Recently in Election 2008 Category

"This is the week that should have effectively ended John McCain's efforts to become the next president of the United States...During this past week: McCain called the most important entitlement program in the U.S. a disgrace, his top economic adviser called the American people whiners, McCain released an economic plan that no one thought was serious, he flip flopped on Iraq, joked about the deaths of Iranian citizens, and denied making comments that he clearly made -- TWICE." I may have been slacking of late, but others have been keeping up the good fight. By way of Supercres, HuffPo columnist Max Bergmann lists ten campaign-derailing gaffes by John McCain, from last week alone. (So that's not counting Czechoslovakia, McCain's switch on Afghanistan, or the unfortunate "ape rape" revelations.) I must say, he really is an astoundingly bad candidate.

"The Old Dominion is now the New Dominion, particularly in the suburban and exurban counties north of the Rappahannock River. Barack Obama could not have carried Virginia as it once was. But he is running even with John McCain in a paradoxical state that was home to the Confederacy's capital but also gave the nation its first elected African American governor, Doug Wilder, in 1989." E.J. Dionne takes a look at Obama's prospects in Virginia. I must say, assuming I'm still here and/or around DC by November, it'll be nice to vote in an honest-to-goodness swing state for once in my life.

Also, a programming note: I managed to secure a "new media" press pass for the DNC's "Big Tent" in Denver. (Whether it was due to GitM's longevity, some Dem name-dropping by yours truly, or they just let everyone who signed up through the gates, I know not.) In any case, I bought a (pricey) flight yesterday and will be on the ground and reporting in from the Mile High City during the Democratic National Convention next month. Should be grand. (And if you'll be there too, drop me a line.)

"After a set of primaries that felt like they began about the time Sputnik went up, it is strange to be transported to the static battlefield of Obama versus John McCain. The fundamentals are locked in place -- and seem unlikely to be dislodged by anything less than a shift in the tectonic plates." Walter Shapiro briefly surveys the state of the race (as does the inimitable Akbar Jenkins.)

I know it's been quiet on the electoral front around here of late -- That's partly because my thoughts have been on the 20's of late and partly because I just can't muster any outrage about the New Yorker cover, or much else that's happened on the trail the past week or two. But I'm sure that'll change in due course.

"Last week I communicated to Senator Obama and his presidential campaign my firm intention to remain in the United States Senate, where I believe I am best equipped to serve the people of Virginia and this country." In the Obama veepstakes, Sen. Webb takes himself out of the running. "Under no circumstances will I be a candidate for Vice President."

A very happy 232nd birthday to our American republic. In the year 2008, frankly, our record is mixed. On one hand, we've continued to stand by while our witless joke of a president has assumed many of the dubious royal prerogatives that originally propelled our forefathers toward Independence. On the other, we stand poised to make history this November in a way that would make the founding generation gasp in awe at how far we've come.

So, let's enjoy the 4th, and take a moment not only to remember how precarious the American experiment once was, but also to ponder what we hope to make of it in our own time. For, regardless of how terrible the past eight years -- or forty years, for that matter -- have been, "we have it in our power to begin the world over again."

Update: The Muppets are celebrating too. (Via Bitten Tongue/Gideonse Bible.)

"'She's no longer campaigning for president,' said Clinton spokesman Mo Elleithee. 'She's focused on her work in the Senate, campaigning for Senator Obama and other Democrats.'" With the Dems back on the same team, the Clinton campaign scrubs its website of anti-Obama material from the primary era. As such, this seems as good a time as any to definitively put to rest these Penn-inspired primary fictions as well:

"'McCain was down at the end of the table and we were talking to the head of the guerilla group here at this end of the table and I don't know what attracted my attention,' Cochran said. 'But I saw some kind of quick movement at the bottom of the table and I looked down there and John had reached over and grabbed this guy by the shirt collar and had snatched him up like he was throwing him up out of the chair to tell him what he thought about him or whatever. I don't know what he was telling him but I thought, good grief, everybody around here has got guns and we were there on a diplomatic mission. I don't know what had happened to provoke John but he obviously got mad at the guy and he just reached over there and snatched him."

