iran, and concludes that "there is no more dangerous thing for a democracy than a foreign policy based on presidential preventive war."

"[Y]ou have somebody being fired from the CIA for allegedly telling the truth, and you have no one fired from the White House for revealing a CIA agent in order to support a lie. That underscores what's really wrong in Washington, D.C." Following the recent dismissal of CIA historian and Africa specialist Mary McCarthy for telling the Post about our secret gulags, several Dems, including John Kerry and Rep. Jane Harman, question the Dubya double standard regarding leaks. Update: Was it not McCarthy after all?

"The policy was set. The war in Iraq was coming, and they were looking for intelligence to fit into the policy." Retired CIA officer Tyler Drumhiller, formerly the highest ranking CIA officer in Europe, calls out the Dubya administration anew for their manipulation of intelligence during the lead-up to Iraq. "'It just sticks in my craw every time I hear them say it's an intelligence failure,' Drumheller told CBS' Ed Bradley. 'This was a policy failure. I think, over time, people will look back on this and see this is going to be one of the great, I think, policy mistakes of all time.'"

Ladies and gentlemen, meet our crack foreign policy team, who apparently decided to catch some Z's during the slight-happy official state visit of Chinese president Hu Jintao. China...sure, this one's not important. Might as well get some shut-eye.

Further dispatches from the GOP freefall: As the Republican Congress desperately tries to look busy, that bastion of the liberal media FOX News puts Dubya's approval rating at a new low -- 33%.

"One of Bolten's biggest challenges, administration allies say, will be to find ways to open up the Oval Office to new ideas and to the opinions of people who are not longtime Bush confidants. On that score, many people who know the administration best are privately dubious." The WP ponders the Dubya White House's "shift into survival mode."

"Calamitous presidents, faced with enormous difficulties -- Buchanan, Andrew Johnson, Hoover and now Bush -- have divided the nation, governed erratically and left the nation worse off. In each case, different factors contributed to the failure: disastrous domestic policies, foreign-policy blunders and military setbacks, executive misconduct, crises of credibility and public trust. Bush, however, is one of the rarities in presidential history: He has not only stumbled badly in every one of these key areas, he has also displayed a weakness common among the greatest presidential failures -- an unswerving adherence to a simplistic ideology that abjures deviation from dogma as heresy, thus preventing any pragmatic adjustment to changing realities." As seen all over the place, historian Sean Wilentz wonders aloud in Rolling Stone if Dubya is the worst president in American history.

To my mind, the only other president that even comes close is James Buchanan. Sure, Warren Harding was lousy, but he knew it ("I am a man of limited talents from a small town. I don't seem to grasp that I am President."), and thus didn't go out of his way to be actively terrible like Bush has been. (Plus, for all the corruption of the Ohio gang, Harding's cabinet also included Charles Evans Hughes, Andrew Mellon, and Herbert Hoover, all impressive in their own right.) Speaking of Hoover, both he and Ulysses Grant have been given a bad shake. Even if the Depression basically ate his administration alive, Hoover -- once renowned as the "Great Engineer" -- was a more innovative president (and empathetic person) than he's often remembered. And Grant's administrations, although plagued by corruption, at the very least tried to maintain Reconstruction in the South. (In fact, I'd argue that Grant's sorry standing in presidential history is in a part a reflection of the low esteem in which Reconstruction was once held by the now-woefully obsolete Dunning School.) Regarding the other Reconstruction president, Andrew Johnson is assuredly down near the bottom too, but to be fair, he faced an almost impossible situation entering office in the time and manner he did, and -- as with Clinton -- his impeachment was a bit of a frame-job. And Richard Nixon, for all his many failings, had China (as well as the EPA despite himself, and, although it didn't pan out, the Family Assistance Plan.) Nope, I think it's safe to say that we may be experiencing perhaps the most blatantly inept, wrong-headed, and mismanaged presidency in the history of the republic. Oh, lucky us.

Man, you should have seen them kicking Scott McClellan. In related news, "I'm the Decider," to the tune of I am the Walrus." (Where did I find this? The walrus was Paul.)

"What the Democrats still don't have is a philosophy, a big idea that unites their proposals and converts them from a hodgepodge of narrow and specific fixes into a vision for society. Indeed, the party and the constellation of interests around it don't even think in philosophical terms and haven't for quite some time. There's a reason for this: They've all been trained to believe -- by the media, by their pollsters -- that their philosophy is an electoral loser. Like the dogs in the famous "learned helplessness" psychological experiments of the 1960s -- the dogs were administered electrical shocks from which they could escape, but from which, after a while, they didn't even try to, instead crouching in the corner in resignation and fear -- the Democrats have given up attempting big ideas. Any effort at doing so, they're convinced, will result in electrical (and electoral) shock."

By way of The Late Adopter (whom y'all really should be reading), The American Prospect's Michael Tomasky makes the case for a Democratic turn towards small-r republicanism and a renewed embrace of the common good. This is the closest article I've seen in some time to my own thoughts on where the Dems need to go these days (and in fact sounds a lot like a side-project I've been working on in my spare time, which I'll share with y'all more as it progresses.) "The task before today's Democratic Party isn't just to eke out electoral victories; it's to govern, and to change our course in profound ways. I'd like to think they can do it. But the Democrats must become republicans first."

I dannae if the ship of state could take any more...As suspected, the continuing White House shakeup claims another victim in press secretary Scott McClellan. (Text of statement.) Also, Rove got reassigned from policy to politics, but that sounds like more of a cosmetic switch than anything else.

