THE WEBLOG OF KEVIN C. MURPHY: CONJURING POLITICAL, CINEMATIC, AND CULTURAL ARCANA SINCE 1999

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Under a Red Moon.

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"'They're taking an Apollo-like approach,' Gilbreth said. 'Our program is much more ambitious than Apollo. We're going to put four people on the moon for seven days, eventually for six months. China is looking for a minimum capability. We're looking to put an outpost on the moon.'" NASA officials concede that China will beat the US back to the moon. "The goal of NASA's Constellation program is to return astronauts to the moon by 2020...Gilbreth said the Chinese could accomplish that by 2017 or 2018."

Moreover, that US date will likely slip five years when Pres. Obama takes office in January. In all honesty, this is one of the few areas where I emphatically disagree with our nominee. There are plenty of places to acquire $18 billion for education without raiding the space exploration budget...defense bloat, for example.

Education: The Real Cleave?

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"Generally speaking, the more education a Democrat has, the less likely he or she is to support Hillary Clinton, and the more likely to support Barack Obama." For all the talk of age, race, gender, and class divergences, some analysts at Gallup see a different dynamic at work in the Obama-Clinton race: education. "In short, education is a highly significant predictor of Democrats' vote choices...Gender, too, is a predictor, but is essentially overwhelmed by the impact of education."

In fact, a worthy regression analysis of poll data over at dKos pushes the point further: "It is educational attainment, rather than income level, that appears to be the driving force behind Obama's 'upscale' support. In fact, there is some weak evidence that Obama actually does a bit better in states with lower median household incomes, once we control for educational attainment (but, the effect was not quite statistically significant enough to make the final cut). Trust me -- I looked and looked for this one, analyzing variables such as household income, per capita income, home values, home ownership, unemployment rates, and union membership. The idea that Clinton does better with working class voters seems to be a myth; she does better with voters without college degrees, but not working class voters per se. To the extent any such effects exist, they appear to point in the opposite direction of the conventional wisdom." (Speaking of which, there are number of CW-defying findings in this regression analysis, and it's worth a look-see.) Update: Poblano has more.

Update 2: The WP parses more data and finds the same education cleave. "In each of the states where the Post subscribed to exit polls (and voters were asked about their level of education), Clinton did better among non-college than college-educated white voters. She also outpaced Obama among non-college whites in all 14 of these states, but beat him by more than a single percentage point among college graduates in only five."

Et tu, Teddy?

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"The President made a deal with Senator Kennedy and neither one of them meant to mess it up. The deal was supposed to be, we will give the schools more money and get rid of two programs that Bill Clinton actually started...Now think about that -- you get the worst of all worlds." On the campaign trail in Arkansas (he's campaigning in Arkansas?), Bill Clinton goes after Teddy Kennedy on the issue of No Child Left Behind. This follows on remarks he said yesterday: "I want you to think about this, and I have to say, this was a train wreck that was not intended. No Child Left Behind was supported by George Bush and Senator Ted Kennedy and everybody in between. Why? Because they didn't talk to enough teachers before they did that." Left unmentioned in both cases: "Everybody in between" includes Senator Clinton, who also voted for NCLB in 2001.

Me Read Pretty One Day.

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America. Land of the free, home of the obese illiterates? "We are doing a better job of teaching kids to read in elementary school. But once they enter adolescence, they fall victim to a general culture which does not encourage or reinforce reading. Because these people then read less, they read less well. Because they read less well, they do more poorly in school, in the job market and in civic life." An extremely frightening new study by the National Endowment for the Arts finds that, despite the best efforts of the First Lady (which I applaud) over the past seven years, Americans increasingly can't read so good. "The NEA reports that in 2006, 15-to-24-year-olds spent just 7 to 10 minutes a day voluntarily reading anything at all. It also notes that between 1992 and 2003, the percentage of college graduates who tested as 'proficient in reading prose' declined from 40 percent to 31 percent."

Uh, what?! How can over two-thirds of college graduates not be able to read "proficiently"? This is the type of dire news that demands a Sputnik-level response from our political leaders. “A popular Government, without popular information, or the means of acquiring it, is but a Prologue to a Farce or a Tragedy; or, perhaps both, as James Madison put it in 1822. "[A] people who mean to be their own Governors, must arm themselves with the power which knowledge gives" Or, see Thomas Paine: "[I]t is monarchical and aristocratical government only that requires ignorance for its support," and that's what we'll be getting (more of) if this troubling trend continues. Not to get all progressive up in here, but education and citizenship are the lifeblood of the republic. Without them, the whole experiment falls apart.