Um...ok. Senator Thad Cochrane (R-MS), who earlier said the idea of McCain as president "sends a cold chill down my spine," recalls McCain losing his mind on a diplomatic tour to Nicaragua. And before anyone thinks this makes him a tough guy, "easily baited" is a terrible trait in a negotiator...or a president. Update: McCain denies it.

"The military trainers who came to Guantánamo Bay in December 2002 based an entire interrogation class on a chart showing the effects of 'coercive management techniques' for possible use on prisoners, including 'sleep deprivation,' 'prolonged constraint,' and 'exposure.' What the trainers did not say, and may not have known, was that their chart had been copied verbatim from a 1957 Air Force study of Chinese Communist techniques used during the Korean War to obtain confessions, many of them false, from American prisoners...The only change made in the chart presented at Guantánamo was to drop its original title: 'Communist Coercive Methods for Eliciting Individual Compliance.'"

How low have we sunk under Dubya? Apparently, under this administration, we've actually been plagiarizing Maoist torture techniques for use in the Gitmo gulag. "'What makes this document doubly stunning is that these were techniques to get false confessions,' Levin said. 'People say we need intelligence, and we do. But we don't need false intelligence.'"

"Tyson Homosexual easily won his semifinal for the 100 meters at the U.S. Olympic track and field trials and seemed to save something for the final later Sunday..." The wacko-right American Family Association has a little trouble with their auto-replace software. (It's been happening for awhile.)

"'The use of patriotism as a political sword or a political shield is as old as the Republic,' Obama said. 'Still, what is striking about today's patriotism debate is the degree to which it remains rooted in the culture wars of the 1960s -- in arguments that go back 40 years or more. In the early years of the civil rights movement and opposition to the Vietnam War, defenders of the status quo often accused anybody who questioned the wisdom of government policies of being unpatriotic.'"

From Unity (NH) to Independence (MO), Sen. Obama -- pushing back against the current GOP strategy -- delivers a long and eloquent speech on the issue of patriotism. [Transcript.] "His speech put the issue in a sweeping historical perspective, speaking of charges that Thomas Jefferson had sold the nation out to the French and that John Adams was in cahoots with the British. He also questioned policies enacted in the name of patriotism, from Adams' Alien and Sedition Act, Abraham Lincoln's suspension of habeas corpus and Franklin Delano Roosevelt's internment of Japanese Americans...'I give him credit. He is taking this very seriously,' said presidential historian Robert Dallek."

"'As he's said many times before, Senator Obama honors and respects Senator McCain's service, and of course he rejects yesterday's statement by General Clark,' Obama spokesman Bill Burton said in a statement." So...I guess Wes Clark won't be the veep. For some ill-defined reason, the Obama campaign sees fit to throw the general under the bus because Clark, a guy I run hot and cold on, simply stated the obvious. Getting shot down over Vietnam, however ostensibly character-building, in no way constitutes executive experience: ""I certainly honor his service as a prisoner of war. He was a hero to me and to hundreds of thousands and millions of others in the armed forces as a prisoner of war. And he has traveled all over the world. But he hasn't held executive responsibility...I don't think riding in a fighter plane and getting shot down is a qualification to be president."

Said Obama in Independence today: "McCain had 'endured physical torment in service to our country' and 'no one should ever devalue that service, especially for the sake of a political campaign, and that goes for supporters on both sides.'" Fair enough, but that wasn't at all what Clark was doing. McCain's basically getting away with the same sort of resume inflation as Sen. Clinton did in the primaries, and Clark -- a five-star general who knows what he's talking about -- called him on it.

One could argue that there's a method to this move by the Obama campaign, but even that theory suggests a certain ugly political opportunism at work. (One could also argue karma had some part to play in all this, since Clark earlier jumped all over Samantha Powers' gaffe during the primaries.) Nonetheless, between this, the Senator's switchback on telecom immunity (which I discussed in the comments here), and various other recent triangulations, the Obama campaign has had a pretty lousy week. I don't know if it's the recent influx of "veteran" hands, an attempt to beat back the National Journal liberal label, or just an early-summer malaise, but that sickly-sweet smell of Old-School Dem Politics is lingering in the air. Get it together, y'all. I know the polls look good, but this defensive-minded playing-not-to-lose is assuredly not the way to go.