"These problems are getting worse, not better, and it's because the judiciary hasn't taken some simple steps to make them go away." A Post report finds ethical violations are rampant among several federal judges, usually of the conflict-of-interest or boondoggle variety. "A second set of ethical lapses involves seminars held at resorts by a Montana-based group, the Foundation for Research on Economics and the Environment (FREE). On at least six occasions from 2002 to 2004, federal judges accepted air travel, food and lodging from the libertarian foundation but did not list the gifts on their annual disclosure reports, as required by law, documents and interviews show."

"There are two likely outcomes from serious American efforts to negotiate, both good. First, if Iran cooperates with the talks, then it might suspend its nuclear program in exchange for economic benefits. Second, if Iran doesn't cooperate, then the Bush administration will have made its case to China, Russia, and Europe that the regime is dangerous and untrustworthy. At that point it will be much easier to impose the economic sanctions that will scare the Iranians into better behavior." With the military strike option looking increasingly ill-conceived, if not suicidal, Slate's Fred Kaplan makes the case anew for a diplomatic solution to our current problems with Iran. Update: Dubya the Decider declares, "All options are on the table." (Yes, that includes nukes.)

"For the National Archives to go into cahoots with the CIA and Air Force to mislead researchers about what was going on was over the top, and a strong signal of a secrecy system that is genuinely broken." Following the recent uproar over re-classified documents, the National Archives pledges to forego secret arrangements in the future. Said the United States archivist, Allen Weinstein: "Classified agreements are the antithesis of our reason for being...If records must be removed for reasons of national security, the American people will always, at the very least, know when it occurs and how many records are affected."

"Bolten told the staff that 'if you're thinking about leaving at some time in the future, now would be a good time to do it,' the press secretary said." The Dubya administration preps for a house-cleaning.

Sit down before you read this one, folks. In the well-duh dept., the Post front-pages the following story today: "Anger at Bush May Hurt GOP at Polls." Really? Who woulda thunk it? Next you'll be telling me that Santorum might be going down too.

"'Do not allow...my name to appear anywhere,' Abramoff wrote to a colleague at his then-law firm, Greenberg Traurig. He e-mailed his wife: 'When you are in the room with David and the other GSA folks, identify yourself as Pam Alexander or Pam Clarke. David [Safavian] does not want Abramoff used in the meeting.'" The WP publishes excerpts of e-mail traffic between Casino Jack and David Safavian, one of his men in the Dubya White House, and the details run from the sketchy to the mundane. ("He added that he was e-mailing from Signatures, and 'I love those tempura tuna rolls!'")

While the Pope, Kofi Annan, Richard Clarke, and others try to stem the increasing saber-rattling over Iran, more trouble brews in Tehran: Along with possibly expanding their nuclear fuel plants and upgrading their centrifuges, the "Iranian government has intensified efforts to illegally obtain weapons technology from the United States." Well, let's at least hope the White House isn't helping them this time...

"You have somebody who's committing a felony, and he's calling [the White House] during the planning, the execution and when it's falling apart." The Dubya administration gets in even more legal trouble after it's discovered that, while an illegal plan to block Democratic phone banks in New Hampshire during the 2002 gubernatorial race was being carried out, its instigator, Dubya campaign op James Tobin, called the White House political affairs office 22 times in 2 days. (Looka has more.) Of course, clogging phone banks isn't the first political dirty trick New Hampshire has ever seen -- let us take a moment to reflect on the Gore campaign's disgusting anti-Bradley traffic jam in 2000 -- but that doesn't make Tobin's -- and possibly the White House's -- actions any less reprehensible...or criminal.

Irony of ironies, US District Judge Reggie B. Walston, presiding judge in Scooter Libby's pending trial, threatens both sides with a gag order should information about the Plamegate case continue to make it into the newspapers. But the President told Scooter to call Judy, and maybe even Bob...

"Secretary Rumsfeld's energetic and steady leadership is exactly what is needed at this critical period. He has my full support and deepest appreciation." In response to the growing calls for Rumsfeld's resignation among retired top brass, Dubya chooses instead, as per his usual M.O., to hug Rummy tighter to his breast. (full text.) And, in related news, Salon's Michael Scherer and Mark Benjamin argue that Rumsfeld was "personally involved" in at least one questionable interrogation at Gitmo in 2002.

"'If this election comes down to the individual, race-by-race, case-by-case campaigns, like we've seen for the last four cycles, the Democrats don't have enough top-tier candidates to win 15 seats,' Amy Walters, a House political analyst at the nonpartisan Cook Political Report, said, referring to a net gain. 'But they do have enough second- and third-tier candidates who can ride a wave.'" Even given Iraq, Abramoff, and the current GOP implosion, it seems that Dems will have their work cut out for them if they're going to succeed in taking back the House this November.

"It's an odd thought, but a military coup in this country right now would probably have a moderating influence. Not that an actual coup is pending; still less is one desirable. But we are witnessing the rumblings of an officers' revolt, and things could get ugly if it were to take hold and roar." Fred Kaplan assesses the considerable contempt of US military leaders for Donald Rumsfeld. Update: While Joint Chiefs Chairman Peter Pace attempts damage control, more retired generals pile on: Maj. Gen. John Batiste, former commander of the 1st Infantry Division (2004-2005), and Maj. Gen. Charles Swannack, former head of the 82nd Airborne (also an Iraq war veteran.)

"The Bull Moose has temporarily turned into a performing elephant. But the Moose will be back -- around March 2008, if everything goes according to plan." As much of the press hammers John McCain for his blatant re-positioning maneuvers of late, Slate throws a lovefest of sorts for the mythical maverick today, with Jacob Weisberg arguing he's really a TR progressive and John Dickerson promoting him as the happy crusader. I've used this line before, but it fits to a tee. Given McCain's frequent bouts of water-carrying for the Dubya administration, my view of the Senator's vaunted independence -- until proven wrong -- is the same as Sen. George Norris' take on his progressive colleague William Borah, who indulged a similar maverick reputation back in the teens, twenties, and thirties: He only "shoots until he sees the whites of their eyes."