"This final season of the show, Simon told me, will be about 'perception versus reality' -- in particular, what kind of reality newspapers can capture and what they can’t. Newspapers across the country are shrinking, laying off beat reporters who understood their turf. More important, Simon believes, newspapers are fundamentally not equipped to convey certain kinds of complex truths. Instead, they focus on scandals -- stories that have a clean moral. 'It’s like, Find the eight-hundred-dollar toilet seat, find the contractor who’s double-billing,' Simon said at one point. 'That’s their bread and butter. Systemic societal failure that has multiple problems -- newspapers are not designed to understand it."

A huge find by way of Chris at Do You Feel Loved?: Margaret Talbot offers a long-form New Yorker profile on David Simon and The Wire. (If you haven't yet seen Season 4, I recommend bookmarking this for now -- it gives away many of S4's major beats.) There's also a good deal of spoilerish information on what to expect from Season 5, what David Simon wants to do next, and who's singing this season's version of "Way Down in the Hole." (I'll give that one away...Bubbles' sponsor, Steve Earle -- listen here.) "Simon makes it clear that the show’s ambitions were grand. '"The Wire" is dissent,' he says. 'It is perhaps the only storytelling on television that overtly suggests that our political and economic and social constructs are no longer viable, that our leadership has failed us relentlessly, and that no, we are not going to be all right.'"

"For those who attempt it, the doctoral dissertation can loom on the horizon like Everest, gleaming invitingly as a challenge but often turning into a masochistic exercise once the ascent is begun. The average student takes 8.2 years to get a Ph.D.; in education, that figure surpasses 13 years. Fifty percent of students drop out along the way, with dissertations the major stumbling block. At commencement, the typical doctoral holder is 33, an age when peers are well along in their professions, and 12 percent of graduates are saddled with more than $50,000 in debt." By way of Little Bit Left, a new site by a Columbia colleague that's well worth adding to the blogroll, the NYT surveys the sad plight of the modern ABD. (I'll be 33 at my current expected finish date, seven years after starting, and my cohort's attrition rate has been significant, so it seems the stats bear out in my case.) "Those who insist on dissertations are aware that they must reduce the loneliness that defeats so many scholars...'It’s easy, especially in our field, to feel isolated, and that tends to slow people down...There’s no sense of belonging to an academic community.'" Oh, I dunno...Berk and I often have very scintillating conversations...progressive citizenship, New Era consumerism, socks, squirrels, you name it.

Bizarro Dubya?

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Some good news on the domestic policy front: Pushed forward by a veto-proof majority in Congress, Bush signs a Democratic Pell Grant increase into law. "The increase in financial aid is designed to come from cuts in subsidies that the government makes to banks, totaling roughly $20 billion...Bush at one point threatened to veto the bill on grounds that it included hidden costs and was an expensive expansion of federal programs." In addition, an expansion of the State Child Health Insurance Program is now on Dubya's desk after passing the Senate 69-30 and House 265-159, and also looks to become law despite the White House's original opposition. "Bush and GOP leaders said the measure would push children already covered by private health insurance into publicly financed health care, while creating an 'entitlement' whose costs ultimately would outstrip the money raised by the bill's 61-cent increase in the federal tobacco tax. But Republican opposition is increasingly isolated."

And if passage of affordable college education and child health care bills by Dubya -- however reluctantly -- isn't through the looking glass enough for ya, check this out: "The world must cut emissions or sacrifice the planet, Condoleezza Rice, U.S. Secretary of State, told a meeting of governments on Thursday, in the most strongly worded statement on global warming yet made by the US administration....Her words reflected how far US rhetoric on climate change has moved in the past six months."

Update: Ah, there's the Dubya we know and...know. Despite its bipartisan backing, Bush vetoes the child health insurance bill, arguing that it was an attempt to "federalize" medicine. "'I think that this is probably the most inexplicable veto in the history of the country. It is incomprehensible. It is intolerable. It's unacceptable,' said Sen. Edward Kennedy, D-Massachusetts, who pleaded with Republicans to help overturn the veto."

HBO's The Wire, lauded around these parts many times over, will be shown from the beginning on BET starting tomorrow night at 9pm. Personally, I'd recommend renting (or buying) the DVDs, so as to avoid commercials and see the episodes uncut (and to allow for the indulgence of binge-watching, which may well become the norm in your household by the end of Season 1.) But, if for some reason you can't be bothered, BET's the place to be tomorrow night.

Simon Says.