Update: "I've said this for some weeks now, they've been repeated many times." Clark sticks to his guns, and Webb has his back. Meanwhile, Salon's Glenn Greenwald makes the case against Obama's last two weeks: "There is no question, at least to me, that having Obama beat McCain is vitally important...[but] his election is less likely, not more likely, the more homage he pays to these these tired, status-quo-perpetuating Beltway pieties."

Update II: Obama clarifies on Clark: "I don’t think that General Clark you know had the same intent as the swift boat ads that we saw four years ago, I reject that analogy...I think in at least one publication was reported that my comments yesterday about Senator McCain were in a response to General Clark. I think my staff will confirm that that was in a draft of that speech that I had written two months ago.”

Update III: Fred Kaplan has a theory about Clark v. McCain: Grunts are from Mars, Flyboys are from Venus.

"Just as it had on the day before 9/11, Al Qaeda now has a band of terror camps from which to plan and train for attacks against Western targets, including the United States...'The United States faces a threat from Al Qaeda today that is comparable to what it faced on Sept. 11, 2001,' said Seth Jones, a Pentagon consultant and a terrorism expert at the RAND Corporation."

In the NYT, Mark Mazzetti and David Rohde explore how, despite all their endless bluster and unconstitutional behavior, the Dubya administration is losing the war against Al Qaeda, and has apparently given up on catching Bin Laden. "By late 2005, many inside the CIA headquarters in Virginia had reached the conclusion that their hunt for Bin Laden had reached a dead end...'You had a very finite number' of experienced officers, said one former senior intelligence official. 'Those people all went to Iraq. We were all hurting because of Iraq.'"

"The Democratic leadership’s agreement to commit hundreds of millions of dollars for more secret operations in Iran was remarkable, given the general concerns of officials like Gates, Fallon, and many others. 'The oversight process has not kept pace -- it’s been coöpted' by the Administration, the person familiar with the contents of the Finding said. 'The process is broken, and this is dangerous stuff we’re authorizing.'"

In related news, The New Yorker's venerable Sy Hersh reports that the Dubya administration has been stepping up covert activities in Iran...and Congress is once again going along for the ride. "In other words, some members of the Democratic leadership...were willing, in secret, to go along with the Administration in expanding covert activities directed at Iran, while the Party’s presumptive candidate for President, Barack Obama, has said that he favors direct talks and diplomacy."

"We cannot let this moment slip away,' Clinton pressed. "'For anyone who voted for me and who is now considering not voting, or voting for Sen. McCain, I strongly urge you to reconsider. I urge you to remember what we are standing for in this election.'" In the aptly-named town of Unity, NH, Sen. Clinton campaigns with Sen. Obama. (They've also now maxed out donations to each other, and Obama continues to hire senior Clinton staff.)

In not-unrelated news, new polls put Wisconsin (+13) and Minnesota (+17) pretty firmly in the lean-Obama column. Says CNN: "The Illinois senator now has 231 electoral votes — 39 shy of winning the presidency," and that's not counting OH, FL, CO, NM, VA, or IA...all states we have a solid shot of picking up. Again, I don't want to jinx anything, but I'm feeling pretty confident about our prospects these days.

"This can be a moment of opportunity for North Korea. If North Korea continues to make the right choices, it can repair its relationship with the international community -- much as Libya has done over the past few years. If North Korea makes the wrong choices, the United States and our partners in the six-party talks will respond accordingly." In a Rose Garden statement yesterday, Dubya announces the lifting of trading sanctions against North Korea, on account of Pyongyang seemingly agreeing to nuclear disarmament as outlined in recent multilateral talks. But don't get the wrong idea, folks: Talking to our enemies is still an act of horrible, dirty appeasement. Update: Slate's Fred Kaplan surveys the deal.