Add one more lie to the pile: "On May 29, 2003, 50 days after the fall of Baghdad, President Bush proclaimed a fresh victory for his administration in Iraq: Two small trailers captured by U.S. and Kurdish troops had turned out to be long-sought mobile 'biological laboratories.' He declared, 'We have found the weapons of mass destruction.'...But even as Bush spoke, U.S. intelligence officials possessed powerful evidence that it was not true." The Washington Post recounts step-by-step the tale of Dubya's fake WMD trailers, sending White House Press Secretary Scott McClellan into a paroxysm of aggressively circular spin. As it turns out, even though Dubya had been notified the trailers were a red herring two days before his above comments, "for nearly a year, administration and intelligence officials continued to publicly assert that the trailers were weapons factories."

"God may smile on us, but I don't think so. The bottom line is that Iran cannot become a nuclear-weapons state. The problem is that the Iranians realize that only by becoming a nuclear state can they defend themselves against the U.S. Something bad is going to happen." Although Dubya is personally dismissing the report as "wild speculation", The New Yorker's Sy Hersh argues in a terrifying piece that the administration is actively planning for "regime change" in Iran, and -- no joke -- the use of tactical nuclear weapons (particularly "bunker-busters") is on the table.

No doubt about it, this is trouble. A nuclear Iran would represent a grievous threat to the region (and particularly Israel), and must be prevented by diplomatic means if at all possible. But, after the Iraq WMD debacle, this administration has become the boy who cried wolf, and -- just as the US is facing perhaps its thorniest diplomatic issue yet, neither our European allies nor many US observers trust Dubya's motives or credibility any more, to say nothing of his basic competence. ("Speaking of President Bush, [one] House member said, 'The most worrisome thing is that this guy has a messianic vision.'.") And, needless to say, if Dubya and the neocons screw this one up, the consequences for both the entire Middle East and the war on terror -- as well as our own homeland security -- could be nightmarish. "If we move against Iran, Hezbollah will not sit on the sidelines. Unless the Israelis take them out, they will mobilize against us...If we go, the southern half of Iraq will light up like a candle."

Update: ""I'm announcing officially that Iran has now joined the countries that have nuclear technology." The situation darkens with Iran's successful (increased) enrichment of uranium. "Iran had previously enriched uranium to a level of about 2 percent, using a smaller cascade, and separately enriched uranium to about 15 percent during laser experiments in 2002. Bomb-grade uranium must be enriched to a level of well over 80 percent...Though it is technically possible, most nuclear experts agree it is unlikely Iran would be able to make bomb-grade uranium with the[ir current] 164-centrifuge cascade." Still, Russia and Britain are decrying the advance, and Secretary Rice wants "strong steps" by the UN Security Council in reply.

"Roger Ailes was right when he predicted at the beginning of the television era that in the future all politicians would have to be performers. But politicians are, for the most part, lousy performers.Their advisers are pretty awful at what they do too. In the absence of inspiration, they have fixed upon the crudest, most negative and robotic forms of communication. They've made moments like Robert Kennedy's in Indianapolis next to impossible." TIME's Joe Klein laments the dawn of the soundbite-heavy, market-tested-within-an-inch-of-its-life consultants' republic.

In somewhat related news, the administration's freefall in the polls continues, with even conservatives now admitting that Dubya is quacking like a lame duck. Meanwhile, some congressional Republicans begin to hear strains of 1994 in their own corruption and excess. And, with the Christian Coalition also nearing the End of (its) Days to boot, one has to wonder: Could we Dems ask for a more favorable electoral terrain against the Dubya-DeLay GOP heading into this November? And when are our party leaders going to rise to this opportunity and start offering a vision of leadership the American people can get behind?

The WP files another dispatch regarding Dubya's war on science: "Employees and contractors working for the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, along with a U.S. Geological Survey scientist working at an NOAA lab, said in interviews that over the past year administration officials have chastised them for speaking on policy questions; removed references to global warming from their reports, news releases and conference Web sites; investigated news leaks; and sometimes urged them to stop speaking to the media altogether. Their accounts indicate that the ideological battle over climate-change research, which first came to light at NASA, is being fought in other federal science agencies as well."

By a virtual party-line vote, the House Republicans pass a campaign finance reform bill that caps "527" contributions while raising the limit on coordinated party spending -- both measures that greatly advantage the GOP over the Dems in the current campaign finance climate. "Organizations such as Common Cause, Democracy 21 and Public Citizen, past legislative adversaries of the GOP, were allied with Republicans in yesterday's floor fight. Democrats had the backing of a long list of conservative leaders opposed to regulation, including Grover Norquist of Americans for Tax Reform and Paul M. Weyrich of the Free Congress Foundation." Well, they may have been right for the wrong reasons...still, I gotta say, the party spending aside, I'm actually with the GOP on this one. 527 organizations represent a blatant loophole in the McCain-Feingold act, and some 527 reform is clearly necessary if we're going to be serious about restricting the influence of money on the electoral system. That so few House Dems voted for principle over their party pocketbooks is, to my mind, deeply troubling (but, so, for that matter, is McCain's possible side deal to buttress his 2008 war chest.)