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"Thematically, it's about the very simple idea that, in this Postmodern world of ours, human beings -- all of us -- are worth less. We're worth less every day, despite the fact that some of us are achieving more and more. It's the triumph of capitalism...The show is written in a 21st-century city-state that is incredibly bureaucratic, and in which a legal pursuit of an unenforceable prohibition has created great absurdity."

Slate publishes a fascinating extended interview with Wire creator David Simon, which touches on, among other things, why there won't be a Season 6 focusing on Latino immigrants, and what we can expect from Season 5. "Yes, the last season. The last theme is basically asking the question, why aren't we paying attention? If we got everything right in the last four seasons in depicting this city-state, how is it that these problems -- which have been attendant problems regardless of who is in power -- how is it that they endure? That brings into mind one last institution, which is the media. What are we paying attention to?" I can't say it enough -- if you're not paying attention to The Wire, you owe it to yourself to rent Season 1 and start playing catch-up next to immediately. It really is far and away the best show on television, perhaps ever. Certainly, it's the savviest take on American politics ever put to the small screen.

No Dubya Left Behind.

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"But if the list is for real, it's evidence of presidential dereliction of duty, and perhaps an outright threat to national security. Two books a week is an uphill battle for a graduate student whose responsibilities don't even include showering. For a president, who lives at work, reading and comprehending two serious books a month takes a Herculean effort." (Hey, I shower!...um, most days.) Slate's Bruce Reed discusses Dubya's newfound love for books, suggesting that his recent reading contest with Karl Rove is part of the reason why things have gone so astray of late for this president. Well, call me old-fashioned, but -- My Pet Goat notwithstanding -- I'd usually rather see Dubya with his nose in a good book than see him make any more lousy world-threatening decisions. Besides. Dubya dug himself in this hole long before 2006...some healthy book learnin' might've done him right earlier in his tenure. Hey, at the very least, he might've locked down that whole pesky Shia-Sunni thing.

High Wire Act.

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"The Wire, which has just begun its fourth season on HBO, is surely the best TV show ever broadcast in America...no other program has ever done anything remotely like what this one does, namely to portray the social, political, and economic life of an American city with the scope, observational precision, and moral vision of great literature." Slate's Jacob Weisberg joins the swelling ranks of Wire aficionados. (Season 4 is currently pulling a lowly 98 over at Metafilter.) "This year, The Wire's political science is as brilliant as its sociology. It leaves The West Wing, and everything else television has tried to do on this subject, in the dust." And, in very happy news that partially atones for Deadwood's early demise (although that [expletive deleted] still rankles), HBO re-ups for The Wire Season 5, which will focus on the mass media. I'll drink a spot of Jamesons to that.

Warren Peace.

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"You have an innovator and a world business leader -- the combination of the two making such a huge personal investment of time and wealth, it does raise the bar and raise the profile of philanthropy.." A tip of the hat to Warren Buffett for his recent decision to turn his considerable assets to philanthropy and help the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation better our world. "The foundation, already the nation's largest with a $30 billion endowment that has largely come from Bill Gates, will hand out more per year than the gross domestic product of nearly 40 countries, including Mongolia, Togo and Zimbabwe."

Cradle Will Rock.

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"Remember the whiny, insecure kid in nursery school, the one who always thought everyone was out to get him, and was always running to the teacher with complaints? Chances are he grew up to be a conservative." A several-decade-long study by UC Berkeley professor Jack Block finds a controversial correlation between confidence in childhood and later political leanings. "He reasons that insecure kids look for the reassurance provided by tradition and authority, and find it in conservative politics. The more confident kids are eager to explore alternatives to the way things are, and find liberal politics more congenial." (Via Follow Me Here.)

10,000 Chains of Harvard.

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"'I do think Harvard Square, unless something drastic is done, is dying.'" With the imminent closing of yet another landmark, the Brattle Theater (The Tasty, the original Coop, and the Bow & Arrow had all disappeared within a year of my graduation (1997), and recently Wordsworth Books and Briggs & Briggs have joined them), the AP takes a moment to lament the commercialization of Harvard Square.

ANWR's Nine Lives.

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"The legislation would allow states to impose new fees on Medicaid recipients, cut federal child support enforcement funds, impose new work requirements on state welfare programs and squeeze student lenders." Although a tie-breaking vote by Cheney got the deficit bill passed -- meaning people on Medicaid, welfare recipients, and students with loans will soon be paying for Dubya's millionaire tax breaks -- the Dems do succeed in beating back ANWR drilling, much to the chagrin of Ted Stevens, who gambled that the Senate wouldn't vote down a defense bill.