"The court's five most conservative members have demonstrated that for all of Justice Antonin Scalia's talk about 'originalism' as a coherent constitutional doctrine, those on the judicial right regularly succumb to the temptation to legislate from the bench. They fall in line behind whatever fashions political conservatism is promoting." In the WP, E.J. Dionne eviscerates the Scalia wing of the Roberts Court for their 5-4 decision in D.C. v. Heller yesterday. As you've no doubt heard by now, the decision (penned by Scalia) parsed the Second Amendment in such a way as to overturn the handgun ban in the District (and seemed to simply ignore the existing precedent of US v. Miller.) As Slate's Dahlia Lithwick deadpanned, "today's decision 'will almost certainly cause more Americans to be killed.'"

As it turns out, the Court went 0-for-2 yesterday, also deciding 5-4 (Alito writing the majority opinion) that McCain-Feingold has been prejudicial against the wealthy. In response, Sen. Feingold noted that the millionaire's amendment was flawed anyway: "I opposed the millionaire’s amendment in its initial form and I never believed it was a core component of campaign finance reform." Still, the decision here may not bode well for campaign finance opinions down the pike. "'What's most significant here is what this means for the future,' said Rick Hasen, a professor at Loyola Law School. 'It tells us that the long-standing limits on corporate and union campaign spending are in grave danger.'"

"'Actually, one of my favorites during the political season is "Maggie's Farm,"' Obama said of one of Dylan's tracks. 'It speaks to me as I listen to some of the political rhetoric.'" But does he like the RATM version? While doing the obligatory secrets-of-his-iPod conversation with Rolling Stone -- he's a huge Stevie Wonder fan, which explains "Signed, Sealed, Delivered" on the trail -- Sen. Obama sings the praises of Dylan. (Dylan did the same of Obama earlier this month.)

So, as you likely heard, John McCain recently took time off from pretending to be Mr. Environment to join Dubya in calling for the resumption of offshore drilling (thus prompting his possible No. 2, Florida Governor Charlie Crist, to also rethink the issue.) As many writers have pointed out, this just so happens to be a switch from what he said three weeks earlier, in keeping with McCain's usual m.o.

Well, the environmental consequences notwithstanding, TIME's Bryan Walsh asks the pertinent question: "Will more drilling mean cheaper gas?" Nope. "Even if tomorrow we opened up every square mile of the outer Continental Shelf to offshore rigs, even if we drilled the entire state of Alaska and pulled new refineries out of thin air, the impact on gas prices would be minimal and delayed at best. A 2004 study by the government's Energy Information Administration (EIA) found that drilling in ANWR would trim the price of gas by 3.5 cents a gallon by 2027." In other words, this is the gas tax holiday all over again. (TIME link via Dangerous Meta.)

Keeping in mind that polls five months out from Election Day are basically meaningless, some good news on the swing-state front: Sen. Obama currently leads in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Florida. (What, you mean Mark Penn's swing-state argument was bogus? Who knew?)

This would seem to hinder McCain's likely strategy of using Florida as a safe electoral base from which to make incursions into possible Obama territory in Michigan, Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, and elsewhere -- Now, the mythical maverick will have to play serious defense in the Sunshine State. (Again, June polls say next-to-nothing about the state of play in November, but I'm glad we're 4-10 points up rather than 10-15 down. Plus, these numbers are in keeping with my general feeling -- knock on wood -- that Election Day will be a trouncing.)

Update: More fuel for the fire. A new Newsweek poll has Obama up fifteen on McCain, 51%-36%. "The latest numbers on voter dissatisfaction suggest that Obama may enjoy more than one bounce. The new poll finds that only 14 percent of Americans say they are satisfied with the direction of the country...Obama is [also] running much stronger at this point in the race than his two most recent Democratic predecessors, Sen. John Kerry and Vice President Al Gore...In a July 2004 NEWSWEEK Poll, Kerry led Bush by only 6 points (51 percent to 45 percent). In June 2000, Gore was in a dead heat with Bush (45 percent to 45 percent)"

Update 2: It's not an outlier. LA Times/Bloomberg also has Obama up 15 (48%-33%) in a four-way race with Nader and Barr. Against McCain only, our man's up 12.