The Senate reaches a compromise on immigration reform that splits the middle between the Frist-Tancredo hardliners and the Kennedy-McCain moderates. "Under the agreement, the Senate would allow undocumented workers a path to lawful employment and citizenship if they could prove -- through work stubs, utility bills or other documents -- that they have been in the country for five years. To attain citizenship, those immigrants would have to pay a $2,000 penalty, back taxes, learn English, undergo a criminal background check and remain working for 11 years." But critics argue that the five-year distinction is a hard one to determine or enforce, and has been since it was first put into law in 1986. Update: Things fall apart.

While Dubya and the GOP continue to smear and threaten the whistleblowers who exposed this administration's recent egregious violations of civil liberties -- the warrantless wiretaps or the secret gulags, for example -- papers filed by Plamegate prosecutor Patrick Fitzgerald disclose that Scooter Libby was actually told to leak classified information to the press by Dubya and Cheney (although not necessarily the identity of Valerie Plame.) "Libby said he understood that 'he was to tell [Judith] Miller, among other things, that a key judgment of the NIE held that Iraq was "vigorously trying to procure" uranium,' Fitzgerald wrote." Replied DNC chair Howard Dean today, "The fact that the president was willing to reveal classified information for political gain and put the interests of his political party ahead of America's security shows that he can no longer be trusted to keep America safe." At the very least, given his own penchant for selective leaking, it means Dubya is being a tremendous hypocrite every time he starts equating whistleblowers with terrorist sympathizers, and that his repeated promise to find the leakers in his administration is roughly equivalent to OJ's hunt for the real killers. Update: ABC's John Cochran and Salon's Farhad Manjoo break down the implications. Update 2: Fitzgerald makes a correction.

"'We insist that everybody who drives a car has insurance,' Romney said in an interview. 'And cars are a lot less expensive than people.'" In a new tack on ameliorating the problem of the uninsured, Massachusetts passes a law mandating that all citizens buy health insurance. "As simple as the idea sounds -- buy insurance or else -- the proposal is complex and, in some cases, still unfinished. For instance, it leaves the task of determining exactly how much some low-income residents will pay for their new, more affordable policies to a new agency that would serve as a liaison between the government, policyholders and private insurance companies."

Oof, and y'all thought shoplifting was bad...I don't really want to get into the sad and horrifying story of Homeland Security flak and child molester Brian Doyle. Suffice to say, is this what "restoring honor and dignity to the White House" looks like? Ok, that may be a cheap shot, but if this sick tale had happened on Clinton's watch, we would never hear the end of it.

"'Obviously, it's a very difficult issue and evokes a lot of emotions,' Feingold said in a telephone interview yesterday. 'I think it's something ultimately that people throughout the country will accept, but it's not an easy issue.'" Unlike many of his Dem colleagues (and potential rivals in 2008), Feingold comes out for legalizing same-sex marriage. "Feingold noted that removing the prohibition against gay marriage would not impose any obligation on religious groups. He indicated that no religious faith should ever be forced to conduct or recognize any marriage, but that civil laws on marriage should reflect the principle of equal rights under the law."

"''Any rational person in [DeLay's] position would be very concerned,' said Kendall Coffey, a former federal prosecutor who is now a prominent defense lawyer in Miami. 'Whether it's working up the ladder at Enron or a drug organization, it's classic strategy to work up by getting plea agreements and cooperation at each level.'" As the GOP preps for a DeLay-less future, it seems that, for Boss DeLay -- despite having theoretically left "on his own terms" -- the legal woes are just beginning.

Breaking news: In a boon for the republic (and likely for the Republican party, now that the poster boy for their culture of corruption will be out of sight through November), Boss DeLay is done. "DeLay's fall has been stunningly swift, one of the most brutal and decisive in American history."

"'Mr. Bush is in the hands of a fortune that will be unremitting on the point of Iraq,' Buckley said...'If he'd invented the Bill of Rights it wouldn't get him out of his jam...It's important that we acknowledge in the inner councils of state that it (the war) has failed, so that we should look for opportunities to cope with that failure.'''
By way of Cliopatria, National Review founder and Firing Line wit William F. Buckley discusses Dubya's failings, his own problems with neoconservatism -- "The neoconservative hubris, which sort of assigns to America some kind of geo-strategic responsibility for maximizing democracy, overstretches the resources of a free country." -- and the presidents of his lifetime. "'[Bill Clinton] is the most gifted politician of, certainly my time,' Buckley said. 'He generates a kind of a vibrant goodwill with a capacity for mischief which is very, very American.'"

Faced with the prospect of his state losing its disproportionate influence on presidential campaigns, New Hampshire Governor John Lynch (D) begins twisting the arms of possible presidential candidates in 2008, with Evan Bayh the first to cry uncle. "New York Sen. Hillary Rodham Clinton has assiduously avoided taking a position on the issue despite personal urgings by Lynch to do so. Former Virginia governor Mark Warner, the hot 'anti-Hillary' candidate these days, is similarly noncommittal." Pushing back on New Hampshire's entreaties are Bill Richardson (New Mexico) and John Edwards (North Carolina), for obvious reasons. Feingold is also uncommitted (as far as I know), although one would think that, as an independent-minded maverick, he'd be a prime candidate for an early Granite State boost. That is, provided John McCain doesn't suck all the air out of the state, as he did in 2000 versus Bradley.

"'You're going to have more change than you expect,' one GOP insider said." According to CNN, Andy Card's permanent vacation was just the beginning of Dubya's White House shake-up: The next victims may well be press shill Scott McClellan and Treasury Secretary John Snow. Update: In related news, Gen. Anthony Zinni calls for Rumsfeld's resignation on Meet the Press.

"I am quite certain there are going to be dissertations written about the mistakes of the Bush administration." Madam Secretary, you said it.