And the Pastafari wept.

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A month after the school board was swept of intelligent designers (to Pat Robertson's chagrin), a judge in Dover, PA dismisses ID as a classroom alternative to evolution. Good to see both science and common sense win one for a change.

Via Cliopatria, Inside Higher Ed looks at increased use of Civilization III in college history courses. Um, yes, I've been playing Civ 4 in almost all of my spare moments of late solely for pedagogical purposes. Seriously, notwithstanding my own inveterate Civ addiction, I can't see how the game would be in any way useful in teaching history, and particularly at the college level. And if you're going to use games for elementary, middle, or even high school courses, I think you'd do better with a game grounded in specific history, such as old-timey classics The Oregon Trail or Seven Cities of Gold.

Almost Blue.

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As seen at many fine blogs this past Thanksgiving week (including FmH & Medley), some nice visual data to be thankful for (and for all those red state/blue state dualists to ponder): One year after Election 2004, America's blue over Dubya.

His Cup Runneth Dover.

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"I'd like to say to the good citizens of Dover: if there is a disaster in your area, don't turn to God, you just rejected Him from your city." In a righteous froth over the recent turnover of intelligent designers in Dover, PA, Pat Robertson plays to type and calls out the Big Gun against Pennsylvania's evolutionaries.

Designing School Boards.

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In a mixed day for the Pastafari, the Kansas School Board opens the door to intelligent design, just as the voters of Dover, PA remove all eight school board members who were pushing the issue in the Keystone State. (Nevertheless, the Pennsylvania court challenge to intelligent design will continue.)

Googlarians unite.

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"What's going on? Google has become the new ground zero for the 'other' culture war. Not the one between Ralph Reed and Timothy Leary, but the war between Silicon Valley and Hollywood; California's cultural civil war. At stake are two different visions of what might best promote authorship in this country. One side trumpets the culture of authorial exposure, the other urges the culture of authorial control." University of Virginia Law professor Tim Wu surveys the controversy over Google Print, and makes a cautious plea for writers and academics to get behind the project.

"'What makes evolution a scientific explanation is that it makes testable predictions,' Lander said. 'You only believe theories when they make non-obvious predictions that are confirmed by scientific evidence...Evolution is a way of understanding the world that continues to hold up day after day to scientific tests.''" As a Pennsylvania court weighs anew the constitutionality of adding creationism to biology curricula, scientists (again) try to explain how evolution differs from claptrap like intelligent design -- namely, that evolution produces hypotheses that are empirically verifiable (particularly in these heady days of genetic manipulation.) Well, yes...but what of the Pastafari? Why are we so eager to keep schoolchildren in the dark about the benedictory influence of His noodly appendage?

"[B]elievers in science are now wondering how the rejection of Darwinian evolution, once presumed to be discredited, keeps returning to claim a place in high-school biology classrooms and in popular thinking. The answer is that we're in thrall to the powerful legend of the Scopes trial. For anti-Darwinist beliefs aren't returning; they've just never gone away." Slate's David Greenberg invokes the misunderstood legacy of the Scopes trial to explain the persistence of creationist thought among Americans today.

"'He's a friend,' the president said...'He's testified in public, and I believe him.'" In a roundtable with Texas journalists, Dubya backs Karl Rove and Rafael Palmeiro, as well as (somewhat half-heartedly) the teaching of "intelligent design." A bit of a gullible sort, ain't he?

"'It seems obvious that a great republic cannot sustain itself unless its citizens participate in their own government,' Byrd said. 'But how can they participate meaningfully if they don't know the fundamental principles on which their government is founded?'" Senator Robert Byrd introduces legislation that requires federal workers to learn more about the Constitution. I'm all for the principle -- in fact, I strongly believe in more civics education in public schools -- but, by the time people start working for the government, it's probably a little late. Still, no harm, no foul.

World Mapper Pretend.

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Test your geography skills, via Pith and Vinegar. Oof, my performance on the South American map the first time around was pretty embarrassing.

Twisting Armstrong.

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After pressure from Democratic commissioners and congressmen, Michael Powell's FCC announces an investigation into Armstrong-gate. Well, what do you know? I guess they're just killing time until someone makes the mistake of showing more scantily-clad (non-cheerleader) women at an NFL football game.

No Right-Wing Flunky Left Behind.

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By way of a friend of mine, the Dubya education department gets busted subsidizing conservative commentator Armstrong Williams for good press on NCLB. I mean, really, wasn't Fox News enough?

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