"'It's not an easy decision, and especially because I support a robust system of public financing of elections,' Obama said in a video message to supporters, circulated by his campaign. 'But the public financing of presidential elections as it exists today is broken, and we face opponents who've become masters at gaming this broken system.'" Sen. Obama announces he will forego public financing for the general election.

Hmm. I was originally hoping the two candidates, based on their respective campaign finance reform bona fides, might come to an agreement that would make public financing work. But it's become painfully clear that Sen. McCain has been gaming the system thus far, and at this point I wouldn't trust him as far as I can throw him. The McCain campaign is calling Obama's decision "a broken promise of staggering dimensions," but frankly that dog's not going to hunt. Sen. Obama has not only run a lobbyist-free campaign thus far, but has now even purged the DNC of their taint (give or take a few loopholes.) Meanwhile, the McCain bandwagon is absolutely crawling with lobbyists, and they apparently even feel free to conduct their business with impunity aboard the unfortunately-named "Straight Talk Express."

Plus, with its enormously successful small-donor, Internet-based model of financing, the Obama campaign has brought new meaning to the term "public financing" anyway. So, while I'd ultimately like to see a public financing system that works, Sen. Obama still has enough credibility on this issue, I think, that his opting out doesn't trouble me all that much. Put another way, Sen. Obama has a long way to go before he seems as full of it on campaign finance reform as McCain appears these days.

"The outcome of this election will affect the future of our planet...Take it from me -- elections matter." Finally, Al Gore endorses Sen. Obama. (Not exactly a profile in courage at this point, but could we really expect anything less from the man?) Well, in any case, welcome aboard.

Also joining Team Obama today: Patty Solis Doyle, who has been hired to be "chief of staff to the future vice presidential running mate." As Doyle, "a native Chicagoan with deep ties to many senior Obama aides," is no longer on speaking terms with Sen. Clinton (to whom she "devoted her adult life") after having been blamed for Iowa, it would seem Clinton will not be making the veep short list. Try to contain your despair.

“'Lawrence Spivak, who founded ‘Meet the Press,’ told me before he died that the job of the host is to learn as much as you can about your guest’s positions and take the other side,' he said in a 2007 interview with Time magazine. 'And to do that in a persistent and civil way. And that’s what I try to do every Sunday.'" Moynihan man turned pundit-king Tim Russert, 1950-2008. Now, that's a surprise. Russert was a guy I actually met a few times during my Carville days (in fact, I once inadvertently hit him with a whiffleball bat...long story), and he always seemed a genuine, amiable sort, particularly by DC talking-head standards. Obviously, his unique brand of political interrogation left something to be desired in many circles. Still, he was taken relatively young (and before his father), which is always tragic. Rest in peace, Russ.

"'Both parties talk a good game on cutting earmarks, but at first opportunity, the House larded up,' said Stephen Ellis, vice president of the watchdog group. 'This is just another broken promise.'" With another big defense bill imminent, congressional earmarks are sadly back in vogue. "In the Senate, Lieberman led the way with his participation in 14 requests worth more than $292 million, some of them involving more than one lawmaker, the watchdog group data show. Sen. Carl M. Levin (D-Mich.) made 48 requests, many with colleagues, worth more than $198 million. Sens. Jeff Sessions (Ala.) and Elizabeth Dole (N.C.) led Republicans by participating in requests totaling $188 million and $182 million, respectively."

"The laws and Constitution are designed to survive, and remain in force, in extraordinary times," Justice Anthony M. Kennedy wrote for a five-member majority clearly impatient that some prisoners have been held for six years without a hearing." In a setback for the Dubya administration and a victory for the American way of life, the Supreme Court grants habeas corpus rights to Guantanamo detainees. (The decision in Boumediene v. Bush is now the fourth time the Court has reaffirmed the rule of law over Dubya's monarchial anti-terror policies.)

In vicious dissent, the conservative bloc: Roberts, Scalia, Thomas, and Alito, with Scalia in particular scowling and ranting like a Batman villain. "'America is at war with radical Islamists,' he wrote, adding that the decision 'will almost certainly cause more Americans to be killed.' He went on to say: 'The Nation will live to regret what the court has done today.'" To which I say, "Get over it." I highly doubt we'll regret it as much as your being put on the Court in the first place, Justice Scalia.