"Leave it to Justice Antonin Scalia to trigger a nationwide debate about the hermeneutics of chin flips." From an "empaneled jury" of Sopranos actors to Justice Scalia's uncharacteristic appeal to foreign precedent, Slate's Dahlia Lithwick muses on the sideshow surrounding the Justice's recent Sicilian kiss-off.

"'We know the president broke the law,' Leahy said. 'Now we need to know why.'" With the Dems -- except for Feingold and Leahy -- AWOL yet again, the Senate Judiciary Committee debates Feingold's censure resolution and hears testimony from former Nixon counsel John Dean, who is back before Congress for the first time since Watergate. Said Feingold at one point: "If you want the words 'bad faith' in [the censure resolution], let's put them right in, because that's exactly what we have here...The lawbreaking is shocking in itself, but the defiant way that the president has persisted in defending his actions with specious legal arguments and misleading statements is part of what led me to conclude that censure is a necessary step." Said the rest of the committee Dems (Kennedy, Biden, Kohl, Feinstein, Schumer, Durbin): Nothing.

Another crack emerges in the DeLay-Abramoff Ring: The Feds flip Tony Rudy, a former top flunky of Boss DeLay's, which is particularly bad news for the former "Mayor of Capitol Hill," Bob Ney. "According to papers filed today, Rudy will provide key corroborating information regarding the case prosecutors are building against [Ney], who was taken by Abramoff on a lavish trip to Scotland in 2002." Update: The Post profiles Rudy. "'How did Abramoff and Rudy meet, through JDate? No, they met through DeLay,' Frank said."

"'I believe the most damaging thing that Tom DeLay has done in his life is take his faith seriously into public office, which made him a target for all those who despise the cause of Christ,' Scarborough said, introducing DeLay yesterday." The WP's Dana Milbank reports in as the right-wing "War on Christians" crowd embrace Boss DeLay as a martyr."When DeLay finished, the host reminded the politician: 'God always does his best work right after a crucifixion.'" Update: Salon's Michelle Goldberg has more.

"I don't know,' said Senator Mike DeWine, Republican of Ohio...'People are not really talking to me directly about lobbying. I think they're concerned about some of the, quote, scandal, but I don't have anybody come up to me and say there's a lobbying problem. It doesn't get that specific.'" As such, one day after voting down an independent ethics office 67-30, the Senate passes a watered-down "lobbying reform" bill 90-8 that, for all intent and purposes. seems to be merely cosmetic. "The Senate measure toughens disclosure requirements for lobbyists and requires lawmakers to obtain advance approval for the private trips that were a central feature of the Abramoff scandal. But it does not rein in lawmakers' use of corporate jets, and it fell far short of the sweeping changes, including a ban on privately financed travel, that some lawmakers advocated in January...'It's very, very weak,' said Senator John McCain, Republican of Arizona."

Five Republicans and only three measly Democrats voted against the phantom reform bill: McCain, Feingold, Kerry, Graham, DeMint, Inhofe, and the "unlikely duo" of Obama and Coburn. (The West Virginia Dem delegation -- Byrd and Rockefeller -- abstained.) Still, "Mr. McCain predicted that there would be more indictments growing out of the investigation into political corruption, and said that such a development would lead Congress to revisit the issue again."

In very related news, Casino Jack and his associate Adam Kidan are sentenced to 5 years, 10 months in prison for their roles in the SunCruz casino case. "Although [Judge Paul] Huck opted for the minimum, Abramoff faces the prospect of at least a few additional years in prison when he is sentenced in a separate case in Washington, D.C. However, lawyers said, his overall sentence ultimately could be reduced depending on his cooperation with federal investigators." In fact, Abramoff will remain out of jail for the time being so he can continue to work with the Feds on congressional corruption.

"In the wake of Bosnia and Rwanda, the assumption is that ethnically divided countries can never function. But countless countries at risk of civil war have been able to avoid going over the cliff...So, how have divided countries kept the peace? Here are a few successful strategies." With Iraq seemingly on the precipice of civil war, Princeton professor Gary Bass (who was one of my teaching fellows at Harvard back in the day) briefly summarizes possible ways to stem the sectarian violence in Slate.

"There is no issue outside of civil rights that brings out the kind of emotions we have seen." After a weekend of significant grass-roots protest further suggests the political perils of immigration reform for both parties, the Senate Judiciary Committee votes 12-6 to support a bill by Senators Kennedy and McCain that promotes the more moderate Dubya-backed vision of reform, such as a guest-worker program, over that of the hardline GOP border-security crowd such as Frist and Tancredo. "A confrontation between the Senate and House Republicans now appears inevitable."

"The president's consistent refusal to try the Guantanamo detainees before criminal courts or courts-martial leads a reasonable observer to conclude that the government's case would fail if it were subjected to scrutiny by an impartial adjudicator. And if that is the only justification for military tribunals, it must be rejected. No one denies that the war on terror presents new challenges to the rule of law. But prosecuting someone with a crime that does not exist, before a commission that does not have rules, simply does not constitute justice under any set of circumstances." Slate files several dispatches on the important case of Hamdan v. Rumsfeld, which the Supreme Court (without Chief Justice Roberts, who has recused himself...as should probably Scalia) will hear today. Emily Bazelon finds that GOP Senators Kyl and Graham seem to have tried to deceive the Court about the legislative history of their Detainee Treatment Act, while Ariel Lavinbuk suggests a compromise solution: the Supreme Court could "find that 'conspiracy' -- the only charge against Hamdan -- does not violate the law of war."