"When asked if he knew when American troops could start to return home, McCain responded: 'No, but that's not too important. What's important is the casualties in Iraq.'" Not too important to you, maybe. While John Kerry and others jump on the latest McCain screw-up, these handy Youtubes bring us up to date on other recent goings-on aboard "the Double Talk Express." Without the Democratic primary feeding the beast anymore, hopefully Senator McCain's convenient U-turns and gaffe-a-minute tendencies will get more attention from the media powers-that-be.

"Mr. Band, who declined to comment, is hardly alone in tallying those considered to have crossed the former candidate or the former president in recent months by supporting Mr. Obama. As the Obama bandwagon has swelled, so have the lists of people Clinton loyalists regard as some variation of 'ingrate,' 'traitor' or 'enemy,' according to the associates and campaign officials, who would speak only on condition of anonymity." They're making a list, and checking it twice... Via Blackberry, Clinton flunkies draw up a post-primary enemies list. It ain't politics without grudges, I guess.

"There is widespread agreement among Democratic and Republican observers that the GOP is headed for a loss of seats in the fall. But the depth of those losses remains a point of real debate, as more and more Republican districts appear to be vulnerable while the GOP campaign arm continues to struggle to match its Democratic counterparts in fundraising." In both the House and Senate, it seems, 2008 is looking to be a rough year for the GOP.

"The symbolism of all this to average swing voters just seems to me too powerful to pass up. The GOP is going to hang the elitist tag on Obama, as they've always done in recent elections. It's worked in the last two elections, and it might well work in this one. But it stands far less a chance of working if Obama has this ruddy-faced, shit-kicking, pugnacious, southern white guy standing next to him vouching for him." The Guardian Michael Tomasky makes the case for a Vice-President Webb, while The Prospect's Ezra Klein (he should stay in the Senate), Slate's Tim Noah (he's too volatile), and The Atlantic's James Fallows (he'd hate the gig) demur.

Update: Webb aside, Sen. Kent Conrad leaks that the Obama campaign is currently floating a list of twenty or so names for veep. He "told CNN that some of those on the list are 'top officials now,' others are 'former lawmakers' and others are 'former top military leaders.'"

So...as you probably saw, Sen. Clinton finally, officially left the race on Saturday. In the interests of moving forward, I'll refrain from commenting too much about her woefully self-absorbed concession speech [text], which has generally been garnering raves out of (I suspect) valedictory courtesy. It might've worked better if given at the appropriate time, I suppose, but as a do-over I found it sub-par both in theme (once again, it was all about her) and delivery (she only smiled when discussing herself, and otherwise had that gritted-teeth POW look about her.)

Regarding Sen. Clinton's much-touted brand-relaunch as a shatterer of glass ceilings and an exemplary avatar of feminism, I'll point to this earlier post by Alison Benedikt and Anne Applebaum's essay on Slate: "[T]he last few weeks of her campaign have been not so much feminist as pathological." For everything else, I'll refer to my post on Sen. Clinton's Boromirian tendencies these past primary months. In any case, on to the general election.

"You should always take the best from the past, leave the worst back there and go forward into the future." Take that, Sean Wilentz. In an interview with The Times (concerning his touring art show), the freewheelin' Bob Dylan backs Barack Obama. "Well, you know right now America is in a state of upheaval. Poverty is demoralising. You can't expect people to have the virtue of purity when they are poor. But we've got this guy out there now who is redefining the nature of politics from the ground up...Barack Obama. He's redefining what a politician is, so we'll have to see how things play out. Am I hopeful? Yes, I'm hopeful that things might change. Some things are going to have to."

"They shook hands. But Obama didn’t let go, leading Lieberman -- cordially -- by the hand across the room into a corner on the Democratic side, where Democratic sources tell ABC News he delivered some tough words for the junior senator from Connecticut...Reporters watched as Obama leaned closely in to Lieberman, whose back was literally up against the wall." Taking a page from the LBJ school of physical persuasion, Sen. Obama seems to warn Joe Lieberman privately about the perils of Zelling out. Update: Holy Joe pushes back. Hard to imagine Lieberman remaining a committee chair after November at this point.

If that's your man, then tag him in... The dirt off their shoulders, Sen. and Michelle Obama share a brief and touching moment onstage before the nomination-clinching speech on Tuesday. I must say, I greatly prefer this presidential show of affection to this one (or to the Gore make-out session, for that matter.)

Speaking of which, with Isengard subdued, meet the new opponent (via Little Bit Left, and the reverse-angle bump via The Late Adopter):

"'The president and his advisors undertook a relentless public campaign in the aftermath of the (September 11, 2001) attacks to use the war against al Qaeda as a justification for overthrowing Saddam Hussein,' intelligence committee Chairman John Rockefeller said in written commentary on the report. 'Representing to the American people that the two had an operational partnership and posed a single, indistinguishable threat was fundamentally misleading and led the nation to war on false pretenses.'"

In the stating-the-obvious department, the "Phase II" report by the Senate Intelligence Committee -- delayed by the GOP since before the 2004 election -- finds once again that the Dubya administration lied us into war. Y'know, back in the day, this would be considered an impeachable offense.

Now fully cast (including Jesse Bradford as a Skull & Bones fratboy), Oliver Stone's W gets a teaser poster for the Cannes crowd, replete with some of the better-known Bushisms.

"In the bunker there exists a different reality. In the bunker, Hillary is the winner: of the popular vote, of a series of big swing states, of the authentic American vote. In the bunker, Hillary is introduced by the indefatiguable Terry McAuliffe as 'the next President of the United States!' When asked about the reality outside the bunker -- that Obama supporters were in a minor rage over Hillary’s speech -- McAuliffe looked at me incredulously. 'Tonight was Hillary’s night!' he exclaimed. 'We won tonight! We won in South Dakota! We keep winning!'"

Sigh. Or, put another way via R.E.M.'s Life's Rich Pageant: "I will hide and you will hide, and we shall hide together here. Underneath the bunkers in the row. I have water, I have rum. Wait for dawn and dawn shall come, Underneath the bunkers in the row."

Also, on McAuliffe's point about it being "Hillary's night," see Jeffrey Toobin on CNN yesterday, referring to "the deranged narcissism of the Clintons." They really don't make it easy to cut them a break.

Update: The endgame is now Saturday: "Clinton will host an event in Washington on Saturday 'to thank her supporters and express her support for Senator Obama and party unity,' according to Howard Wolfson, who did not explicitly state that Clinton is dropping out of the race. But other campaign officials said the event will coincide with her departure, despite her earlier reservations about stepping aside." Well, better late than never.

Well, it's sometimes seemed to have more endings than Return of the King. But, tonight, it looks like the primary season is finally, really, truly at an end, with Sen. Barack Obama of Illinois our duly chosen Democratic nominee. In the days and weeks ahead, it'll behoove all of us, however hard, to let the primary bygones be bygones and to help reunite the party against our real foe, John McCain and the GOP. But, before we let the healing begin, I do have one more word to say about the Clintons, who above all else this campaign season has proven the truth of the old adage: "Choose your enemies wisely, for you will become them."

Now, I'm not going to recite the full litany of grievances against the Clintons' behavior of late one more time. I'd say that ground is already pretty well-covered in the election archives. But I will say this: It has become increasingly fashionable in the press and elsewhere to esteem Sen. Clinton -- regardless of her other political transgressions -- as gutsy, tenacious, a fighter. Say what you will about her methods, this line of thinking goes, she goes there. She does what needs to be done. In fact, argues otherwise discerning political observers such as friend and colleague David Greenberg, she is exactly the kind of fighter the Left has said they've been looking for. (Of course, she and her husband have been AWOL when it counted over the past seven years, but that's neither here nor there in this view.)

Well, simply put, this is all hooey. Sen. Clinton's behavior over the past six months and change has been exactly the wrong lesson for Democrats to draw from the politics of the last decade. I've said it here several times before, but, in a nutshell, here's why:

You don't wear the ring. You destroy the ring.