Update: The Court hears the case, and it seems a majority -- Scalia and Alito notwithstanding -- are not amused with the Dubya administration: "Without Chief Justice John Roberts...the argument seemed lopsided against the government." Still, as was expected to be the norm on the Roberts Court,"the outcome of the case will likely turn on moderate Justice Anthony M. Kennedy."

A Dubya administration shake-up begins with White House Chief of Staff Andy Card getting the boot, to be replaced by former OMB director Joshua Bolten. But, as Dan Froomkin notes, "Card's departure in no way addresses the two even more fundamental areas where Bush is vulnerable: His decisions and his credibility."

"In recent weeks, a startling realization has begun to take hold: if the elections were held today, top strategists of both parties say privately, the Republicans would probably lose the 15 seats they need to keep control of the House of Representatives and could come within a seat or two of losing the Senate as well. Former Speaker of the House Newt Gingrich...told TIME that his party has so bungled the job of governing that the best campaign slogan for Democrats today could be boiled down to just two words: 'Had enough?'"

TIME previews the increasingly nightmarish electoral landscape for the GOP, and the "signs suggest an anti-Republican wave is building, says nonpartisan electoral handicapper Stuart Rothenberg... 'The only question is how high, how big, how much force it will have. I think it will be considerable.' In addition, "administration officials say they fear that losing even one house of Congress would mean subpoenas and investigations--a taste of the medicine House Republicans gave Bill Clinton."

"The memo also shows that the president and the prime minister acknowledged that no unconventional weapons had been found inside Iraq. Faced with the possibility of not finding any before the planned invasion, Mr. Bush talked about several ways to provoke a confrontation, including a proposal to paint a United States surveillance plane in the colors of the United Nations in hopes of drawing fire, or assassinating Mr. Hussein." The NYT relates the details of a January 2003 pre-war meeting between Bush and Blair, and it's not pretty. Not surprisingly (and like the July 2002 Downing Street memos, the recollections of Paul O'Neill, and countless other sources), this new material confirms that Dubya and the neocons wanted a war in Iraq, come hell or high water.

"'There seems to be a disconnect between the rhetoric in Washington about what this is all about and what we hear here,' Feingold said. McCain responded that he did 'not want to get into a back-and-forth with one of my best friends.'" While visiting Baghdad, Senators McCain and Feingold argue "cordially and pointedly" over Iraq. "Feingold...said he was dismayed not to hear any of the military commanders he met with mention al-Qaeda as a source of the problems in Iraq. The Bush administration and U.S. officials here often point to the radical group as a major source of instability in the country."

"Abramoff, for his part, once boasted that he had invested a million dollars in Buckham, according to a former Abramoff colleague...Abramoff expressed confidence that the funds would bring a good return for his clients, the colleague said." Good news/bad news for Boss DeLay: While DoL Robert Novak reports that Casino Jack is not implicating the Hammer as part of his plea bargain, the WP finds that former DeLay Chief of Staff Edwin Buckham skimmed over a million dollars from the US Family Network, a "pro-family" nonprofit funded by Abramoff clients. [Graphic] "In addition, Buckham and his wife, Wendy, acting through their consulting firm, made monthly payments averaging $3,200-$3,400 apiece to DeLay's wife, Christine, for three of the years in which he collected money from the USFN and some other clients." (Boss DeLay, it bears remembering also paid his wife and kids a half mill in PAC funds.) Well, I guess if by "pro-family" you're talking about the Buckham and DeLay families, this is all money well spent.

"[Ralph Reed] has damaged Christian political work by confirming for some the stereotype that evangelicals are easily manipulated and that evangelical leaders use moral issues to line their own pockets." In related news, former Christian Coalition head and current candidate for Georgia lieutenant governor Ralph Reed also finds it hard to shake the taint of Abramoff, and even finds himself persona non grata among evangelical conservatives such as Melvin Olasky of WORLD magazine.

"It is sometimes convenient, for purposes of rhetorical effect, for national leaders to talk of a globe neatly divided into good and bad. It is quite another, however, to base the policies of the world's most powerful nation upon that fiction." In a must-read LA Times editorial, former Secretary of State Madeleine Albright witheringly dissects Dubya Diplomacy. (Via Medley.)

Brimming with affable actors and a cool, refreshing menthol topicality, Thank You for Smoking, which I caught last night in Union Square, is a wry, decently amusing satire -- one that's not much for side-splitting bellylaughs but good for a consistent chuckle throughout. Very few scenes go by without a few snappy lines or clever sight gag, and the film is all the more endearing for its understatement -- like cigarettes, a lot of these jokes almost sell themselves. Still, I haven't read Chris Buckley's book, but I can't escape the suspicion that a devastatingly funny movie could've been made from this source material if the filmmakers had just gone for it, um, unfiltered. More often than not, the film seems to want to be liked, when what it really needed was a jolt of the same type of dark misanthropy that propelled last year's Lord of War (i.e. Thank You for Shooting.) I'd say it's worth seeing, and I was definitely smiling through most of the film. But, at crucial times, and particularly in the second half, Thank You for Smoking feels too lo-tar and antiseptic for its own good. (Oh, and sorry, Tom Cruise conspiracy theorists: Katie Holmes' brief sex scenes are still here.)

For those who haven't seen the preview, the film follows the exploits of uber-charismatic cigarette lobbyist Nick Naylor (Aaron Eckhart, doing a friendlier variation on his In the Company of Men turn), a guy who basically has the heart of The X-Files's Cigarette Smoking Man in the body of Mr. Smith (Think Capra, not Matrix.) Sent on various charm offensives by his immediate boss (J.K. Simmons, pitch-perfect) and the head office in Winston-Salem (Robert Duvall, doing his R.E. Lee schtick again), Naylor must flatter, cajole, bluff, and wheedle his way past a number of moderately funny archetypes, including a Birkenstock-clad senator from Vermont (William H. Macy), a ruthless Orientophile Hollywood exec (Rob Lowe), their various flunkies (Todd Louiso, Adam Brody), and a thoroughly disgruntled Marlboro Man now suffering from lung cancer (Sam Elliott). Along for the ride on this tobacco tour is Naylor's kid (Cameron Bright) -- on loan from the ex-wife (Deadwood's Kim Dickens) and her new doctor boyfriend,(whose studiously scruffy beard is one of the many funny details herein) -- and Nick spends much of the film trying to inculcate his son in the ways of activism for the amoral. (I have to admit, it's hard to watch these scenes and not think of the author and his own dad, the venerable William F. Buckley, Jr..)

Like I said, for the most part Thank You for Smoking is a jaunty and amusing two hours, with enough clever moments to keep the general atmosphere lively and droll. Still, at times, it's hard not to feel that there are opportunities missed here, particularly when the movie loses its step. (The climax, in which Naylor testifies before Congress, is basically a non-starter.) For one, the film occasionally jumps to voiceover (a la Lord of War), without ever really committing to it, and so it ends up feeling like lazy writing. And some potentially funny jokes just seem clumsily telegraphed -- to take one small example, when Naylor's gun lobbyist friend (Anchorman's David Koechner) has trouble with a security gate. Speaking of Koechner, he and Eckhart share several scenes with alcohol lobbyst Maria Bello (The Cooler, A History of Violence) as the "MOD" ("Merchants of Destruction") Squad, which feel like they should be the centerpiece of the film. But Bello (an actress I'll admit to rooting for) is almost criminally underused here -- her best gag ends up being her quintessentially DC power-suit.

Not to miss the carton for the smokes, Thank You is a smart comedy that's aimed at adults and funny enough to recommend...but I can't help thinking it needed to be more rough around the edges, more stogie and less nicotine patch.

"'The short-term politics of this are pretty clear. The long-term politics are pretty clear. And they're both at odds,' said Mike Buttry, a spokesman for Sen. Chuck Hagel." With Republican unity already shattered by Dubaigate, the contentious question of immigration reform threatens to divide Dubya and the GOP anew, as 2008 hopefuls Frist and Tancredo attempt to outflank Dubya on the right on the issue of border security, while McCain tries to shore up his standing with the Bushies. "For Republican presidential candidates, immigration offers up a difficult choice: Appeal to conservatives eager to clamp down on illegal immigration who could buoy your position in the primaries, or take a moderate stand to win independents and the growing Latino vote, which could be vital to winning the general election."

Entertaining the Vice-President? Set the thermostat, turn on FOX NEWS, stock up on Diet Caffeine Free Sprite, and hide the shotguns. The Smoking Gun gets ahold of Cheney's "Downtime Requirements," which have since been confirmed by the veep's office. Update: Kerry's requirements get unearthed as well, and they're even more specific.

"The congressman's tastes were eclectic and a little ostentatious. The man drove a Rolls (a bribe). His furnishings have a similar plea for attention: They shout 'antique,' even when they are reproductions." So pass the wages of sin: As Randy "Duke" Cunningham's ill-gotten lucre is auctioned off, the Pentagon announces an investigation into how Duke managed to wrangle earmarks for MZM. (Speaking of the demise of Dukedoms, I think my NCAA bracket is now officially busted.)

"'We rely on those transactions,' Mr. Lay said during the September meeting, according to Mr. Glisan. 'They are imperative for us to hit our numbers and we will continue to do them.'" Prosecutors begin to wrap up their case in the Enron trial with the testimony of former Enron treasurer Ben Glisan, Jr., who is currently serving a five-year prison term for his part in the fraud. (He created Enron's "Raptors," "four fragile financial structures...used to house assets and investments and to hide losses.") According to the NYT, he "provided some of the strongest testimony against Mr. Lay heard by the jury so far."

"Some say that if you're Muslim you can't be free." In a piece that's drawn some controversy -- God forbid our newsmedia call out the President when he's making stuff up -- the AP's Jennifer Loven scrutinizes Dubya's rhetorical reliance on straw man arguments. Many find Loven's piece convincing.

"These are just slush funds for conservative interest groups...These organizations would not be in existence if not for the federal dollars coming through." The Post looks into the Dubya's administration's social spending priorities, and finds that during Dubya's tenure the government has "funneled at least $157 million in grants to organizations run by political and ideological allies." Says Rep. Chet Edwards (D-Tex.): "I believe ultimately this will be seen as one of the largest patronage programs in American history."

"Remember the whiny, insecure kid in nursery school, the one who always thought everyone was out to get him, and was always running to the teacher with complaints? Chances are he grew up to be a conservative." A several-decade-long study by UC Berkeley professor Jack Block finds a controversial correlation between confidence in childhood and later political leanings. "He reasons that insecure kids look for the reassurance provided by tradition and authority, and find it in conservative politics. The more confident kids are eager to explore alternatives to the way things are, and find liberal politics more congenial." (Via Follow Me Here.)

Remember "We'll be greeted as liberators"? How 'bout "I think they're in the last throes...of the insurgency"? As the administration reaps the dividends of a severe credibility gap on Iraq, Dubya ventures forth once again to tell the nation about all the progress we're just not seeing over there. "'I understand people being disheartened when they turn on their TV screen,' Bush said, adding that 'nobody likes beheadings' and other grim images."