Or, in other words, the key to beating the Republicans is not by acting Republican. It's by rising above their tendentious garbage and working to restore reason and sanity to our politics. At the very least, a Democratic nominee for president shouldn't validate the base tactics of the GOP by wallowing in their wretchedness. For what shall it profit a woman, if she shall gain the whole world, and lose her own soul?

Nevertheless, seemingly blinded by ambition, Sen. Clinton very quickly chose the wrong path. (In the place of a Dumb Lord, we would have a Queen...) She embraced the Rove playbook and dabbled in Al Qaeda hysteria. She validated John McCain and threatened to obliterate Iran. She called her opponent elitist and derided the "elite opinion" of the reality-based community. She played nice with Limbaugh, Scaife, and FOX. She flirted dangerously with the race card and lauded hard-working whites. She, for all intent and purposes, became the Republican candidate in the Democratic primary. She, and her husband, became part of the problem rather than part of the solution.

To repeat something I said after Wisconsin in February, the night when Sen. Obama's primary victory basically became mathematically inexorable: "If you'll forgive the lapse into LotR metaphors, the treason of Saruman, once the noblest and wisest of our order, is almost subdued. The Battle for Middle-Earth is only beginning." So, as we move forward after tonight, I'll try as much as anyone to tone down the internecine fighting around here, and start focusing fire on our true opponents over on the Right. (That is provided, of course, that Sen. Clinton chooses to diminish, go into the West, and remain a Democrat.) But let's also draw the appropriate lesson from the Clinton candidacy of 2008. The Clinton era is over, and this general election is now a chance for we as Dems "to show our quality." We are not Dubya-Rove Republicans, and adopting their scorched-earth idiocies in a "tenacious" attempt to get elected is most assuredly the road to political, civic, and spiritual ruin.

"'I want to say also that this may be the last day I'm ever involved in a campaign of this kind,' the former president told Clinton supporters in South Dakota, ABC and NBC reported on their news websites. 'I thought I was out of politics, till Hillary decided to run. But it has been one of the greatest honors of my life to go around and campaign for her for president,' he added at the start of his stump speech." There've been rumors floating around about Sen. Clinton's speech in New York tomorrow, but has Bill let the cat out of the bag? One can only hope.

Update: Sigh...A Clinton spokesperson categorically denies an imminent exit tomorrow. In related news, New York Magazine's John Heilemann and The Atlantic's James Fallows ponder what Sen. Clinton is thinking these days. Heilemann: "[M]y response is simple: She wants to be president. Duh. And if it ain’t gonna happen this year, then her central objective is to make it as likely as possible in 2012." Fallows: "The Clinton team doesn't worry about hurting Obama's prospects of winning in the fall, because they assess those prospects at zero. Always have...So by definition they can't be making things worse. It is like sticking pins into a corpse -- you're not really hurting it any more. And if these efforts in fact make Obama's victory less likely -- well, then, reality will conform to their preexisting view."

Update 2: Word this morning is Sen. Clinton will in fact concede (sort of) tonight. "The former first lady will stop short of formally suspending or ending her race in her speech in New York City...But for all intents and purposes, the two senior officials said, the campaign is over." Update 3: McAuliffe says not so. Get it together over there, y'all.

Update 4: Well, for once McAuliffe was right -- You can't call that a concession. Sen. Clinton's "un-concession" speech tonight in New York, delivered an hour after Sen. Obama had mathematically clinched the Democratic nomination, would've been stunning in its gracelessness, if it wasn't so much in keeping with what we've seen all election season from her. Classy until the end.

"We've seen this movie before,' Obama said at a town hall in Rapid City, S.D. 'A leader who pursues the wrong course, who is unwilling to change course, who ignores the evidence. Now, just like George Bush, John McCain is refusing to admit that he's made a mistake.'" One more from the past week: He already has trouble distinguishing Sunni from Shia. Now, it seems, GOP nominee John McCain is woefully unaware of our current troop levels overseas, and yet -- like a certain prez we could mention -- even refuses to admit he made a simple error. Uh, been there, done that.

"There is reason to believe that Clinton, who never made more than $35,000 a year as governor of Arkansas and left the White House about $12 million in debt, has had h