"No longer does he see Republican government as a source of stability and order. Instead, he presents a nightmarish vision of ideological extremism, catastrophic fiscal irresponsibility, rampant greed and dangerous shortsightedness." By way of Cliopatria, Columbia provost (and my dissertation advisor) Alan Brinkley takes a look at Kevin Phillips' new book, American Theocracy for the NYT.

(Like I needed to another reason to think less of A-Rod.) By way of my friend Mark, here's an interesting list of campaign contributions made by sports figures since 1978. Some of the bigger Democratic donors include Hank Aaron, Andre Agassi, Michael Jordan, Robert Kraft, Alonzo Mourning, Bud Selig, Dean Smith, and David Stern. As for athletes buttressing the GOP, they include several football (Troy Aikman, Bobby Bowden, Mike Ditka, Peyton Manning, Roger Staubach) and racing (Mario Andretti, Brian and Bill France, Jeff Gordon, Dale Jarrett, Richard Petty) stars, along with Jerome Bettis, Clyde Drexler, Karl Malone, Lute Olson, Rafael Palmeiro, A-Rod, and Marge Schott.

"If this is not civil war, then God knows what civil war is." As the war in Iraq enters its fourth year (US casualities) and civil war appears increasingly likely on the ground, Dubya and Cheney trod out the same stale talking points we've been hearing since "Mission Accomplished" (while Rummy attempts variations on a theme.) Update: Slate's Fred Kaplan surveys the mistakes.

"Placards posted by soldiers at the detention area advised, 'NO BLOOD, NO FOUL.' The slogan, as one Defense Department official explained, reflected an adage adopted by Task Force 6-26: 'If you don't make them bleed, they can't prosecute for it.'" In related news, the NY Times exposes more allegations of shameful and disturbing Abu Ghraib-like detainee abuse conducted by "a shadowy military unit known as Task Force 6-26." "Task Force 6-26 was a creation of the Pentagon's post-Sept. 11 campaign against terrorism, and it quickly became the model for how the military would gain intelligence and battle insurgents in the future...Military and legal experts say the full breadth of abuses committed by Task Force 6-26 may never be known because of the secrecy surrounding the unit."

"I wouldn't classify those changes as major...Between charitable events and fundraising events, there will still be lots of ways to get in front of members [of Congress]." Abramoff, Schmabramoff...The lobbying industry remains unperturbed by the GOP reform bill making its way through the Senate. In related news, the Post delves into both the shady use of campaign treasuries by reps in solid seats and the inner workings of MZM's lobbying-bribery machine. And, under its well-traveled new leader, the House plans to meet for less than 100 days this year to accommodate reps' need to beg for money full-time.

Hooked on Dubyanomics yet? Once again, the GOP will be forced today to up the national debt limit in order to avoid the government going into default. "The debt limit bill is the fourth such measure required since Bush took office five years ago. If approved, the latest version would mean that the debt had grown over that span from about $6 trillion to $9 trillion -- about $30,000 for every man, woman and child in the United States." Update: It's a done deal.

"'I haven't read it,' demurred Barack Obama (Ill.). 'I just don't have enough information,' protested Ben Nelson (Neb.)." As Senator Tom Harkin signs on as a co-sponsor of Russ Feingold's censure resolution -- which, word has it, is also now backed by John Kerry, Barbara Boxer, and Robert Menendez -- the Post's Dana Milbank watches the rest of our party head for the hills. "Hillary Rodham Clinton (N.Y.) brushed past the press pack, shaking her head and waving her hand over her shoulder. When an errant food cart blocked her entrance to the meeting room, she tried to hide from reporters behind the 4-foot-11 Barbara Mikulski (Md.). 'Ask her after lunch' offered Clinton's spokesman, Philippe Reines. But Clinton, with most of her colleagues, fled the lunch out a back door as if escaping a fire."

"We may have been seduced into something we might be inclined to regret. Is strategic failure a possibility? The answer has to be 'yes.'" Several internal Downing Street memos, recently obtained by the Guardian, suggest that our British allies have been wary of US mismanagement in Iraq since at least 2003, when Baghdad envoy John Sawers called the US post-invasion operation "an unbelievable mess." (By way of Dateline: Bristol.)

"This is clearly more serious than anything President Clinton was accused of. It is reminiscent of what President Nixon was not only accused of doing but was basically removed from office for doing." As Senator Feingold continues his lonely push for a censure resolution, the GOP go into full "soft on terror" attack mode, while most Dems -- of course -- commence to hemming and hawing. "Reid...commended [Feingold] 'for bringing this to the attention of the American people. We need a full and complete debate on this NSA spying.' Reid and Sen. Joseph I. Lieberman (D-Conn.) told reporters they wanted to examine the resolution before endorsing or rejecting it." The world is watching, Dems: Get up and fight!

"In all the years I have been on the bench, I have never seen such an egregious violation of a court's rule on witnesses." In keeping with this administration's penchant for cutting corners on civil liberties (and playing right into the hands of America's critics), the trial of Al Qaeda operative Zacarias Moussaoui, the so-called "20th hijacker," appears on the verge of mistrial after it comes out that government lawyer Carla Martin blatantly coached witnesses. Said Judge Leonie Brinkema: "This is the second significant error by the government affecting the constitutional rights of this defendant and, more importantly, the integrity of the criminal justice system in this country." Update: Slate's Dahlia Lithwick tries to explain the strange "medical malpractice" reasoning at work in this death penalty case.

"'It seems to me the United States is not studying the history of Iran very carefully,' Pourostad said. 'Whenever they came and supported an idea publicly, the public has done the opposite.'" As Fred Kaplan pointed out several weeks ago (and as indicated by the results of the last Iranian election), many democratic activists in Iran believe that Dubya's ham-handed approach to promoting reform is backfiring in a big way.